🗳️ Kensington Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 13 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Kensington Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was one of the closest three-way marginals in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ Kensington Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Kensington's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Kensington Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Kensington Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Kensington Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Kensington may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Kensington, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Kensington for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Kensington residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Kensington turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Kensington was a UK Parliament constituency in Greater London that first existed from 1974 to 1997 and was revived in 2010. It has been represented by Felicity Buchan of the Conservative Party since 2019.

By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4821/Portrait?cropType=ThreeFourGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4821/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86627477

In 2023, it was replaced by the Kensington and Bayswater constituency. In 2017, the constituency was won by Labour's Emma Dent Coad by just 20 votes, the first time a Labour MP had won the seat. However, Conservative candidate Felicity Buchan reclaimed the seat in the 2019 general election by a narrow 150 votes. Kensington was known as the UK's wealthiest parliamentary constituency. The first version of the constituency consistently returned Conservative MPs from 1974 to 1992. The reestablished constituency saw a narrower Conservative win in 2015 and a short-lived Labour victory in 2017.


General Election Betting

Introduction

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4372999

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Kensington 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Bullet 1

  • Bullet 2

  • Bullet 3

  • Bullet 4

  • Bullet 5

  • Bullet 6

Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Felicity Buchan Conservative Female 16,768 38.30% -3.9
Emma Dent Coad Labour Female 16,618 38.00% -4.3
Samuel Gyimah Liberal Democrat Male 9,312 21.30% 9.1
Vivien Lichtenstein Green Female 535 1.20% -0.8
Jay Aston Colquhoun Brexit Party Female 384 0.90% 0
Roger Phillips Christian Peoples Alliance Party Male 70 0.20% 0
Harriet Gore Touch Love Worldwide (UK) Female 47 0.10% 0
Scott Dore Workers Revolutionary Party Male 28 0.10% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

Commentary

Kensington Majority Data
Votes 150
Percent 0.30%
Rank (1 = highest %) 646
Share

Commentary

Kensington Turnout Data
Constituency 67.70%
Region 67.50%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 63.80%
Size of electorate 64,609
Valid votes cast 43,762
Share

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Abingdon
  • Brompton & Hans Town
  • Campden
  • Colville
  • Courtfield
  • Dalgarno
  • Earl's Court
  • Golborne
  • Holland
  • Knightsbridge & Belgravia
  • Norland
  • Notting Dale
  • Pembridge
  • Queen's Gate
  • Redcliffe
  • St. Helen's
  • Stanley


How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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