🗳️ East Lothian Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 26 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on East Lothian Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was one of the closest three-way marginals in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ East Lothian Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to East Lothian's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on East Lothian Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on East Lothian Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the East Lothian Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of East Lothian may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in East Lothian, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in East Lothian for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting East Lothian residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how East Lothian turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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East Lothian Constituency Information

East Lothian, soon to be renamed Lothian East in 2024, is a Scottish constituency that selects one Member of Parliament (MP) for the UK Parliament. The voting method used is first past the post. Currently, the seat is held by Kenny MacAskill of the Alba Party, who took over in the 2019 general election by winning against former Labour MP Martin Whitfield with a majority of 3,886 votes.

The area of the constituency includes small towns to the east of Edinburgh such as Haddington and Dunbar, as well as rural areas towards the Lammermuir Hills. The health and wealth levels of the residents are on par with the UK average.

Kenny MacAskill Twitter


Created for the 1983 general election, East Lothian was initially a Labour stronghold until the SNP's victory in 2015. Subsequent representatives included George Kerevan of the SNP, Martin Whitfield of Labour, and Kenny MacAskill, originally elected as an SNP candidate, then defecting to the Alba Party in 2021.


In the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, the majority of East Lothian voters, at 61.72%, preferred to maintain Scotland's place in the United Kingdom.


General Election Betting

The East Lothian seat was created in 1983. The seat was created from the previous Berwick and East Lothian, Edinburgh East and Midlothian seats.

By Sfaxx - This vector image includes elements that have been taken or adapted from this file:, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=147148394

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from East Lothian 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The SNP gained the seat from Labour after Kenny MacAskill earned 36.2% of the vote
  • MacAskill would pick up 21,156 votes and by comparison Labour's Martin Whitfield would collect 17,270.
  • This meant a majority of 3,886 votes and a difference of 6.6% in percentage terms.
  • The SNP saw their vote share go up by 5.6% while Labour's saw theirs go down by 6.6%
  • The seat was keenly contested by three parties and the Conservatives would finish third, with Craig Hoy earning 15,523 votes
  • The turnout for the seat was 71.7% - up 1.1% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Kenny MacAskill Scottish National Party Male 21,156 36.20% 5.6
Martin Whitfield Labour Male 17,270 29.50% -6.6
Craig Hoy Conservative Male 15,523 26.50% -3.1
Robert O'Riordan Liberal Democrat Male 4,071 7.00% 3.8
David Sisson UK Independence Party Male 493 0.80% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 3,886 from the 58,513 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 6.6%, making East Lothian the 566th safest seat in the 2019 General Election.

East Lothian Majority Data
Votes 3,886
Percent 6.60%
Rank (1 = highest %) 566
Share

Voter turnout for the East Lothian seat was at 71.7%. This figure was up 3.6% on the region as a whole and up 1.1% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was up 3.4% when compared to the average turnout for 2019.

East Lothian Turnout Data
Constituency 71.70%
Region 68.10%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 70.60%
Size of electorate 81,600
Valid votes cast 58,513
Share

By Election Betting and Wards

East Lothian By Elections Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Dunbar and East Linton
  • Haddington and Lammermuir
  • Musselburgh
  • North Berwick Coastal
  • Preston, Seton and Gosford
  • Tranent, Wallyford and Macmerry




How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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