Next Country To Leave European Union

Next Country To Leave The EU

• Italy is the 3/1 favourite to be the next country to exit the European Union with most of the best betting sites. 
• The country is moving to the right with the election victory of Giorgio Meloni, this is expected to lead to further momentum for an Italian exit.
• Greece (6/1) and Poland (7/1) are other EU countries that are lukewarm over European Union membership.  

Next Country To Leave The EU Betting Odds

Betting On The Next Country To Leave The European Union

Many of the best betting sites offer odds for which country will leave the European Union next.

The Betfair Sportsbook has had the odds for the last few years and that should be a market you always check. 

These political markets are growing, especially during General Elections around the world.  

Choosing A Bookmaker

You simply need to go to your favourite betting app and head to the political section.

If you do not have an active online betting account, then head over to our betting sites section where you will see a list of bookmakers available in the UK, 

We have in-depth reviews so you can see what other users think of them before deciding, or head over to the free bets page where you can see the list of welcome offers currently available from all UK betting sites. 

How To Place A Bet On The Next Country To Leave The European Union

There is a simple process to making a political bet. 

1. Find an online betting site offering political odds.

2. Use the bookmaker index to scroll down to the Political Betting tab.

3. Find the market you are interested in.

4. Make the selection and add them to your bet slip. 

5. Select your stake

6. Confirm, you can check at any time that your bet is live in the history section of your bookmaker account. 

That is it your bet is placed, all you have to do is to wait until a country leaves the EU. 

If you make the right selection you win, if your prediction is incorrect you will lose your bet and stake. 

N.B: If your bookmaker does not have the European market you can contact them and ask for a price.

Next Country To Leave The EU Betting Diary Timeline

The betting odds for The Next Country To Leave The European Union will vary as each country comments on EU membership. Individual Prime Ministers often play to their supporters or the country, or the EU itself when threatening to leave. 

Here is a round-up of the Next Country To Leave The European Union from our OLBG News feed

6th April 2023

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Who will leave the EU next? Italy 3/1 betting favourites to be next EU leavers!

23rd September 2022

Italy goes to the polls, if as expected  Giorgia Meloni becomes the new Prime Minister we could expect some anti-EU rhetoric. 

20th September 2022

The right-wing Swedish Democrats win 11 extra seats making them the second-biggest party in the country.

As with most parties of the right, they dislike EU interference in national life.  

22nd October 22nd 2021

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Who Will Leave The EU Next?

When Britain narrowly made the momentous decision to leave the European Union (BREXIT) it was predicted by many political commentators that other European Union countries would follow Britain's lead, and the EU would collapse. 

There are dissenting voices in many EU countries with both left and right-wing parties questioning recent actions by Brussels, especially in relation to budget contributions.

The online bookmakers never slow to price up a betting market concluded that the autonomous act by Britain would give confidence to other disillusioned EU countries and the whole European project would collapse. 

With this in mind, they created a book on the Next Country To Leave The European Union.

Italy 3/1

• Current betting has Italy as favourites to follow Britain in the "go it alone club".
• Italy seems to be increasingly at odds with many of the rules coming down from the EU. 
• Italy has a strong right-wing coalition and it is fair to say they are not fans of Brussels  
• They have been favourites to leave since the market was created.

Poland 7/1

• Many in Poland who rely heavily on Coal are angry that the EU is heading in a greener direction and imposing its will on the country.
• This has incensed the miners of Upper Silesia and could see the Polish Government defying the EU over carbon emission targets, this issue could be a tipping point. 
• Add in LBGT and Abortion rights and some within the heavily Catholic nation are questioning their EU membership.

Greece 6/1

• Hard on the heels of Italy is Greece. 
• This is despite the EU bailing out Greece when their economy ran into trouble.
• Many citizens because of the imposed austerity measures are hostile toward the EU. 

France 8/1

• William Hill has France towards the head of the betting.
• France was a driving force in the formation of the EU, the french leaving could see the end of any economic and political union between European nations.

The Czech Republic 12/1

• Refugees, the Euro, and Climate Change are issues within the borders of the Czech Republic. 
• The population it seems is split on the benefits of remaining part of the EU, and as a country, they have shortened in the betting.

Austria 12/1 

• In 2020 there have been rumblings of unhappiness by the Austrian people of the EU. 
• A referendum on the EU is a possibility by the conservative OVP party, the bookmakers have reacted and cut the price on Austria leaving.

The Netherlands 12/1

• A recent poll showed 75% to 25% in favour of EU membership. 
• It seems the Dutch would be one of the last countries to vote leave, although we are a bit surprised at their "shortish" odds.

Hungary 14/1

• Of all the current European leader's President Orban of Hungary seems to have the most animosity towards and from Brussels. 
• The Ukrainian invasion by Russia has further complicated EU relations with Hungary. 
• Hungary overall has benefited from membership with its economy doing well. 
• However, the Hungarian government seems entrenched in their views about, how they should spend their EU money, open borders and immigration, this has led to friction between themselves and the EU. 
• In June 2021 Hungary passed a law banning LGBTQ content to be taught in schools, a referendum will take place on that issue at the same time as the election. 
• Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte said, "for me, Hungary has no place in the EU anymore".

Spain 14/1

• Spain to leave the EU?
• The rise of the Right-Wing VOX party in Spain has ruffled European Union feathers, the party won 10% of the votes and 52 seats in the Nov 2019 Election.
• The VOX party is lukewarm on Europe.
• However, Spain has historical issues relating to the Civil War, Catalonia and the Basque country so a referendum on leaving Europe does not look likely.

Portugal 16/1

• Portugal is the poorest country in Western Europe and has seen plenty of financial support from bigger nations within the EU. 
• Both the main political parties the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the Socialist Party (PS) support membership of the European Union, there does not seem much appetite for change.

Cyprus 18/1

• The island has been divided since 1974 when the Turks invaded. 
• Turkey possibly joining the group of nations has ruffled the feathers of many European countries
• Any EU concessions towards Turkey may hasten the Cypriots leaving.
• However, the island received a joint IMF and EU bailout of 10 billion euros, so is reliant on funding from Brussels.

Ireland 25/1

• Seems unlikely that such a young population would vote to leave the EU. As one of the smaller nations Ireland has benefited hugely from membership.

Denmark 33/1

• The Danish government took unilateral action over immigration that allowed it to relocate asylum seekers outside Europe. 
• This policy puts the Danes in breach of current European Union rules.

Sweden 33/1

• Betfair does not think it likely that liberal Sweden would cast off from the good ship EU. 
• However, the populist Sweden Democrats are making gains in the country.
• They as a party are at best sceptical on the value of the EU.
• The Democrats would look to renegotiate their financial contribution and are opposed to the Schengen border agreement.

prices updated  January 2023

Next Country To Leave European Union Betting Odds-Full List

Responsible Gambling

On OLBG we have always trumpeted responsible gambling.

You should NEVER gamble more than you can afford. 

Betting markets can be volatile, rumours are everywhere and it is very easy to make a bad betting decision.  

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How to be Sensible and Gamble Responsibly (Examples)