Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Bookies now go 8/11 that 2024 will be Rishi Sunak's departure date as Conservative Party Leader
- Kemi Badenoch is now favourite to replace Sunak as Conservative Party Leader
- Labour are the 1/6 favourites to gain the most seats at the next Election
Bookies now go 8/11 that 2024 will be Rishi Sunak's departure date as Conservative Party Leader
Betting is now open on when Rishi Sunak will depart as the leader of the Conservative Party with UK Betting Sites offering odds of what year it'll be.
Sunak must hold an Election by January 28, 2025 and it's unclear as of yet whether there will be an early election taking place at some point next year.
According to reports in the Financial Times, the personal tax cut unveiled in the Autumn Statement has "triggered predictions" by Tory MPs that an early Election will be held.
Sunak's odds of leaving in 2024 have now been slashed into odds-on with the latest betting market suggesting a 57% chance he leaves at some point in 2024.
When will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Conservative Party Leader? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| 2024 | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| 2025 or later | 11/10 | 47.6% |
What the expert says...
Kemi Badenoch is now favourite to replace Sunak as Conservative Party Leader
Business Secretary Kemi Badenoch moved into the bookies favourite to replace Sunak next as the Tory Party Leader following her performance at the annual party conference.
Badenoch has shortened down to just 7/2 to take over from Rishi Sunak with bookmakers having a whole host of potential candidates in the market.
David Cameron made a shock return to Government as the Foreign Secretary and his odds have come in to 12/1 to return as the Conservative Leader.
Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds
Labour are the 1/6 favourites to gain the most seats at the next Election
Betting also remains available on who will win the next UK General Election with Labour clear favourites to win the election whenever that may take place.
Labour have a 1/6 chance of winning according to the latest odds with those odds suggesting a massive 85% chance that they win.
The next General Election is not required until January 2025 with UK General Elections having to be held no more than five years apart but we of course could see an early election called.
| Next UK General Election - Most Seats | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 1/6 | 85.7% |
| Conservatives | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Reform UK | 250/1 | 0.4% |
| Green Party | 500/1 | 0.2% |
