First Minister Betting Odds

Updated: 1616 Politics & Current Affairs

The leader of the devolved Scottish Government is titled the First Minister. They are in charge of carrying out the Government policy. The First Minister is nominated by the Scottish Parliament, and there are normally betting odds available on the race.

First Minister Betting Odds

"In my head and in my heart, I know the time is now" - Nicola Sturgeon Resigns

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

First Minister Status

  • Nicola Sturgeon is to resign as First Minister, she has been in office since 2014 after Alex Salmond resigned.
  • The First Minister betting odds have Humza Yousaf as an uneasy favourite to succeed Sturgeon at around 4/5. 
  • The SNP Finance Secretary Kate Forbes (5/4) is seen as a rising star in the party and looks like a serious rival to Yousaf. 
  • Scottish Independence which is the main SNP goal is currently around even money with the best betting sites.  

Next Scottish First Minister Betting Odds

Next First Minister 2nd March 2023 Percentage Chance 24th February 2023 Percentage Chance
Humza Yousaf 4/5 55.56% 8/15 65%
Kate Forbes 5/4 44.44% 5/2 28%
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Despite the furore over her views on equal marriage, the best betting sites have Kate Forbes at shortish odds in the First Minister contest.

Nigel Skinner - OLBG Editor


How To Bet On The Next First Minister of Scotland

In this market, you just need to predict which candidate will succeed Nicola Sturgeon.

The odds will fluctuate from now until the vote, take note of all the reporting and which candidate seems to be winning the argument and making the fewest gaffes.

Online and in the media check who is receiving the most positive coverage.  

How To Place A Bet On The Next Scottish First Minister

The majority of the best betting sites cover political betting and there is nothing complicated about placing a bet, it is just a betting market like a list of horses for the Grand National. 

You simply need to go to your favourite betting app and head to the political section in the menu, then select Scottish First Minister Odds. 

If you do not have an active online betting account, then head over to our betting sites section where you will see a list of bookmakers available in the UK. 

Scottish First Minister Announcement

The new First Minister of Scotland will be announced on the 27th of March 2023.

We have in-depth reviews so you can see what other users think of them before deciding, or head over to the free bets page where you can see the list of welcome offers currently available from all UK betting sites. 

Once at the bookies use the index for political betting and click Scottish First Minister Odds, select the candidate and decide how much you wish to wager. 

Input the amount and click confirm, you can check the bet has been placed in the history section of your account.  

First Minister Odds

If you don't have a currently active online betting app on your phone, take a look at the list of available bookmakers. Betway, Paddy Power, Betfair and Smarkets all have Scottish First Minister Odds.

Next First Minister and Scottish Independence Betting News Diary Timeline

The betting odds for The Next First Minister will naturally fluctuate with every speech and gaffe made by the candidates.

Here is a round-up of the Next First Minister Betting Timeline from our OLBG News feed along with Scottish Independence stories.  

15th March 2023

Next Permanent Leader of the SNP Betting Odds: Humza Yousaf is the ODDS ON favourite to be the next leader of the Scottish National Party according to latest bookmaker odds!
ALSO READ

Next Permanent Leader of the SNP Betting Odds: Humza Yousaf is the ODDS ON favourite to be the next leader of the Scottish National Party according to latest bookmaker odds!

Humza Yousaf is the favourite with bookmakers to become the next leader of the Scottish National Party with Nicola Sturgeon stepping down from the role last month. Yousaf is the current Scottish Cabinet Secretary for Health and Social Care and according to the latest odds from Paddy Power has a 65% chance of winning the leadership race. The SNP leadership winner will be announced on 27th March and it looks like it'll be a two horse race between Yousaf and Kate Forbes when it comes to who will win.

16th February 2023

Angus Robertson Springs to Head of Next First Minister Betting in Scotland with a 50% Chance of Securing the Position
ALSO READ

Angus Robertson Springs to Head of Next First Minister Betting in Scotland with a 50% Chance of Securing the Position

With the surprise announcement on Wednesday evening from Nicola Sturgeon that she is standing down as the First minister of Scotland, Bookmakers have quickly adjusted the odds on who is likely to be her replacement. Betting on the Next First Minister of Scotland at Smarkets has seen Angus Robertson quoted at just over Evens, representing a 50% chance of securing the position at the head of the Scottish government.

19th October 2022 

Scottish Independence Referendum Betting Odds: 57% chance that Scotland votes YES in a potential 2023 referendum according to bookmakers!
ALSO READ

Scottish Independence Referendum Betting Odds: 57% chance that Scotland votes YES in a potential 2023 referendum according to bookmakers!

The Scottish independence referendum has been in the news again this week with the Supreme Court beginning its hearing on the independence vote. It may well take months for the Supreme Court to reach a decision on whether the Scottish Government’s intention to hold another independence referendum is legal or not. Bookies make it 8/11 that Scotland would vote yes if the 2023 independence referendum does go ahead but it looks unlikely that it will next year. Smarkets give a whole host of odds around the Scottish indyref2 with Nicola Sturgeon wanting to hold the referendum in October 2023.

20th December 2021

Scotland Politics Betting 2022 - Next Scottish First Minister Betting has a Clear 6/4 favourite
ALSO READ

Scotland Politics Betting 2022 - Next Scottish First Minister Betting has a Clear 6/4 favourite

Betting on the next First Minister of Scotland is available with betting sites and punters have made no secret as to who they think will be next in the hot seat. We have been taking an in-depth look at 2022 betting markets and one that looks like it has some action to come is the betting on who will be the next First Minister of Scotland after Nicola Sturgeon.


Things To Consider When Betting on the First Minister Of Scotland

The current talk may be of independence and this issue will define Nicola Sturgeon's leadership, without her momentum may be lost. 

If a referendum call stalls or gets bogged down in the courts then she may feel like passing the indyref baton to someone new.  

June 2022 Scottish Independence Polling Averages

YES had 47.5% and NO 52.5% in this poll, so we can see how close the vote will be.

With that in mind the bookmakers have priced up a book on Next First Minister Betting Odds - Scotland.

Kate Forbes

The odds show Angus Robertson the former Deputy Leader of the SNP as the favourite 

Bookmakers may consider that previous SNP leader John Swinney's time has passed, however, he is second in the betting.  

Labour now have a credible candidate in Anas Sarwar but he has a mountain to climb to revive his party to its former glory. 

The Conservatives would not receive enough support from the Parliament whoever they put forward.

First Minister Betting

Nicola Sturgeon will surely want at least one more stab at achieving Scottish Independence before she leaves the office of First Minister.

Scotland First Minister History

Tony Blair's Labour government devolved powers to Scotland and the new Scottish Parliament was founded on the 12th of May 1999.

Five elections have taken place since the Parliament was formed in 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, and 2016.

129 MSPs (Members Of the Scottish Parliament) meet at Holyrood, Edinburgh, in a purpose-built chamber that was opened in 2004. 

The First Minister along with her appointed ministers develops and implements Scottish Government policy. 

The use of the title " First Minister" is often used to describe leaders of smaller regions, especially in relation to devolved areas or countries. 

For example, you may have a Monarch or Prime Minister but can still have a First Minister. 

Currently in Scotland, Northern Ireland, and Wales, there are First Ministers in situ. 

The First Minister of Scotland is nearly always a representative of the biggest party, although nominations can be from and for anyone. 

Scottland

The First Minister need to maintain the confidence of the Parliament, the larger the majority of their party the more likely they will remain in the post. 

Donald Dewar for Labour was the inaugural 1st Minister, he served for 18 months. Dewar is often cited as the "Father Of The Nation"

He died of a brain haemorrhage whilst in office and was succeeded by Henry Mcleish.

Parliament Leader Party  Elected
5th Parliament Nicola Sturgeon SNP 17th May 2016
4th Parliament Nicola Sturgeon SNP 19th November 2014
3rd Parliament Alex Salmond SNP 16th November 2007
2nd Parliament Jack McConnell Labour 15th May 2003
1st Parliament  Jack McConnell Labour 22nd November 2001
1st Parliament Henry McCleish Labour 26th October 2000
1st Parliament Donald Dewar Labour 13th May 1999


Latest Scottish Independence Betting Odds

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