Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Mildmay Novices Chase Preview
The Mildmay Novices Chase is scheduled to take place in April of each year during the Grand National meeting at the Aintree racecourse.
The race is open to runners aged five who started the season without a win over fences, it is run over a trip of three miles and one furlong in which these novices will have to jump a total of nineteen fences.
Mildmay Novices Chase Information:
- Mildmay Novices Chase Past Winners
- Mildmay Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Mildmay Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
In April, the only thing racing fans are interested in is the Grand National tips from the OLBG expert racing tipsters, which of the forty runners are they predicting to win the showcase race at Aintree? We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Mildmay Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Mildmay Novices Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Mildmay Novices Chase Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Mildmay Novices Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Mildmay Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Holywell (6:14.80) in 2014
- Caldwell Potter (6:18.11) in 2025
- Saphir Du Rheu (6:18.90) in 2015
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Mildmay Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.90. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Mildmay Novices Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when Terrefort from Nicky Henderson under the guidance of Daryl Jacob, won in a time of 6:49.90, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Holywell, trained by Jonjo O'Neill and ridden by A P McCoy set the quickest time of 6:14.80 in the 2014 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Mildmay Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Mildmay Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Mildmay Novices Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 6:18.11 | Caldwell Potter (FR) 7yo 11-7 11/4F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2024 6:42.41 | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo 11-7 6/4F | Mark Walsh Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:21.33 | Gerri Colombe (FR) 7yo 11-7 4/6F | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 6:21.92 | Ahoy Senor (IRE) 7yo 11-4 4/1 | Derek Fox Lucinda Russell (GB) |
| 2021 6:29.31 | Chantry House (IRE) 7yo 11-4 11/8F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2019 6:31.50 | Lostintranslation (IRE) 7yo 11-4 3/1 | Robbie Power Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2018 6:49.90 | Terrefort (FR) 5yo 11-4 3/1F | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 6:19.70 | Might Bite (IRE) 8yo 11-4 8/13F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2016 6:27.60 | Native River (IRE) 6yo 11-4 11/2 | Richard Johnson Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2015 6:18.90 | Saphir Du Rheu (FR) 6yo 11-4 13/8F | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Mildmay Novices Chase have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 25 placings from 129 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 23 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
Mildmay Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Mildmay Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Star De Mohaison (2006), Big Bucks (2008), Silviniaco Conti (2012), Saphir Du Rheu (2015) and Caldwell Potter (2025). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Mildmay Novices Chase is Nicky Henderson (4 wins).
Here are some of the top Mildmay Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 20-5-9 | -3.37 | -2.40 |
| Nicky Henderson | 13-4-6 | +0.50 | -1.17 |
| David Pipe | 5-1-2 | -1.75 | -0.49 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.84 |
| Gordon Elliott | 3-1-2 | -1.33 | +0.42 |
| Lucinda Russell | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | -1.00 |
| C A Murphy | 1-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.60 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| Dan Skelton | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.94 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -3.15 |
Mildmay Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Mildmay Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Might Bite (2017) and Chantry House (2021).
Here are some of the top Mildmay Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico de Boinville | 3-2-2 | +1.00 | +0.25 |
| Harry Cobden | 6-1-4 | -2.25 | +0.73 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 3-1-1 | -0.37 | -1.02 |
| Derek Fox | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.94 |
| Harry Skelton | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.94 |
| Paul Townend | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| David Bass | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.50 |
| Nick Scholfield | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.90 |
2026 Mildmay Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 1, 3, PU, 8, 4, 1, (1, 3), 5, 1, 4, 1, 1, 2, 1, 4, 1, 1, (1, PU)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (45%) - No bigger than 7/1
- 20 / 20 (58%) - Achieved an RPR of 151+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (66%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Not on GD/GF/FM (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Ran in 8 - 18 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Beaten no more -14l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Highest Run is G1
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran in 4 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran over 1m7f - 2m4½f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a Cl3-4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Is not GB/GER/NZ/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 5 - 13 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 139 - 168lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 3 - 7 races (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Mildmay Novices Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Mildmay Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Mildmay Novices Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.80 is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good ground on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Mildmay Novices Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 17 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 150 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 4 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Mildmay Novices Chase, that stallion Martaline has produced 3 winners (2025,2018,2013).
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Killyglen in 2009, winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 7/1 under the guidance of Denis O'Regan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Mildmay Novices Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Mildmay Novices Chase
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Mildmay Novices Chase, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Caldwell Potter Cheltenham - 1st of 19 (7/1) | Novices Limited Handicap Chase |
| 2024 - Inothewayurthinkin Cheltenham - 1st of 22 (13/8) | Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup |
| 2023 - Gerri Colombe Cheltenham - 2nd of 10 (5/4) | Brown Advisory Novices Chase |
| 2022 - Ahoy Senor Cheltenham - 2nd of 9 (4/1) | Brown Advisory Novices Chase |
| 2021 - Chantry House Cheltenham - 1st of 8 (9/1) | Golden Miller (Discontinued) |
| 2019 - Lostintranslation Cheltenham - 2nd of 10 (4/1) | Golden Miller (Discontinued) |
| 2018 - Terrefort Cheltenham - 2nd of 9 (3/1) | Golden Miller (Discontinued) |
| 2017 - Might Bite Cheltenham - 1st of 12 (7/2) | Brown Advisory Novices Chase |
| 2016 - Native River Cheltenham - 2nd of 20 (7/1) | National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup |
| 2015 - Saphir Du Rheu Cheltenham - 2nd of 16 (5/1) | Stayers Hurdle |
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Impaire Et Passe (FR) 7yo - 9/4 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:20 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Murcia (FR) 4yo - 11/4 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Gaelic Warrior (GER) 7yo - 11/4 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
| 15:30 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Lossiemouth (FR) 6yo - 5/4 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:05 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Gracchus De Balme (FR) 9yo - 22/1 | J J O'Shea Mr Huw Edwards |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Sans Bruit (FR) 7yo - 5/1 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Seo Linn (IRE) 5yo - 15/8 | P Twomey W J Lee |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Caldwell Potter (FR) 7yo - 11/4 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
| 14:20 Aintree National Meeting 2m4f Handicap Hurdle | Wellington Arch (GB) 6yo - 14/1 | Jonjo & A J O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Salvator Mundi (FR) 5yo - 7/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Jonbon (FR) 9yo - 4/6 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Gentleman De Mee (FR) 9yo - 14/1 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Julius Des Pictons (FR) 6yo - 14/1 | Jamie Snowden Gavin Sheehan |
| 17:15 Aintree National Meeting 2m Handicap Hurdle | Shes A Saint (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Dan Skelton Tristan Durrell |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Aintree National Meeting 3m Handicap Hurdle | Deep Cave (IRE) 7yo - 28/1 | Christian Williams Jack Tudor |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Honesty Policy (IRE) 5yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Mark Walsh |
| 14:30 Aintree Freebooter Handicap Chase | Cruz Control (FR) 8yo - 10/1 | Tom Lacey Stan Sheppard |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Hiddenvalley Lake (IRE) 8yo - 12/1 | Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | Nick Rockett (IRE) 8yo - 33/1 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
| 17:00 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Kalif Du Berlais (FR) 5yo - 15/8 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
| 17:35 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Green Splendour (GB) 5yo - 100/30 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Mildmay Novices Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
