🗳️ Bolton North East Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 6 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Bolton North East Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets.

🗳️ Bolton North East Elections Betting Guide

By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4815/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4815/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikime

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Bolton North East's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Bolton North East Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Bolton North East Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Bolton North East Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Bolton North East may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

3.9 / 5 74 Ratings

Best for Politics Betting

Smarkets beat 63 other betting sites in our research to finish #1 for political betting options

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Bolton North East, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Bolton North East for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Bolton North East residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Bolton North East turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

Constituency Information

Since 2019, Mark Logan, a Conservative, has represented Bolton North East in the UK Parliament. This constituency, created in 1983, encompasses Bolton's town centre, nearby districts like Breightmet, Crompton, Halliwell, and Tonge with the Haulgh, and outer suburbs like Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, and Bromley Cross

Mark Logan
By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4815/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4815/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86668616

Historically a battleground between Labour and Conservatives, Labour saw significant wins from 1997, holding the seat for 22 years with substantial majorities. However, it remains a marginal area reflecting diverse social and economic backgrounds. The constituency boundaries have evolved, notably expanding in 1997 and 2010 to include additional wards.

Bolton North East: The Political Pendulum of the UK

A battleground of politics! 🌹 Labour's stronghold for 22 years, now under Conservative Mark Logan since 2019. From urban heart to West Pennine Moors, this seat mirrors the UK's diverse political tapestry.

General Election Betting

The Bolton North East seat was created from Bolton West, Bolton East and Darwen in 1983. As of the census in 2011, the population is 95,288.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4311865

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Bolton North East's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The Conservaties won the seat from Labour as Mark Logan earned a 378 vote majority over Labour's David Crausby

  • Logan and the Conservatives earned a vote share of 45.4% - up 3.2% on the previous election.

  • While David Crausby's vote share for Labour was 44.5%. This meant a decrease of 6.1% when compared to the 2017 General Election

  • With a majority of 378, it equated to 0.9% of the total vote. This also meant it was the 11th smallest of the 2019 General Election.
  • The Brexit Party beat the Liberal Democrats into third, as Trevor Jones earned 1,880 votes for the former and Warren Fox 1,847 for the latter.

  • The turnout for the seat was 64.5% - down 2.7% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Mark Logan Conservative Male 19,759 45.40% 3.2
David Crausby Labour Male 19,381 44.50% -6.1
Trevor Jones Brexit Party Male 1,880 4.30% 0
Warren Fox Liberal Democrat Male 1,847 4.20% 1.3
Liz Spencer Green Female 689 1.60% 0.8
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 378 from the 43,556 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 0.9%, making Bolton North East the 11th closest run constituency in the 2019 election.

Bolton North East Majority Data
Votes 378
Percent 0.90%
Rank (1 = highest %) 640
Share

Voter turnout for the Bury South seat was at 64.5%. This figure was down 1.1% on the region as a whole and down 2.7% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 2.8% on the average turnout for 2019.

Bolton North East Turnout Data
Constituency 64.50%
Region 65.60%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 67.20%
Size of electorate 67,564
Valid votes cast 43,556
Share

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Astley Bridge
  • Bradshaw
  • Breightmet
  • Bromley Cross
  • Halliwell
  • Little Lever & Darcy Lever
  • Queens Park & Central
  • Smithills
  • Tonge with the Haulgh

How to bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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