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2025 Queen Elizabeth II Cup Preview
Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Kyoto racecourse is the Queen Elizabeth II Cup. This is the only Grade 1 that is restricted to only fillies and mares who are aged three or older. The race is contested over a distance of 2,200m (1m3f) on the turf track.
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Information:
- Queen Elizabeth II Cup Past Winners
- Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trainer Statistics
- Queen Elizabeth II Cup Jockey Statistics
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races in Japan section for links to these.
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How competitive is the Queen Elizabeth II Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup, the over-round has been 126%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £126 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Queen Elizabeth II Cup races over the last 10 renewals:
- Lucky Lilac (2:10.30) in 2020
- Stunning Rose (2:11.10) in 2024
- Akai Ito (2:12.10) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -6.40. Remember, you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 2:10.30 was set by Lucky Lilac in 2020, trained by Mikio Matsunaga and ridden by Christophe-Patrice Lemaire, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2015 when Marialite won in a time of 2:14.90 for trainer Takashi Kubota, who booked Masayoshi Ebina in the saddle.
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Past Winners
Here are the Queen Elizabeth II Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Queen Elizabeth II Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:11.10 | Stunning Rose (JPN) 5yo 8-11 (11 of 17) 17/2 | Cristian Demuro Tomokazu Takano (JPN) |
| 2023 2:12.60 | Brede Weg (JPN) 3yo 8-7 (1 of 15) 7/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Keisuke Miyata (JPN) |
| 2022 2:13.00 | Geraldina (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (18 of 18) 71/10 | Cristian Demuro Takashi Saito (JPN) |
| 2021 2:12.10 | Akai Ito (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (16 of 17) 64/1 | Hideaki Miyuki Kazuya Nakatake (JPN) |
| 2020 2:10.30 | Lucky Lilac (JPN) 5yo 8-11 (18 of 18) 23/10F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Mikio Matsunaga (JPN) |
| 2019 2:14.10 | Lucky Lilac (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (2 of 18) 22/5 | Christophe Soumillon Mikio Matsunaga (JPN) |
| 2018 2:13.10 | Lys Gracieux (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (12 of 17) 37/10 | Joao Moreira Yoshito Yahagi (JPN) |
| 2017 2:14.30 | Mozu Katchan (JPN) 3yo 8-7 (5 of 18) 67/10 | Mirco Demuro Ippo Sameshima (JPN) |
| 2016 2:12.90 | Queens Ring (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (3 of 15) 51/10 | Mirco Demuro Keiji Yoshimura (JPN) |
| 2015 2:14.90 | Marialite (JPN) 4yo 8-11 (12 of 18) 142/10 | Masayoshi Ebina Takashi Kubota (JPN) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup have been based:
- JPN: 10 winners with an additional 20 placings from 170 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Queen Elizabeth II Cup Replay
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup over the last 10 renewals is Mikio Matsunaga, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Lucky Lilac (2019 & 2020).
Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Cup trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikio Matsunaga | 3-2-2 | +5.70 | +2.35 |
| Yoshito Yahagi | 7-1-4 | -2.30 | -2.65 |
| Tomokazu Takano | 6-1-1 | +3.50 | -0.75 |
| Takashi Saito | 6-1-2 | +2.10 | -0.95 |
| Keiji Yoshimura | 4-1-1 | +2.10 | +0.06 |
| Kazuya Nakatake | 3-1-1 | +62.00 | +30.00 |
| Takashi Kubota | 2-1-1 | +13.20 | +6.10 |
| Ippo Sameshima | 2-1-2 | +5.70 | +2.85 |
| Keisuke Miyata | 1-1-1 | +1.40 | +0.84 |
| Yasuo Tomomichi | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -0.33 |
Queen Elizabeth II Cup Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Queen Elizabeth II Cup over the last 10 renewals, with Christophe-Patrice Lemaire, Mirco Demuro, and Cristian Demuro having all won the race two times. Christophe-Patrice Lemaire winners have been with Lucky Lilac (2020) and Brede Weg (2023). Mirco Demuro winners have been with Queens Ring (2016) and Mozu Katchan (2017). Cristian Demuro's winners have been with Geraldina (2022) and Stunning Rose (2024).
Here are some of the top Queen Elizabeth II Cup jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 10-2-4 | -4.30 | +1.09 |
| Mirco Demuro | 8-2-6 | +5.80 | +2.41 |
| Cristian Demuro | 4-2-2 | +13.60 | +5.80 |
| Hideaki Miyuki | 6-1-1 | +59.00 | +27.00 |
| Masayoshi Ebina | 4-1-1 | +11.20 | +4.10 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1-1-1 | +4.40 | +2.20 |
| Joao Moreira | 1-1-1 | +3.70 | +1.85 |
| Kohei Matsuyama | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -6.77 |
| Yuga Kawada | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -6.43 |
| Yutaka Take | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -8.00 |
2025 Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 6, 5, 3, 3, 1, 6, 6, 1, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (58%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 10 / 10 (67%) - No bigger than 64/1
- 10 / 10 (68%) - Beaten no more -3¼l (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (74%) - Not on SFT/GD/SLW (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Beaten no more -5¼l (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Off a break of 27 - 105 days
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Carried 117 - 119lbs (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Dam is not ARG/AUS/CAN/GB/GER/IRE bred
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Ran over 1m1f - 1m3f (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (Season)
- 10 / 10 (88%) - Carried 119 - 126lbs (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (89%) - Highest Run is not G3/Cl2
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Queen Elizabeth II Cup Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +64.50, is when runners had 1 career start over the trip.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a furthest trip run of 1m2f, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-39.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 11 (16,1) [17 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (2,3) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 18 (13,15) [18 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 16 (5,2) [17 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 18 (13,11) [18 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup is Tokyo; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Tokyo last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup; that stallion, Orfevre, has produced 2 winners (2020,2019).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen Elizabeth II Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Epiphaneia (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Stay Gold (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Rulership (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Akai Ito in 2021, winning for Kazuya Nakatake at odds of 64/1 under the guidance of Hideaki Miyuki. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Queen Elizabeth II Cup
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Queen Elizabeth II Cup. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Stunning Rose Sapporo - 6th of 14 (69/5) | Hokkaido Shimbun Hai Queen Stakes |
| 2023 - Brede Weg Hanshin - 2nd of 17 (11/10) | Kansai Television Co Ltd Sho Rose Stakes |
| 2022 - Geraldina Nakayama - 1st of 13 (39/2) | Sankei Sho All Comers |
| 2021 - Akai Ito Tokyo - 7th of 18 (31/1) | Ireland Trophy Fuchu Himba Stakes |
| 2020 - Lucky Lilac Sapporo - 3rd of 12 (19/10) | Sapporo Kinen |
| 2019 - Lucky Lilac Tokyo - 3rd of 15 (39/10) | Ireland Trophy Fuchu Himba Stakes |
| 2018 - Lys Gracieux Tokyo - 2nd of 11 (2/1) | The Ireland Trophy Fuchu Himba Stakes |
| 2017 - Mozu Katchan Kyoto - 3rd of 18 (43/5) | Shuka Sho |
| 2016 - Queens Ring Tokyo - 1st of 13 (11/2) | Fuchu Himba Stakes |
| 2015 - Marialite Nakayama - 5th of 15 (111/10) | Sankei Sho All Comers |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Queen Elizabeth II Cup Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
