🗳️ Bet on Bury South Elections: Data, Insights & Tips

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Bury South's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Bury South Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Bury South Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Bury South Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Bury South may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Bury South, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.
📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Bury South for trends.
🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Bury South residents.
📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.
🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.
📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.
👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Bury South turnout could impact the election results.
💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.
💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.
🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.
🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.
📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

Constituency Information

Bury South, a UK parliamentary constituency since 1983, has its roots in former Labour-Conservative marginal seats. In the 2019 General Election, it was notably marginal, with a slim Conservative majority of 402 votes. The Conservative MP, Christian Wakeford, switched to Labour in January 2022. Initially covering towns like Radcliffe, Whitefield, and Prestwich but excluding Bury itself (except Unsworth), its boundary changes are frequent, with the latest proposal in 2023 incorporating additional areas from the City of Salford.

Christian Wakeford
By Richard Townshend - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4871/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4871/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86688482

Historically, it shifted from Conservative to Labour representation, with Ivan Lewis serving from 1997 to 2019 before suspension and an unsuccessful independent run due to allegations.

The constituency, combining residential areas with significant Jewish communities and rural lands at risk of development, showcases economic diversity and housing price variations. It has been a stage for notable politicians and reflects a complex local election pattern, with varying party dominations across its towns.

Shifting Sands of Bury South: From Marginal Victories to Party Switche

🇬🇧💼 #BurySouth's journey: From a tight 2019 election with a 402 vote margin 📊, to MP Wakeford's switch from Conservative to Labour 🔁, this constituency's ever-changing boundaries and rich history makes it a political hotbed!

General Election Betting

The Bury South seat was created from Middleton and Prestwich and Bury and Radcliffe in 1983. As of the census in 2011, the population is 97,842.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4311870

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Bury South's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

The Conservaties won the seat from Labour as Christian Wakeford earned a 402 vote majority over Labour's Lucy Burke
Wakeford and the Conservatives earned a vote share of 43.8% - up 2.3% on the previous election.
However, it was bad news for Labour as their own vote share was down 10.2% on the same period at 43%
With a majority of 402, it equated to 0.8% of the total vote. This also meant it was the 10th smallest of the 2019 General Election.
The Liberal Democrats had to make do with third place and just 4.6% of the vote
The turnout for the seat was 66.9% - down 2.3% on 2017

Candidate Data	Party	Gender	Number of votes	Share (%)	Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Christian Wakeford	Conservative	Male	22,034	43.80%	2.3
Lucy Burke	Labour	Female	21,632	43.00%	-10.2
Richard Kilpatrick	Liberal Democrat	Male	2,315	4.60%	2.5
Andrea Livesey	Brexit Party	Female	1,672	3.30%	0
Ivan Lewis	Independent	Male	1,366	2.70%	0
Glyn Heath	Green	Male	848	1.70%	0
Michael Boyle	Independent	Male	277	0.60%	0
Gemma Evans	Women's Equality Party	Female	130	0.30%	0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 402 from the 50,274 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 0.8%, making Bury South the tenth closest run constituency in the 2019 election.

Bury South Majority Data
Votes	402
Percent	0.80%
Rank (1 = highest %)	641

Voter turnout for the Bury South seat was at 66.9%. This figure was up 1.3% on the region as a whole and down 2.3% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 0.4% on the average turnout for 2019.

Bury South Turnout Data
Constituency	66.90%
Region	65.60%
UK	67.30%
Constituency in 2017	69.20%
Size of electorate	75,152
Valid votes cast	50,274

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

Besses
Bury West
Holyrood
Pilkington Park
Radcliffe East
Radcliffe North & Ainsworth
Radcliffe West
Sedgley
St. Mary's
Unsworth

How to bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.
Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.
Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.
Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.
Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.
Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.