What Is The Best Type Of Race To Bet On?

Most horse racing punters have certain types of race that theyprefer to stick to for betting purposes and I'd like to hear OLBGmembers' thoughts on the best types of race to bet on.For me it's the upper end of the
What Is The Best Type Of Race To Bet On?
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

Many but not all horse racing punters have certain types of race that they prefer to stick to for betting purposes, others just bet on anything. 

You can read the different types of Horse Race via the blog below. 

Different Types of Horse Races in the UK and Ireland
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Different Types of Horse Races in the UK and Ireland

I would like to hear OLBG members' thoughts on the best types of race to bet on and what bets they place.  

I find handicap betting the best form of race to bet on because they are nearly always competitive races meaning competitive odds are offered. 

Horse Racing Favourites win less handicaps (29%) than non handicaps (43%), another pointer to more open races. 

These "open" races offer more value but winner finding is harder, you are trading off value for less certainty. 

Non Handicap

The favourite (1.2) in the non handicap has a bookmaker probability of 83.33% and the odds for Thunder Run are restrictive.

NumberHorseOdds
3Thunder Run1.2
2Terre De Vega5
8Celestial Wave11
6Mix De Gris34
9Pennymuir81
7Royal Duke151
5Leveche201
117.76%

Handicap

The favourite (4.5) in the handicap has a bookmaker probability of 22.22% and this more open contest gives us the option to look away from the favourite. 

NumberHorseOdds
1Roscioli4.5
6Mudlahhim5.5
8Dynamite Katie6
5Port Noir7
2Porterinthejungle7.5
3The Cola Kid8.5
4Gilt Edge9.5
7Iconic Knight23
9Gonzaga26
115.17%

The percentage figure at the bottom of the table is the bookmakers profit or overround on the race. You can check out what this overround means via the blog below.

How Bookmakers Work and Create Odds
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How Bookmakers Work and Create Odds

Is the horse race competitive?
In competitive races, such as handicaps, you are way more likely to get decent odds.
Maiden Races
There is often very little form to go on when betting in maiden races, it makes winner finding much trickier.


Betting On Handicaps

A handicap in horse racing is a race that enable horses of varied ability to race competitively against each other via the allocation of differing weights. 

The split between handicaps and non handicaps is around 60-40. Therefore on a daily basis there will be more handicap races to choose from. 

Handicap Ratings

 A horse’s handicap mark determines which race a horse can contest. You can read its historical and current handicap mark on most racecards. 

In the above example handicap race the ratings were as follows

NumberHorseOfficial Rating
1Roscioli59
2Porterinthejungle57
3The Cola Kid57
6Mudlahhim51
5Port Noir51
4Gilt Edge51
7Iconic Knight50
8Dynamite Katie47
9Gonzaga46

This was a contest for horses rated 0-58, so a horse rated say 65 could not enter this race. 

Is the horses rating justified? or is it much worse or much better than that rating.

That rating in this race equates to how much weight the horse has to carry. The highest rated horse in the handicap (Roscioli) has to carry the most weight, the lowest rated horse in the race (Gonzaga) has to carry the lowest weight. 

1RoscioliRated 59 -  9 Stone 10 lbs
9GonzagaRated 46 - 8 Stone 11 lbs

Aside from luck in running, the key to winning handicaps lies in understanding the conditions on the day, which often favor the best handicapped horse. 

There are many different conditions to consider. Distance, going, and draw are some of the most obvious, but pace bias and track bias are also important factors these days.

The more time you invest in studying a handicap, the higher your chances of uncovering the winner. Even the most surprising results in these races can be predicted if you delve deep into the form.

Deciphering the winner of a handicap, considering factors like rating, weight, previous form, going, and jockey booked, is a puzzle. This complexity is what draws me and many others to bet exclusively on handicap races. 

Away from handicaps there isn't always as much betting value in group contests (the best class of race). 

This is partly because these better-quality races are often more thoroughly researched by bookmakers, press, and pundits, and prices reflect their true chances more accurately. 

At the other end of the scale, the worst class races of claimers or sellers and the lack of form in maiden and novice races hold no attraction to me.

If you are interested in finding winners (who isn't?) please check out How To Find Winners - 101 Tips To Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet

101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
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So its handicaps for me, but what type of bets do you prefer and why?

What Type Of Bettor Are You?

There are all kinds of different punters, many of us fall into various groups indicated by the type of bets we place. Each of us has different motivations and have found out over the years what suits us best. 

Form Students: These punters, which include many long-term OLBG members, meticulously study the form. 

We have met them at get-togethers, and they can tell us "the records of three-year-olds in all age handicaps, which horse is today's longest traveller, or how many rides William Buick has had north of the border in the last five years. 

When a horse wins, they say, "It was all there in the form book."

Race Trend Historians: They rely on historical data and trends from previous races to predict race outcomes. 

On OLBG, betting expert Andy Powell collates these historical records via his Big Race Trends blogs.

Mathematical Bettors: A growing segment of punters uses mathematical models and algorithms to identify value bets. 

This group often creates computer programs to solve complex betting outcomes, considering all the variables in a horse race. 

Others subscribe or purchase these from commercial organisations. 

System Junkie: They create or follow specific betting systems such as Martingale, Fibonacci, Kelly or newer systems that have been created and advertised by individuals. 

Value Hunters: These value hunters look for horses with longer odds that they believe have been overpriced by a bookmaker. 

If they give a horse a 10% chance of winning the race and it is priced at 20/1 (4.76%) with an individual firm, they place that bet. 

Major Event Punters: This group bets on significant racing events like the Cheltenham Festival, Grand National, Newmarket Guineas meeting, or Royal Ascot. 

They may not bet regularly, but they focus on high-profile meetings like these. 

Multiple Aficionado

Life-changing wins are the aim for those who favour backing more than one selection. 

They can reap significant returns via Accumulators, Trebles, Yankees, Lucky 15's Heinz or Goliaths.

 In many cases, these bets are instantly lost after the first or second leg, but this does not stop this most optimistic type of racegoer from returning weekly to these types of wagers. 

Tote Bettors

Rather than bet with a bookmaker, they prefer "pool betting," especially on the Scoop6 or Placepot. Pool betting is prevalent worldwide but especially in the Far East. 

Exchange Traders

The betting exchange trader places back and lay bets on the same event at different prices. 

This price variation allows the trader to profit whether the horse wins or loses. 

He or she can also create a "green book" with every selection realising a profit. 

Inside Information Punter

These individuals are often closely attached to specific racing stables or live in areas of the country (Lambourn, Malton, Newmarket), where many stables are based. 

Snippets of "inside information" enable them to profit in selected races. 

Tip Followers rely heavily on tips from expert tipsters, such as selected members on OLBG. Often, a cost is involved, especially when subscribing to the more high-profile tipsters. 


Arbitrage Punters: Arbitrage or Arbers exploit minuscule price differences between odds providers to guarantee a profit. The results are irrelevant as they have the race covered, whatever happens.  

High Rollers: They specialise in placing large wagers. Due to their amounts, this group can receive special terms from the layers. 

They are often quoted by publicity-hungry bookies looking to enhance their standing as a firm that will accept these big bets. 

Social Punters: This group often places small wagers and enjoys the race-day experience rather than solely focusing on placing bets. 

They go racing with their friends, and having fun is as important as winning. They mainly place small bets or long-shot multiple bets. 

Pin Punters: These are minimal-stakes casual racegoers who select horses using lucky numbers, liking the horse's name, or an unspecified hunch on why that horse will win.

 If they happen to win via this method, they often deride the more serious form student with, "I know nothing about racing, but I won, and your horse came last."

Many of us favour a mixture of many of the above categories, and although this is a generalisation, it shows the betting opportunities we all have in the sport we love. 


Responsible Gambling

However you bet one constant is the need to gamble responsibly. We have trumpeted this approach ever since OLBG was created. With this in mind the following articles are there to assist all readers. 

Responsible Gambling Features, Function and Help
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Responsible Gambling Features, Function and Help

How to be Sensible and Gamble Responsibly (Examples)
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How to be Sensible and Gamble Responsibly (Examples)

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