Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Dubai Turf Preview
Run during the Dubai World Cup Night at Meydan racecourse in March of each year is the Dubai Turf, a Group 1 race which is open to runners who are aged three or older (southern hemisphere) and four or older (northern hemisphere) is run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs.
Established in 1996, the race was originally known as the Dubai Duty Free and was run on the dirt but was switched to the turf in 2000.
Dubai Turf Information:
Our dedicated Meydan tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Dubai Turf but will also have predictions for each meeting at Meydan throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Dubai World Cup Night section for links to these.
How competitive is the Dubai Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Dubai Turf, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Dubai Turf Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Dubai Turf next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.86. Ahead of the 2025 Dubai Turf why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:45.52 was set by Just A Way in 2014, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Naosuke Sugai and ridden by Yuichi Fukunaga. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Vivlos won in a time of 1:50.20, booked to ride was Joao Moreira on this Yasuo Tomomichi trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Dubai Turf over the last 10 renewals:
- Just A Way (1:45.52) in 2014
- Panthalassa (1:45.77) in 2022
- Lord North (1:45.77) in 2022
Dubai Turf Past Winners
Here are the Dubai Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Dubai Turf as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:45.91 | Facteur Cheval (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 16) 20/1 | Maxime Guyon J Reynier (FR) |
| 2023 1:47.39 | Lord North (IRE) 7yo 9-0 (3 of 14) 5/1 | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:45.77 | Panthalassa (JPN) 5yo 9-0 (11 of 14) 8/1 | Yutaka Yoshida Yoshito Yahagi (JPN) |
| 2022 1:45.77 | Lord North (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (8 of 14) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2021 1:46.46 | Lord North (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (9 of 12) 11/8F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:46.78 | Almond Eye (JPN) 4yo 8-9 (7 of 13) 6/5F | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Sakae Kunieda (JPN) |
| 2018 1:46.02 | Benbatl (GB) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 15) 4/1F | Oisin Murphy Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2017 1:50.20 | Vivlos (JPN) 4yo 8-9 (9 of 13) 14/1 | Joao Moreira Yasuo Tomomichi (JPN) |
| 2016 1:47.13 | Real Steel (JPN) 4yo 9-0 (14 of 15) 8/1 | Ryan Moore Yoshito Yahagi (JPN) |
| 2015 1:47.76 | Solow (GB) 5yo 9-0 (10 of 10) 9/4 | Maxime Guyon F Head (FR) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dubai Turf have been based:
- JPN: 5 winners with an additional 9 placings from 24 runners
- GB: 4 winners with an additional 8 placings from 56 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
- UAE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 16 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 9 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
- BHR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Dubai Turf Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Dubai Turf over the last 10 renewals with both John & Thady Gosden and Yoshito Yahagi who have both won the race two times. John & Thady Gosden winners have been with Lord North (2022 & 2023). Yoshito Yahagi winners have been with Real Steel (2016) and Panthalassa (2022).
Here are some of the top Dubai Turf trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John & Thady Gosden | 5-2-2 | +5.33 | +2.00 |
| Yoshito Yahagi | 3-2-3 | +15.00 | +10.10 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 13-1-1 | -8.00 | -9.60 |
| Yasuo Tomomichi | 4-1-3 | +11.00 | +9.60 |
| John Gosden | 4-1-1 | -1.62 | -2.17 |
| J Reynier | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +10.00 |
| Naosuke Sugai | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
| F Head | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
| Sakae Kunieda | 1-1-1 | +1.20 | +0.72 |
| A P O'Brien | 9-0-0 | -9.00 | -9.00 |
Dubai Turf Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Dubai Turf over the last 10 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Lord North (2021, 2022 & 2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Dubai Turf is Maxime Guyon (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dubai Turf jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 9-3-5 | +3.71 | +4.73 |
| Maxime Guyon | 4-2-2 | +20.25 | +9.35 |
| Ryan Moore | 8-1-3 | +1.00 | -0.45 |
| Joao Moreira | 7-1-3 | +8.00 | +4.20 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-1-2 | -1.00 | +1.20 |
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 4-1-2 | -1.80 | +0.22 |
| Yutaka Yoshida | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
| Yuichi Fukunaga | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
| William Buick | 9-0-3 | -9.00 | -6.56 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 7-0-4 | -7.00 | +2.60 |
2025 Dubai Turf Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 3, 4, 1, 1, 1, 8, 5, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 11 / 11 (54%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 11 / 11 (56%) - Not on HY/GS/GF/STD-SLW/STD/FS (Debut)
- 11 / 11 (62%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 11 / 11 (69%) - No bigger than 53/10 (Last Win)
- 11 / 11 (70%) - Is not ARG/AUS/FR/GER/NZ/SAF/USA bred
- 11 / 11 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (LTO)
- 11 / 11 (71%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last Win)
- 11 / 11 (73%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 11 / 11 (75%) - Ran over 7f - 1m1f (Debut)
- 11 / 11 (78%) - Fewer than 4 starts (Course)
- 11 / 11 (78%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 11 / 11 (79%) - Not BB/BR/CH/RG in colour
- 11 / 11 (81%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-3
- 11 / 11 (81%) - Made 5 - 19 starts (Career)
- 11 / 11 (86%) - Beaten no more -6l (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Meydan racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Dubai Turf. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dubai Turf by adding a tip on the race here.
Dubai Turf Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +20.16 is when runners ran over 1m on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were off a break of 21 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-31.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 8 (14,10) [16 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (4,14) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 11 (9) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (5,12) [12 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 7 (4,6) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Dubai Turf is Nakayama, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Nakayama last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 114 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 21 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dubai Turf:
- Dubawi (4 Wins)
- Deep Impact (2 Wins)
- Lord Kanaloa (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Dubai Turf despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Frankel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Facteur Cheval in 2024, winning for J Reynier at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Maxime Guyon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Dubai Turf why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Races Covered at Dubai World Cup Night
Remember to head over to the Meydan predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Dubai Turf and don't forget we also cover the following races at Dubai World Cup Night.
| Dubai World Cup Night Races | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Al Quoz Sprint | California Spangle (IRE) 6yo - 6/1 | A S Cruz Brenton Avdulla |
| Dubai Gold Cup | Tower Of London (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Dubai Golden Shaheen | Tuz (USA) 7yo - 10/1 | B Seemar Tadhg O'Shea |
| Dubai Sheema Classic | Rebels Romance (IRE) 6yo - 25/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Dubai Turf | Facteur Cheval (IRE) 5yo - 20/1 | J Reynier Maxime Guyon |
| Dubai World Cup | Laurel River (USA) 6yo - 17/2 | B Seemar Tadhg O'Shea |
| Godolphin Mile | Two Rivers Over (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Doug O'Neill Edwin A Maldonado |
| UAE Derby | Forever Young (JPN) 3yo - 8/11 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Dubai Turf Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
