Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview
Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Musselburgh racecourse is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, a race which is run over a trip of one mile, seven furlongs and one hundred and twenty-four yards in which nine hurdles are to be jumped with the race being open to four-year-old runners only.
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Information:
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Past Winners
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trainer Statistics
- Scottish Triumph Hurdle Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Musselburgh then head over to the Musselburgh tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Musselburgh Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Scottish Triumph Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -15.00. Ahead of the 2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 19 renewals, a time of 3:37.60 was set by Forth Bridge in 2017, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Charlie Longsdon and ridden by Noel Fehily. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Act Sirius won in a time of 4:15.80, booked to ride was Richard Johnson on this Howard Johnson trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 19 renewals:
- Forth Bridge (3:37.60) in 2017
- Hargam (3:37.80) in 2015
- Impulsive One (3:41.97) in 2022
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Scottish Triumph Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Scottish Triumph Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The race was abandoned in 2004 & 2019.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:44.70 | Liari (FR) 4yo 11-5 10/11F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 3:45.39 | Afadil (FR) 4yo 11-0 7/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2022 3:41.97 | Impulsive One (USA) 4yo 11-0 13/8F | James Bowen Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2021 3:47.08 | Fiveandtwenty (GB) 4yo 10-10 6/4F | Brian Hughes Donald McCain (GB) |
| 2020 3:54.60 | Thyme White (FR) 4yo 11-0 2/1F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 3:45.70 | We Have A Dream (FR) 4yo 11-5 1/5F | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 3:37.60 | Forth Bridge (GB) 4yo 11-8 9/1 | Noel Fehily Charlie Longsdon (GB) |
| 2016 3:50.50 | Tommy Silver (FR) 4yo 11-0 4/6F | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2015 3:37.80 | Hargam (FR) 4yo 11-8 4/11F | A P McCoy Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2014 3:43.60 | Broughton (GER) 4yo 11-0 5/6F | Denis O'Regan John Ferguson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 21 placings from 119 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 10 runners
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 19 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Sametegal (2013), Tommy Silver (2016), Thyme White (2020), Afadil (2023) and Liari (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle are Nicky Henderson (4 wins) and Charlie Longsdon (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, Brian Ellison has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 8-5-6 | +5.33 | +3.15 |
| Nicky Henderson | 6-4-4 | +1.57 | +0.24 |
| Charlie Longsdon | 3-2-2 | +16.00 | +9.43 |
| Donald McCain | 5-1-3 | -2.50 | -0.85 |
| Nicky Richards | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.41 |
| Gordon Elliott | 3-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.17 |
| James Ewart | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Brian Ellison | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -8.13 |
| Lucinda Russell | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -3.00 |
| Keith Dalgleish | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -2.30 |
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle over the last 19 renewals is Harry Cobden who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Thyme White (2020), Afadil (2023) and Liari (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle are Paddy Brennan (2 wins) and Daryl Jacob (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Scottish Triumph Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 4-3-3 | +5.41 | +2.99 |
| Paddy Brennan | 5-2-3 | +5.40 | +3.11 |
| Daryl Jacob | 3-2-2 | +0.45 | -0.09 |
| Brian Hughes | 9-1-2 | -6.50 | -5.79 |
| Denis O'Regan | 3-1-2 | -1.17 | -0.19 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 2-1-1 | -0.33 | -1.00 |
| James Bowen | 1-1-1 | +1.63 | +1.02 |
| Graham Lee | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.30 |
| Callum Bewley | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| A P Heskin | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | -0.56 |
2025 Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, PU, 1, 1, 3, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, (1, 5), 6, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 19 / 19 (64%) - Beaten no more -6½l (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (68%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 19 / 19 (69%) - No bigger than 23/1 (Career)
- 19 / 19 (73%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 19 / 19 (80%) - Ran over 7f - 2m (Debut)
- 19 / 19 (81%) - Made 1 - 3 starts (90 Days)
- 19 / 19 (82%) - Off a break of 10 - 77 days
- 19 / 19 (84%) - Made 1 - 5 starts (Season)
- 19 / 19 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (85%) - Ran over 1m6f - 2m1f (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (87%) - Not in a Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - In a field of 4 - 13 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Made 1 - 7 starts (Hurdle)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Musselburgh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Scottish Triumph Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.36 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Scottish Triumph Hurdle is Musselburgh, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Musselburgh last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 116 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 13 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Act Sirius in 2008, winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Richard Johnson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals there have been 14 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races at Musselburgh racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Musselburgh racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February (Scottish Cheltenham Trials)
Races in April
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Scottish Triumph Hurdle Preview are at hand, Andy Powell and Darren Brett. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
