Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Richmond Stakes Preview
Named after the Duke of Richmond, a former owner of the Goodwood racecourse, the Richmond Stakes is a Group 2 race for two-year-old colts and geldings.
It is run over six furlongs and takes place on day three of the Glorious Goodwood festival in late July or early August, runners are all set a weight of 9-1 but any previous Group 1 or Group 2 winners in the race will have to carry a 3lb penalty.
Richmond Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood then head over to the Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Richmond Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Richmond Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Richmond Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Richmond Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.07. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Richmond Stakes.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:09.66 was set by Royal Scotsman in 2022, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Paul & Oliver Cole and ridden by Jim Crowley. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Barraquero won in a time of 1:15.42, booked to ride was William Buick by the trainer Brian Meehan.
These are the top three quickest-run Richmond Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Royal Scotsman (1:09.66) in 2022
- Black Forza (1:09.97) in 2024
- Ivawood (1:10.09) in 2014
What the expert says...
Richmond Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Richmond Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Richmond Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:09.97 | Black Forza (USA) 2yo 9-2 (5 of 9) 9/1 | Dylan Browne McMonagle M D O'Callaghan (IRE) |
| 2023 1:13.45 | Vandeek (GB) 2yo 9-2 (3 of 7) 11/8F | Andrea Atzeni Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2022 1:09.66 | Royal Scotsman (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (5 of 8) 5/6F | Jim Crowley Paul & Oliver Cole (GB) |
| 2021 1:14.31 | Asymmetric (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 11/4F | Martin Harley Alan King (GB) |
| 2020 1:10.13 | Supremacy (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 11/2 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2019 1:11.01 | Golden Horde (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (5 of 13) 15/2 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2018 1:11.50 | Land Force (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 5/2F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:15.42 | Barraquero (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 4/1 | William Buick Brian Meehan (GB) |
| 2016 1:11.00 | Mehmas (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (3 of 4) 7/2 | Frankie Dettori Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2015 1:10.82 | Shalaa (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (6 of 8) 11/8F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Richmond Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 29 placings from 149 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 10 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Richmond Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Richmond Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Hannon and Clive Cox who have both won the race two times. Richard Hannon's winners have been with Ivawood (2014) and Mehmas (2016). Clive Cox winners have been with Golden Horde (2019) and Supremacy (2020).
Here are some of the top Richmond Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hannon | 9-2-3 | -3.10 | -6.12 |
| Clive Cox | 6-2-3 | +9.00 | +5.84 |
| Brian Meehan | 10-1-2 | -5.00 | -5.65 |
| A P O'Brien | 7-1-3 | -3.50 | +0.30 |
| William Haggas | 6-1-4 | +0.00 | +0.90 |
| E J O'Neill | 4-1-2 | +9.00 | +8.30 |
| John Gosden | 3-1-1 | -0.62 | -1.17 |
| M D O'Callaghan | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| Paul & Oliver Cole | 2-1-1 | -0.17 | -0.50 |
| Alan King | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.72 |
Richmond Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Richmond Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Ryan Moore, Frankie Dettori and Adam Kirby having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Saayerr (2013) and Land Force (2018). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Shalaa (2015) and Mehmas (2016). Adam Kirby winners have been with Golden Horde (2019) and Supremacy (2020).
Here are some of the top Richmond Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 12-2-2 | -2.50 | -4.50 |
| Frankie Dettori | 10-2-3 | -3.12 | -6.22 |
| Adam Kirby | 5-2-3 | +10.00 | +6.84 |
| Joe Fanning | 6-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.40 |
| William Buick | 6-1-4 | -1.00 | +1.70 |
| Jim Crowley | 6-1-2 | -4.17 | -3.63 |
| Martin Harley | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.72 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 2-1-1 | +0.38 | -0.14 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.40 |
| James Doyle | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -5.49 |
2025 Richmond Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (4, 6), 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 7, 4, 1, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (63%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl3/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Break of 13 - 78 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 13 - 61 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 2 races (30 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - In a field of 6 - 15 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in SCO (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 4 - 13 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Off a break of 12 - 44 days
- 19 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (70%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Richmond Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Richmond Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Richmond Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.11 is when runners ran on Good ground on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class run of Class 1 (L), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (6,7) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (6,7) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (4) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (4) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Richmond Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Richmond Stakes:
- Acclamation (3 Wins)
- Zebedee (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Richmond Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Kheleyf (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Always Hopeful in 2005, winning for E J O'Neill at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Graham Gibbons. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Richmond Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Richmond Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
