Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Deutsches Derby Preview
The German Derby, otherwise known as the Deutsches Derby takes place at the Humburg racetrack in July of each year and is the German equivalent to the Epsom Derby. This Group 1 race is restricted to three-year-old colts and fillies and was established in 1869 and given G1 status in 1972.
Owner Gestüt Schlenderhan has an incredible record in this race having won it on no fewer than nineteen occasions with the latest coming in 2020 with In Swoop, that was their first taste of success however in eleven years with Wiener Walzer (2009) being their last winner before that.
Deutsches Derby Information:
You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in Germany section for links to these.
How competitive is the Deutsches Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Deutsches Derby, the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.
Deutsches Derby Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Deutsches Derby next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.00.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:27.87 was set by Lucky Speed in 2013, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by P Schiergen and ridden by Andrasch Starke. The slowest winning time was set in 2016 when Isfahan won in a time of 2:45.97, booked to ride was Dario Vargiu by the trainer A Wohler.
These are the top three quickest-run Deutsches Derby over the last 20 renewals:
- Lucky Speed (2:27.87) in 2013
- Buzzword (2:29.51) in 2010
- Wiener Walzer (2:29.56) in 2009
Deutsches Derby Past Winners
Here are the Deutsches Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Deutsches Derby and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:37.18 | Palladium (GER) 3yo 9-2 (20 of 18) 233/10 | Thore Hammer Hansen Henk Grewe (GER) |
| 2023 2:39.11 | Fantastic Moon (GER) 3yo 9-2 (16 of 20) 31/5 | Rene Piechulek Frau S Steinberg (GER) |
| 2022 2:32.95 | Sammarco (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 20) 63/10 | Bauyrzhan Murzabayev P Schiergen (GER) |
| 2021 2:34.56 | Sisfahan (FR) 3yo 9-2 (15 of 20) 115/10 | Andrasch Starke Henk Grewe (GER) |
| 2020 2:34.97 | In Swoop (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (13 of 19) 137/10 | Ronan Thomas F-H Graffard (FR) |
| 2019 2:29.95 | Laccario (GER) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 15) 2/1F | Eduardo Pedroza A Wohler (GER) |
| 2018 2:32.44 | Weltstar (GER) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 11/5 | Adrie de Vries Markus Klug (GER) |
| 2017 2:41.52 | Windstoss (GER) 3yo 9-2 (11 of 18) 13/2 | Maxim Pecheur Markus Klug (GER) |
| 2016 2:45.97 | Isfahan (GER) 3yo 9-2 (11 of 19) 158/10 | Dario Vargiu A Wohler (GER) |
| 2015 2:30.54 | Nutan (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 18) 33/10 | Andrasch Starke P Schiergen (GER) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Deutsches Derby have been based:
- GER: 18 winners with an additional 37 placings from 318 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 9 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- DEN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Deutsches Derby Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Deutsches Derby over the last 20 renewals is P Schiergen who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Schiaparelli (2006), Kamsin (2008), Lucky Speed (2013), Nutan (2015) and Sammarco (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Deutsches Derby are A Wohler (3 wins), Markus Klug (3 wins), J Hirschberger (2 wins) and Henk Grewe (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Deutsches Derby, Waldemar Hickst (0-18), Jean-Pierre Carvalho (0-12) and R Dzubasz (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Deutsches Derby trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| P Schiergen | 53-5-13 | -22.05 | -28.64 |
| A Wohler | 40-3-9 | -7.20 | -18.64 |
| Markus Klug | 37-3-10 | -23.50 | -22.66 |
| J Hirschberger | 22-2-2 | -10.90 | -14.90 |
| Henk Grewe | 20-2-4 | +16.80 | +0.73 |
| Mario Hofer | 18-1-3 | +8.00 | +1.00 |
| H Steinmetz | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| Frau S Steinberg | 2-1-1 | +5.20 | +2.10 |
| Mahmood Al Zarooni | 1-1-1 | +17.80 | +8.90 |
| F-H Graffard | 1-1-1 | +13.70 | +6.85 |
Deutsches Derby Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Deutsches Derby over the last 20 renewals is Andrasch Starke who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Schiaparelli (2006), Kamsin (2008), Lucky Speed (2013), Nutan (2015) and Sisfahan (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Deutsches Derby is F Johansson (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Deutsches Derby, Filip Minarik has ridden 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Deutsches Derby jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrasch Starke | 17-5-9 | +19.15 | +7.85 |
| F Johansson | 4-2-2 | +7.10 | +3.10 |
| Adrie de Vries | 18-1-3 | -14.80 | -13.62 |
| Eduardo Pedroza | 17-1-6 | -14.00 | -12.04 |
| Jozef Bojko | 14-1-3 | -1.00 | -6.00 |
| T Hellier | 8-1-1 | +18.00 | +8.00 |
| Rene Piechulek | 8-1-1 | -0.80 | -3.90 |
| Maxim Pecheur | 7-1-2 | +0.50 | -2.25 |
| Bauyrzhan Murzabayev | 7-1-1 | +0.30 | -2.85 |
| Davy Bonilla | 3-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.40 |
2025 Deutsches Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 8, 4, 14, 7, 5, 2, 8, 1, 11, 8, 13, 3, 1, 5, 2, 3, 15, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 20 / 20 (53%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 20 / 20 (55%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-3/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Achieved an RPR of 94+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - No bigger than 56/5 (Career Place)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -8l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Sex is Colt
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 6 - 13 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (56%) - Highest Won is not G1/Cl2/Cl5
- 19 / 20 (56%) - No bigger than 15/2 (Career Win)
- 19 / 20 (57%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (59%) - Carried 121 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (60%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m3f
If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts here.
Deutsches Derby Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +27.50 is when runners ran on Soft ground on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were off a break of 14 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-47.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 20 (4,1) [18 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 16 (4,19) [20 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (18,10) [20 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 15 (14,20) [20 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 13 (12,1) [19 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Deutsches Derby is Cologne, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Cologne last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 336 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Deutsches Derby, that stallion Soldier Hollow has produced 2 winners (2018,2012).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Deutsches Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Tiger Hill (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Lando (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Kallisto (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Reliable Man (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Tertullian (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Pastorius in 2012, winning for Mario Hofer at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of T Hellier. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Deutsches Derby Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal Races in Germany
Here are some other notable races throughout Germany which take place during the racing season that we also have blogs for.
