Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview
Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Musselburgh racecourse is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, a race which is run over a trip of one mile, seven furlongs and one hundred and twenty-four yards in which nine hurdles are to be jumped with the race being open to four-year-old runners only.
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Information:
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Past Winners
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trainer Statistics
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Musselburgh tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Musselburgh Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 19 renewals:
- Forth Bridge (3:37.60) in 2017
- Hargam (3:37.80) in 2015
- Impulsive One (3:41.97) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -16.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle.
The runner that holds the record over the past 19 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Act Sirius from Howard Johnson under the guidance of Richard Johnson, won in a time of 4:15.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Forth Bridge, trained by Charlie Longsdon and ridden by Noel Fehily set the quickest time of 3:37.60 in the 2017 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Scottish Triumph Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Scottish Triumph Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The race was abandoned in 2004 & 2019.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:44.70 | Liari (FR) 4yo 11-5 10/11F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 3:45.39 | Afadil (FR) 4yo 11-0 7/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2022 3:41.97 | Impulsive One (USA) 4yo 11-0 13/8F | James Bowen Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2021 3:47.08 | Fiveandtwenty (GB) 4yo 10-10 6/4F | Brian Hughes Donald McCain (GB) |
| 2020 3:54.60 | Thyme White (FR) 4yo 11-0 2/1F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 3:45.70 | We Have A Dream (FR) 4yo 11-5 1/5F | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 3:37.60 | Forth Bridge (GB) 4yo 11-8 9/1 | Noel Fehily Charlie Longsdon (GB) |
| 2016 3:50.50 | Tommy Silver (FR) 4yo 11-0 4/6F | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2015 3:37.80 | Hargam (FR) 4yo 11-8 4/11F | A P McCoy Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2014 3:43.60 | Broughton (GER) 4yo 11-0 5/6F | Denis O'Regan John Ferguson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 21 placings from 119 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 10 runners
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 19 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Sametegal (2013), Tommy Silver (2016), Thyme White (2020), Afadil (2023) and Liari (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle are Nicky Henderson (4 wins) and Charlie Longsdon (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, Brian Ellison has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 8-5-6 | +5.33 | +3.15 |
| Nicky Henderson | 6-4-4 | +1.57 | +0.24 |
| Charlie Longsdon | 3-2-2 | +16.00 | +9.43 |
| Donald McCain | 5-1-3 | -2.50 | -0.85 |
| Nicky Richards | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.41 |
| Gordon Elliott | 3-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.17 |
| James Ewart | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Brian Ellison | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -8.13 |
| Lucinda Russell | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -3.00 |
| John C McConnell | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -2.75 |
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 19 renewals is Harry Cobden who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Thyme White (2020), Afadil (2023) and Liari (2024).
Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 4-3-3 | +5.41 | +2.99 |
| Brian Hughes | 9-1-2 | -6.50 | -5.79 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 2-1-1 | -0.33 | -1.00 |
| James Bowen | 1-1-1 | +1.63 | +1.02 |
| Callum Bewley | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Danny Cook | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| Harry Skelton | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Conor O'Farrell | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Henry Brooke | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Dougie Costello | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, PU, 1, 1, 3, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, (1, 5), 6, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 19 / 19 (64%) - Beaten no more -6½l (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (68%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 19 / 19 (69%) - No bigger than 23/1 (Career)
- 19 / 19 (73%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 19 / 19 (80%) - Ran over 7f - 2m (Debut)
- 19 / 19 (81%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 19 / 19 (82%) - Off a break of 10 - 77 days
- 19 / 19 (84%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (Season)
- 19 / 19 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (85%) - Ran over 1m6f - 2m1f (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (87%) - Not in a Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - In a field of 4 - 13 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 7 races (Hurdle)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Musselburgh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Scottish Triumph Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.36 is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle is Musselburgh, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Musselburgh last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 116 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 13 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Act Sirius in 2008, winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Richard Johnson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals there have been 14 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
