Surrey Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)

2024 Surrey Stakes Preview

Established in 1995 under the name 'Vodacom Conditions Stakes', it was given its present name of the Surrey Stakes in 1998 when upgraded to a Listed race. The race is open to three-year-old runners and is run over seven furlongs. The race is run at Epsom during the flat season, this race is run in late May or early June.

Surrey Stakes Information:

• Surrey Stakes Past Winners
• Surrey Stakes Trainer Statistics
• Surrey Stakes Jockey Statistics

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Epsom tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Surrey Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Surrey Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Surrey Stakes Trends:

• 2024 Surrey Stakes Trends
• Surrey Stakes Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Surrey Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -18.00. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Surrey Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:19.88 was set by Safe Voyage in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by John Quinn and ridden by Jason Hart. The slowest winning time was set in 2004 when Madid won in a time of 1:28.73, booked to ride was Richard Hills on this John Gosden trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

• 2020 - Safe Voyage (1:19.88)
• 2023 - Olivia Maralda (1:21.03)
• 2012 - Producer (1:21.48)

Surrey Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Surrey Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Surrey Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Surrey Stakes have been based:

• GB: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 135 runners
• IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
• FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Surrey Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of John Gosden, Saeed bin Suroor and Roger Varian having all won the race two times. John Gosden winners have been with Madid (2004) and Racer Forever (2006). Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with Iguazu Falls (2008) and Shakespearean (2010). Roger Varian winners have been with Solomons Bay (2017) and Olivia Maralda (2023).

Here are some of the top Surrey Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Surrey Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Surrey Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, Silvestre De Sousa, Frankie Dettori and Daniel Tudhope having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore's winners have been with Galeota (2005) and Well Acquainted (2013). Silvestre De Sousa winners have been with Solomons Bay (2017) and Lake Volta (2018). Frankie Dettori's winners have been with Iguazu Falls (2008) and Shakespearean (2010). Daniel Tudhope's winners have been That Is The Spirit (2014) and Ever Given (2022).

Here are some of the top Surrey Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

2024 Surrey Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 3, 5, 1, 3, (1, 4), 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 4, 7, 4, 1, 1, 1, 4, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

• 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2/Cl5
• 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 14/1
• 20 / 20 (80%) - Carried 123 - 134lbs (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 80+ (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (84%) - No more than -6lbs (Vs Max Weight)
• 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -11½l (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 42+ (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/FS (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (89%) - Break of 8 - 296 days (Last Place)
• 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (1 Year)
• 19 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
• 18 / 20 (68%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (Last 3)
• 18 / 20 (84%) - Placed within last 3 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Epsom racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Surrey Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Surrey Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Surrey Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.39 is when runners had the Same jockey as when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class run of Class 1 (L), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

• 2023: Winner in 7 (3,2) [9 Runners]
• 2022: Winner in 6 (1) [7 Runners]
• 2021: Winner in 2 [4 Runners]
• 2020: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
• 2019: Winner in 4 (6) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Surrey Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 108 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 33 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Surrey Stakes:

• Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
• Pivotal (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Surrey Stakes, that stallion is Dark Angel who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Gold Land in 2016, winning for Brian Meehan at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jimmy Fortune. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival

Here is the 2024 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 31st May 2024

Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 1st June 2024