🗳️ Hackney North and Stoke Newington Elections Betting Guide

Your ultimate guide on Hackney North and Stoke Newington Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was a safe seat in 2019 but may have changed now.
🗳️ Hackney North and Stoke Newington Elections Betting Guide

By Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61320640

Nigel Skinner
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Hackney North and Stoke Newington's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Hackney North and Stoke Newington Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Hackney North and Stoke Newington Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Hackney North and Stoke Newington Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!
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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Hackney North and Stoke Newington may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Hackney North and Stoke Newington, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Hackney North and Stoke Newington for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Hackney North and Stoke Newington residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Hackney North and Stoke Newington turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Since its establishment in 1950, Hackney North and Stoke Newington has continuously elected Labour MPs, currently represented by Diane Abbott since 1987. Abbott, a pivotal figure, became the UK's first female Black British MP and served as Shadow Home Secretary from 2016 to 2020. Initially elected as a Labour MP, she became an Independent in April 2023 following the suspension of her Labour Party membership.

By Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61320640

The constituency, synonymous with moderate incomes and a level of deprivation, has been experiencing gentrification, particularly in areas like Stamford Hill and Lower Clapton, enhancing its appeal and land value. This shift, alongside a reduction in crime rates and demographic changes, maintains its status as a Labour stronghold under Abbott. Historical adjustments have shaped its present boundaries, with significant reforms in the 19th and 20th centuries merging Hackney North and Stoke Newington into a single constituency. Politically, its voters have shown a strong preference for staying in the EU, with a notable 79.1% voting remain in the 2016 referendum.

Shaping History & The Future of Hackney North & Stoke Newington 🌟📚

Diane Abbott, trailblazer & first female Black British MP, champions #Labour in Hackney North & Stoke Newington since '87! 🇬🇧 Gentrifying, crime-dropping, & EU-loving—this historic constituency stands strong. Now an Independent, Abbott's legacy continues.

General Election Betting

The Hackney North and Stoke Newington seat was created in 1950 from the previous seperate Hackney North and Stoke Newington seats.

Wereon, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Hackney North and Stoke Newington's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Labour held on to the seat after Diane Abbott earned 70.3% of the vote
  • In doing so, it meant that Hackney North and Stoke Newington was Labour's sixteenth-safest seat in the 2019 General Election
  • Abbott would pick up a majority of 33,188 with the Conservatives trailing way behind in second with just 6,784 votes by comparison.
  • Labour's vote share was down 4.8% on the previous election, while the Conservatives also saw a decrease of 0.7% .
  • The Green Party would finish third, with Alex Armitage earning 4.1% of the total vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 68.7% - down 4.7% on 2017
Candidate DataPartyGenderNumber of votesShare (%)Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Diane AbbottLabourFemale39,97270.30%-4.8
Ben Obese-JectyConservativeMale6,78411.90%-0.7
Alex ArmitageGreenMale4,9898.80%4.1
Ben MathisLiberal DemocratMale4,2837.50%0.8
Richard Christian IngsBrexit PartyMale6091.10%0
Haseeb Ur-RehmanRenewMale1510.30%0
Loré LixenbergIndependentFemale760.10%0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 33,188 from the 56,864 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 58.4%, making Hackney North and Stoke Newington the twenty third-safest seat in the 2019 election.

Hackney North and Stoke Newington Majority Data
Votes33,188
Percent58.40%
Rank (1 = highest %)23

Voter turnout for the Hackney North and Stoke Newington seat was at 61.5%. This figure was down 6.0% on the region as a whole and down 4.7% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 5.8% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Hackney North and Stoke Newington Turnout Data
Constituency61.50%
Region67.50%
UK67.30%
Constituency in 201766.20%
Size of electorate92,462
Valid votes cast56,864

Hackney North and Stoke Newington By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Brownswood
  • Cazenove
  • Clissold
  • Dalston
  • Hackney Central
  • Hackney Downs
  • Lea Bridge
  • London Fields
  • Shacklewell
  • Springfield
  • Stamford Hill West
  • Stoke Newington
  • Woodberry Down


How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog Content Manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data Scientist and Football Editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-In-Chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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