Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Empire Rose Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in either late October or early November of each year at the Flemington racecourse is the Empire Rose Stakes, a race that features on the opening day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, the Saturday before the Melbourne Cup takes place.
Created in 1988, this race was originally Listed but was upgraded in 1995 to G3, then again in 1997 to G2, and finally, since 2004, has held G1 status. The race is open to fillies and mares aged three or older and is run over a 1,600m distance.
Empire Rose Stakes Information:
- Empire Rose Stakes Past Winners
- Empire Rose Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Empire Rose Stakes Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Flemington then head over to the Flemington tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Empire Rose Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Empire Rose Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Empire Rose Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the Empire Rose Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Empire Rose Stakes.
Over the last 19 renewals, it was Colette, trained by James Cummings and ridden by Damien Oliver who set the fastest winning time in the Empire Rose Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:34.84 when winning the race in 2021. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Joseph Pride and jockey Corey Brown with Sacred Choice who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:38.91 in the 2010 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Empire Rose Stakes over the last 19 renewals:
- Colette (1:34.84) in 2021
- Shillelagh (1:34.86) in 2018
- Pride Of Jenni (1:34.86) in 2023
Empire Rose Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Empire Rose Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Empire Rose Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:35.93 | Atishu (NZ) 7yo 9-0 (9 of 13) 13/5F | James McDonald Chris Waller (AUS) |
| 2023 1:34.86 | Pride Of Jenni (AUS) 6yo 9-0 (16 of 16) 15/1 | Declan Bates Ciaron Maher & David Eustace (AUS) |
| 2022 1:37.81 | Icebath (NZ) 6yo 9-0 (3 of 16) 10/1 | Craig A Williams Brad Widdup (AUS) |
| 2021 1:34.84 | Colette (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 14) 12/1 | Damien Oliver James Cummings (AUS) |
| 2020 1:35.37 | Shout The Bar (AUS) 4yo 8-13 (11 of 13) 30/1 | Damien Oliver Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott (AUS) |
| 2019 1:37.78 | Melody Belle (NZ) 5yo 9-0 (13 of 16) 14/5F | Opie Bosson Jamie Richards (NZ) |
| 2018 1:34.86 | Shillelagh (NZ) 7yo 9-0 (9 of 16) 11/2 | James McDonald Chris Waller (AUS) |
| 2017 1:35.26 | Shoals (AUS) 3yo 7-12 (10 of 16) 19/5F | Dean Yendall Anthony Freedman (AUS) |
| 2016 1:35.56 | I Am A Star (NZ) 3yo 7-10 (10 of 15) 15/2 | Dean Yendall Shane Nichols (AUS) |
| 2015 1:37.75 | Politeness (AUS) 5yo 9-0 (10 of 15) 18/1 | Dwayne Dunn Robert Smerdon (AUS) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Empire Rose Stakes have been based:
- AUS: 18 winners with an additional 36 placings from 246 runners
- NZ: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 13 runners
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
Empire Rose Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Empire Rose Stakes over the last 19 renewals is Chris Waller who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Red Tracer (2013), Shillelagh (2018) and Atishu (2024).
Here are some of the top Empire Rose Stakes trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Waller | 21-3-8 | -7.80 | -5.38 |
| Peter G Moody | 10-1-3 | -7.75 | -4.16 |
| Peter Snowden | 6-1-2 | -2.75 | -0.65 |
| Guy Walter | 5-1-1 | +36.00 | +20.00 |
| Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | 5-1-1 | +26.00 | +14.00 |
| Robert Smerdon | 5-1-2 | +14.00 | +8.20 |
| James Cummings | 5-1-1 | +8.00 | +3.20 |
| Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | 4-1-1 | +12.00 | +4.50 |
| Pat Hyland | 3-1-2 | +23.00 | +12.50 |
| Joseph Pride | 3-1-2 | +18.00 | +13.00 |
Empire Rose Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Empire Rose Stakes over the last 19 renewals with both Damien Oliver and Michael Rodd who have both won the race three times. Damien Oliver winners have been with Hurtle Myrtle (2011), Shout The Bar (2020) and Colette (2021). Michael Rodd's winners have been Divine Madonna (2007), Appearance (2012) and Bonaria (2014). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Empire Rose Stakes are Craig A Williams (2 wins), James McDonald (2 wins) and Dean Yendall (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Empire Rose Stakes, Hugh Bowman has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Empire Rose Stakes jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Oliver | 12-3-6 | +48.00 | +26.70 |
| Michael Rodd | 7-3-4 | +61.70 | +33.92 |
| Craig A Williams | 16-2-5 | +16.00 | +4.40 |
| James McDonald | 9-2-5 | +1.10 | +2.01 |
| Dean Yendall | 4-2-3 | +9.30 | +5.90 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 11-1-2 | -7.75 | -5.65 |
| Dwayne Dunn | 10-1-1 | +9.00 | +1.80 |
| Luke Nolen | 7-1-3 | -4.75 | -3.56 |
| Corey Brown | 6-1-4 | +15.00 | +12.20 |
| Declan Bates | 3-1-1 | +13.00 | +5.50 |
2025 Empire Rose Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 9, 1, 1, 1, 2, 7, 8, 1, 8, 13, 12, 1, 11, 1, 7, 7, 4, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 19 / 19 (74%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 19 / 19 (83%) - No bigger than 40/1
- 18 / 19 (65%) - Ran over 5f - 7f (Debut)
- 18 / 19 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 101+ (Last 3)
- 18 / 19 (75%) - Furthest Placed 7½f - 1m4f
- 18 / 19 (79%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl2
- 18 / 19 (80%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 18 / 19 (81%) - Furthest ran 1m - 1m4f
- 18 / 19 (84%) - Break of 7 - 238 days (Last Place)
- 18 / 19 (85%) - Beaten no more -5¾l (LTO)
- 18 / 19 (86%) - Off a break of 7 - 28 days
- 18 / 19 (87%) - No bigger than 80/1 (Career)
- 18 / 19 (87%) - No bigger than 60/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 19 (89%) - Carried 114 - 126lbs (Debut)
- 17 / 19 (71%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Flemington racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Empire Rose Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Empire Rose Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Empire Rose Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +41.65 is when runners had a different jockey than when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 1m on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-57.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 9 (2,13) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 16 (8,14) [16 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (15,4) [16 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 8 (3,12) [14 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 11 (7,13) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Empire Rose Stakes is Caulfield, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Caulfield last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Randwick, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Randwick last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Empire Rose Stakes:
- Commands (2 Wins)
- Dane Shadow (2 Wins)
- Savabeel (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Empire Rose Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Encosta De Lago (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Street Cry (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Lonhro (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Sebring (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Snitzel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Appearance in 2012, winning for Guy Walter at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Michael Rodd. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Empire Rose Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Empire Rose Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered during the Melbourne Cup Carnival
Here are the other races that take place at the Flemington Racetrack during the Melbourne Cup Carnival that we also cover with blogs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Coolmore Stud Stakes Victoria Derby Day | Switzerland (AUS) 3yo - 9/2 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Empire Rose Stakes Victoria Derby Day | Atishu (NZ) 7yo - 13/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
| Victoria Derby Victoria Derby Day | Goldrush Guru (AUS) 3yo - 7/1 | Andrew Gluyas Jamie Kah |
| Melbourne Cup Melbourne Cup Day | Knights Choice (AUS) 5yo - 90/1 | John Symons & Sheila Laxon Robbie Dolan |
| Crown Oaks Kennedy Oaks Day | Treasurethe Moment (AUS) 3yo - 21/10 | Matt Laurie Damian Lane |
| VRC Champions Mile Champions Stakes Day | Mr Brightside (NZ) 7yo - 4/1 | Ben, Will & JD Hayes Craig A Williams |
| VRC Champions Sprint Champions Stakes Day | Sunshine In Paris (AUS) 5yo - 4/1 | Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald James McDonald |
| VRC Champions Stakes Champions Stakes Day | Via Sistina (IRE) 6yo - 3/5 | Chris Waller James McDonald |
