Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Denman Chase Preview
The race was originally known as the Aon Chase, however, since 2012 the race has been named in honour of 'The Tank' and called the Denman Chase. This Grade 2 is open to runners aged five or older with the runners facing a total of eighteen fences during the two miles, seven and a half furlongs distance.
The race serves as a trial for the Cheltenham Gold Cup, a race the great Denman won in 2008, he also won this race in the same year. Native River won this race in 2018 and then went on to win the Gold Cup, a feat also achieved by Coneygree (2015), the already mentioned Denman (2008) and Kauto Star (2007).
Denman Chase Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newbury tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newbury Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Denman Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 116%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Denman Chase, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Denman Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Denman Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +6.50. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Denman Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Philip Hobbs trained Zanza ridden by Tom O'Brien who set the fastest winning time in the Denman Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 5:34.50 was set when winning the race in 2023. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer David Pipe and jockey Tom Scudamore with Madison Du Berlais who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 6:27.69 in the 2009 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Denman Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Zanza (5:34.50) in 2023
- Long Run (5:42.53) in 2012
- Eldorado Allen (5:50.90) in 2022
Denman Chase Past Winners
Here are the Denman Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Denman Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: Cancelled in 2006 due to frost, run at Kempton in 2009 and run at Ascot in 2019.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:00.00 | Shishkin (IRE) 10yo 11-8 8/11F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2023 5:34.50 | Zanza (IRE) 9yo 11-2 16/1 | Tom O'Brien Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2022 5:50.90 | Eldorado Allen (FR) 8yo 11-6 6/1 | Brendan Powell Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2021 5:57.76 | Secret Investor (GB) 9yo 11-0 14/1 | Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2020 5:56.45 | Native River (IRE) 10yo 11-6 2/5F | Jonjo O'Neill Jr Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2019 5:59.70 | Clan Des Obeaux (FR) 7yo 11-6 2/5F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 6:11.70 | Native River (IRE) 8yo 11-6 8/11F | Richard Johnson Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2017 6:05.00 | Native River (IRE) 7yo 11-6 11/10 | Aidan Coleman Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2016 6:17.40 | Houblon Des Obeaux (FR) 9yo 11-0 3/1 | Aidan Coleman Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2015 5:54.60 | Coneygree (GB) 8yo 11-5 15/8F | Richard Johnson Mark Bradstock (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Denman Chase have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 18 placings from 114 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
Denman Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Denman Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Kauto Star (2007), Denman (2008), Tricky Trickster (2010), Noland (2011), Silviniaco Conti (2013), Clan Des Obeaux (2019) and Secret Investor (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Denman Chase are Nicky Henderson (2 wins) and Philip Hobbs (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Denman Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 26-7-15 | +11.10 | +8.50 |
| Nicky Henderson | 9-2-4 | -5.70 | -2.59 |
| Philip Hobbs | 4-2-3 | +26.00 | +16.40 |
| David Pipe | 6-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.50 |
| Venetia Williams | 6-1-3 | -2.00 | -1.45 |
| Kim Bailey | 5-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.81 |
| Mark Bradstock | 2-1-1 | +0.88 | +0.18 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -5.00 |
| David Bridgwater | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -1.27 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.41 |
Denman Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Denman Chase over the last 20 renewals is Aidan Coleman who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Houblon Des Obeaux (2016) and Native River (2017).
Here are some of the top Denman Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Coleman | 4-2-3 | +2.10 | +0.80 |
| Harry Cobden | 6-1-5 | -4.60 | -0.44 |
| Nico de Boinville | 4-1-1 | -2.27 | -1.54 |
| Brendan Powell | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| Bryony Frost | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.75 |
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 1-1-1 | +0.40 | +0.25 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -3.00 |
| Daryl Jacob | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.34 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.25 |
| Harry Skelton | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.40 |
2025 Denman Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, (2, 3), 1, 1, 2, UR, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 4, 3, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-3 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 150+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 141+ Going)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 134+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 1 - 6 wins (Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 147 - 166lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Held an OR of 143+
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 101+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1 - 9 placings (Going)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 148+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 152 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - No more than 2 falls (Career)
- 18 / 20 (77%) - Beaten no more -8¼l (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (77%) - Placed within last 3 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newbury racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Denman Chase. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Denman Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Denman Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +49.01 is when runners had a best in five result of 1st. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins on the going, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-18.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Denman Chase is Kempton, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Denman Chase, that stallion Indian River has produced 4 winners (2020,2018,2017,2009).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Denman Chase, that stallion is Black Sam Bellamy who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Shooting Light in 2004, winning for M C Pipe at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Richard Johnson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Denman Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races at Newbury racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newbury racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February
Races in March
Races in April (Spring Trials)
Races in May
Races in July
Races in November
Races in December
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Denman Chase Preview are at hand, Andy Powell and Darren Brett. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
