Betfred Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)

Updated: 396 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Betfred Handicap. This is a race that is hosted at Epsom during the Derby Festival with the race being run over a distance of 1m2f, see which trends the past winners of the Betfred Handicap have set for this year.

Betfred Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Betfred Handicap Preview

This class two handicap is scheduled to take place in June of each year at the Epsom racecourse during the Derby Festival, the race is open to runners who are aged four or older and is contested over a distance of one mile and two furlongs.

Betfred Handicap Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Epsom tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Betfred Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Betfred Handicap, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Betfred Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Betfred Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.00. Ahead of the 2024 Betfred Handicap why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:04.35 was set by Farraaj in 2014, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Roger Varian and ridden by Andrea Atzeni. The slowest winning time was set in 2016 when Imshivalla won in a time of 2:12.63, booked to ride was Paul Hanagan on this Richard Fahey trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Betfred Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Farraaj (2:04.35)
  • 2023 - Cadillac (2:05.51)
  • 2020 - Sky Defender (2:05.65)

Betfred Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Betfred Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Betfred Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:05.51
Cadillac (IRE)
5yo 9-11 (8 of 11) 12/1
Kevin Stott
George Boughey (GB)
2022
2:07.16
Royal Champion (IRE)
4yo 9-2 (1 of 14) 14/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2021
2:12.46
Blue Cup (FR)
5yo 8-12 (9 of 9) 9/2F
Oisin Murphy
David Menuisier (GB)
2020
2:05.65
Sky Defender (GB)
4yo 9-5 (16 of 13) 22/1
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)
2019
2:06.08
Mountain Angel (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (6 of 11) 11/4F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2018
2:10.27
Ajman King (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (9 of 11) 5/4F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2017
2:06.96
Not So Sleepy (GB)
5yo 9-8 (2 of 14) 10/1
Adam Kirby
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2016
2:12.63
Imshivalla (IRE)
5yo 8-6 (1 of 10) 25/1
Paul Hanagan
Richard Fahey (GB)
2015
2:07.60
Elbereth (GB)
4yo 7-10 (7 of 13) 16/1
Edward Greatrex (7lbs)
Andrew Balding (GB)
2014
2:04.35
Farraaj (IRE)
5yo 9-8 (5 of 12) 13/2
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Betfred Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 42 placings from 236 runners
  • UAE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Betfred Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Betfred Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Roger Varian who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Farraaj (2014), Ajman King (2018), Mountain Angel (2019) and Royal Champion (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Betfred Handicap is Stuart Kittow (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Betfred Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Roger Varian 5-4-4 +23.50 +14.21
Stuart Kittow 5-2-2 +11.00 +5.40
Mark Johnston 22-1-3 +1.00 -4.62
Richard Fahey 18-1-5 +8.00 +4.21
Andrew Balding 11-1-4 +6.00 +7.63
Ralph Beckett 6-1-4 -0.50 +2.13
John Gosden 4-1-2 -0.75 -0.59
Hughie Morrison 3-1-1 +8.00 +4.25
Saeed bin Suroor 3-1-2 +1.50 +1.60
David Menuisier 2-1-2 +3.50 +2.76

Betfred Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Betfred Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Andrea Atzeni who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Farraaj (2014), Ajman King (2018), Mountain Angel (2019) and Royal Champion (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Betfred Handicap is J F Egan (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Betfred Handicap, Ryan Moore has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Betfred Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Andrea Atzeni 9-4-4 +19.50 +10.21
J F Egan 5-2-2 +45.00 +27.00
Paul Hanagan 10-1-3 +16.00 +8.81
William Buick 8-1-1 -4.75 -5.59
Joe Fanning 6-1-1 +17.00 +8.75
Oisin Murphy 6-1-1 -0.50 -2.30
Adam Kirby 4-1-1 +7.00 +3.25
Neil Callan 4-1-1 +3.00 +0.60
Frankie Dettori 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.90
Edward Greatrex 2-1-2 +15.00 +11.10

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 15, 2, 7, 1, 2, 6, 4, 1, 4, 10, (2, 12), 4, 5, 1, 1, 10, 1, 6, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 86+
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 2 placings (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 4 starts (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not at Chester or Windsor (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 5 placings (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest ran 1m2f - 1m5f
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Placed 1m1f - 1m4f
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 93+ (Last 5)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 87+ (Last 3)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 10 of market
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 5 starts
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - Carried 119 - 133lbs (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (88%) - Carried no more than 134lbs

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Epsom racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Betfred Handicap. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Betfred Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Betfred Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +74.75 is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 season places, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 8 (2,5) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (3,13) [14 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 9 (6,11) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 16 (12,9) [13 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (8,5) [11 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Betfred Handicap are York and Epsom, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 227 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 12 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Betfred Handicap:

  • Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Lope De Vega (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Betfred Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • High Chaparral (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Key Of Luck (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Sir Percy (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Chancellor in 2006, winning for Ernst Oertel at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of J F Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Betfred Handicap why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival

Here is the 2024 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 31st May 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
14:00
Woodcote Stakes
Bobsleigh (IRE)
2yo - 5/1
Eve Johnson Houghton
Charles Bishop
14:35
Racehorse Lotto Handicap
Austrian Theory (IRE)
4yo - 7/1
Charlie Johnston
Joe Fanning
15:10
Coronation Cup
Emily Upjohn (GB)
4yo - 11/4
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
15:45
Betfred Handicap
Cadillac (IRE)
5yo - 12/1
George Boughey
Kevin Stott
16:30
Epsom Oaks
Soul Sister (IRE)
3yo - 11/4
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
17:10
Surrey Stakes
Olivia Maralda (IRE)
3yo - 3/1
Roger Varian
Kevin Stott
17:45
Winners Wear Cavani Handicap
Spanish Star (IRE)
8yo - 12/1
Patrick Chamings
Rhys Clutterbuck

Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 1st June 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
12:50
Diomed Stakes
Regal Reality (GB)
8yo - 5/1
Sir Michael Stoute
Ryan Moore
13:30
Epsom Derby
Auguste Rodin (IRE)
3yo - 9/2
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore
14:10
Princess Elizabeth Stakes
Prosperous Voyage (IRE)
4yo - 6/4
Ralph Beckett
Frankie Dettori
14:45
Epsom 3yo Dash
Tatterstall (IRE)
3yo - 8/1
Michael Dods
Connor Beasley
15:20
Epsom Dash
Navello (GB)
4yo - 25/1
George Boughey
Andrea Atzeni
15:55
Betfred Lester Piggott Handicap
Torito (GB)
3yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Benoit De La Sayette
16:30
Northern Dancer Handicap
Sheer Rocks (GB)
4yo - 11/2
Eve Johnson Houghton
Harry Davies
17:05
JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap
Badri (GB)
6yo - 10/1
Ruth Carr
Hollie Doyle

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