Over 2.5 Goals Betting And History For Euro 2020

Updated: 593 Football

Over 2.5 goals and Under 2.5 goals have become a popular football bet. Many use it to accumulate their odds or as part of a bet builder. The Euro 2020 football tournament is expected to see a record amount of over/under bets and with that in mind, we took a look at the history and statistics at Euro Football tournaments.

Over 2.5 Goals Betting And History For Euro 2020
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Over And Under 2.5 Goals Statistics

We can see the number and percentage of goals over and under 2.5 in the last 3 European Football Tournaments.

All statistics are for 90 minutes, as this is how the bookmakers always quote the odds, they do not include extra time or penalties.

European Tournament Matches Played Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 Goals
2016 51  34 Games  is 66.67% 17 Games is 33.33%
2012 31 18 Games is 58.06% 13 Games is 41.94%
2008 31 19 Games is 61.29% 12 Games is 38.71%
  • An average of 62% at the three tournaments were Under 2.5 Goals A Game.
  • An average of 38% at the three tournaments were Over 2.5 Goals A Game

If we look at the opening games of Euro 2020 we see the following odds, these are the best odds from a range of bookmakers at the time of writing. 

In a two-runner race (Over or Under) the true odds are 2.0, but if the bookmakers offered these odds they would not make any money, so they price up and move the odds as money comes in, making sure that whatever the outcome they will make a profit. 

The bookmakers also take into consideration the quality of both sides and their penchant for scoring. 

You can see that under 2.5 goals are nearly always the shortest price (the favourite). 

We can see that from the number of games in previous tournaments that ended up under 2.5 goals which were 62%. 

You are more likely to see games under 2.5 goals therefore always look for odds as close to 2.0 as possible, check all bookies. 

With over 2.5 goals look for odds as close to 2.5 as possible, again shop around. 

Remember though the more generous the odds the less likely the bookmakers think an event will happen. 

The opening group games can be cagey affairs with teams feeling each other out, often a point is valuable, especially if it is against a group favourite. 

Match Under 2.5 Goals Best Odds Over 2.5 Goals Best Odds
Italy v Turkey 1.73 2.1
Wales v Switzerland 1.57 2.5
Denmark v Finland 1.8 2.05
Belgium v Russia 1.8 1.9
England v Croatia 1.72 2.1

Over And Under 3.5 Goals Statistics

You can see that despite our desire for high-scoring games that 2016 was a terrible tournament.  

Only 5 games saw more than 3.5 goals. 

European Tournament Matched Played Under 3.5 Goals Over 3.5 Goals
2016 51 46 Games is 90.19% 5 Games is 9.8%
2012 31 24 Games is 77.41% 7 Games is 22.58%
2008 31 25 Games is 80.64% 6 Games is 19.35%

It will be interesting to view what happens in the upcoming tournament in relation to goals, and whether VAR, smaller crowds, and more teams playing games in their own country affect the over/under statistics.  

If you wish to place a bet or add a tip please visit the OLBG Euro 2020 Tips pages.

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