You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Tingle Creek Preview
The Grade 1 Tingle Creek is scheduled to take place in December of each year at the Sandown racecourse, first run in 1979 this race was originally a handicap but in 1994 was upgraded to a Grade 1 race which is open to runners aged four or older and is run over a trip of just shy of two miles in which there are thirteen obstacles to be jumped.
There have been plenty of top-class runners who have won this race, including the likes of Desert Orchid, Moscow Flyer (Twice), Kauto Star (Twice), Master Minded (Twice), Sprinter Sacre, Sire de Grugy (Twice), Un de Sceaux and Flagship Uberalles, who won the race a record three times!
Tingle Creek Information:
Our dedicated Sandown tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Tingle Creek, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Sandown throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Sandown Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Tingle Creek market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Tingle Creek, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Tingle Creek Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Tingle Creek Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Tingle Creek races over the last 20 renewals:
- Un De Sceaux (3:51.35) in 2016
- Sire De Grugy (3:51.40) in 2013
- Sire De Grugy (3:53.90) in 2015
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Tingle Creek next time out, then you would have backed a total of 13 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +7.30. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Tingle Creek.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2005 renewal when Kauto Star from Paul Nicholls under the guidance of Mick Fitzgerald, won in a time of 4:06.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Un De Sceaux, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh set the quickest time of 3:51.35 in the 2016 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Tingle Creek Past Winners
Here are the Tingle Creek past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Tingle Creek are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 4:05.03 | Jonbon (FR) 8yo 11-10 8/13F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2023 4:05.19 | Jonbon (FR) 7yo 11-10 30/100F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 3:58.20 | Edwardstone (GB) 8yo 11-10 5/1 | Tom Cannon Alan King (GB) |
| 2021 4:02.40 | Greaneteen (FR) 7yo 11-7 12/1 | Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2020 3:58.14 | Politologue (FR) 9yo 11-7 11/8F | Harry Skelton Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2019 3:59.00 | Defi Du Seuil (FR) 6yo 11-7 2/1F | Barry Geraghty Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2018 4:03.20 | Altior (IRE) 8yo 11-7 8/13F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 3:54.30 | Politologue (FR) 6yo 11-7 7/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2016 3:51.35 | Un De Sceaux (FR) 8yo 11-7 5/4F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 3:53.90 | Sire De Grugy (FR) 9yo 11-7 100/30 | Jamie Moore Gary Moore (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Tingle Creek have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 19 placings from 113 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 17 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Tingle Creek Replay
Tingle Creek Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Tingle Creek over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls, who has won the race ten times, with those ten winners coming from Kauto Star (2005 & 2006), Twist Magic (2007 & 2009), Master Minded (2008 & 2010), Dodging Bullets (2014), Politologue (2017 & 2020) and Greaneteen (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Tingle Creek are Nicky Henderson (4 wins) and Gary Moore (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Tingle Creek trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 29-10-15 | +18.55 | +10.31 |
| Nicky Henderson | 10-4-6 | -4.10 | -3.61 |
| Gary Moore | 7-2-3 | +0.08 | +0.26 |
| Alan King | 9-1-4 | -3.00 | +2.36 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 5-1-3 | -2.62 | -0.83 |
| W P Mullins | 5-1-2 | -2.75 | -1.42 |
| Philip Hobbs | 3-1-1 | +0.00 | -0.80 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| David Pipe | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Tom George | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
Tingle Creek Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Tingle Creek over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Altior (2018) and Jonbon (2023 & 2024).
Here are some of the top Tingle Creek jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico de Boinville | 5-3-3 | -0.46 | -1.61 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 5-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.40 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-1-4 | -0.50 | +1.75 |
| Tom Cannon | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +2.13 |
| Harry Skelton | 3-1-1 | -0.62 | -1.14 |
| Bryony Frost | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| Brendan Powell | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.56 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Liam Heard | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
2025 Tingle Creek Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 2), 1, 2, 1, 4, 1, 1, 1, (1, 3), (4, 7), 3, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 5, 3, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 159+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Achieved a TS of 138+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Ran in 12 - 30 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved a TS of 140+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Break of 14 - 344 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Had 4 - 15 wins (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 13/2 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Won by at least 1¼l (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Beaten no more -11l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 152+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Dam is not EG/GB/NZ bred
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Sandown racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Tingle Creek. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Tingle Creek by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Tingle Creek Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.20, is when runners had 5 starts in the past year.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past year, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Tingle Creek is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Exeter; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Exeter last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 132 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Tingle Creek:
- My Risk (2 Wins)
- Nikos (2 Wins)
- Poliglote (2 Wins)
- Village Star (2 Wins)
- Walk In The Park (2 Wins)
- Winged Love (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Tingle Creek; that stallion is Oscar, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Greaneteen in 2021, winning for Paul Nicholls at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Bryony Frost. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 13 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Tingle Creek
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Tingle Creek. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Jonbon Cheltenham - 1st of 4 (1/3) | Shloer Chase |
| 2023 - Jonbon Cheltenham - 1st of 4 (4/9) | Shloer Chase |
| 2022 - Edwardstone Aintree - 2nd of 6 (4/7) | Maghull Novices' Chase |
| 2021 - Greaneteen Exeter - 4th of 6 (23/5) | Haldon Gold Cup |
| 2020 - Politologue Cheltenham - 1st of 5 (6/1) | Queen Mother Champion Chase |
| 2019 - Defi Du Seuil Cheltenham - 1st of 4 (11/8) | Shloer Chase |
| 2018 - Altior Sandown - 1st of 6 (59/50) | Celebration Chase |
| 2017 - Politologue Exeter - 1st of 8 (5/2) | Haldon Gold Cup |
| 2016 - Un De Sceaux Auteuil - 6th of 12 (11/10) | Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil |
| 2015 - Sire De Grugy Exeter - 5th of 5 (11/4) | Haldon Gold Cup |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Tingle Creek Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
