Breeders' Cup Mile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Get ready for the Breeders' Cup Mile, run at Del Mar during the Breeders' Cup over 1m. Here we look back through the race's history, showcasing the most successful trainers and jockeys, and identifying the statistical trends that could help you find the next winner.
Breeders' Cup Mile Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Breeders' Cup Mile Preview

The Breeders' Cup Mile is run on the turf over a mile, open to runners 3yo+. First run in 1984, there is a purse of $2m on offer, and in 2018, Sir Michael Stoute ended the American run of 7 straight winners in the race. That was the first European success since Goldikova's third win in 2010 and was the first UK/IRE success since 1995 when John Oxx's Ridgewood Pearl won.

The other European success in the race was with Vincent O'Brien in 1990, Francois Boutin with back-to-back wins in 1987-88, John Gosden's success in 1984, Aidan O'Brien, who had the 1-2-3 in 2020 and then Charlie Appleby won three on the bounce with Space Blues (2021), Modern Games (2022) and Master of The Seas (2023).

For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Mile will hold the title of 'Fanduel Breeders' Cup Mile presented by PDJF'.

Breeders' Cup Mile Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Del Mar tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
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Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025

How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Mile, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ120 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Breeders' Cup Mile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Mile Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Breeders' Cup Mile Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Mile races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Tourist (1:31.71) in 2016
  2. Wise Dan (1:31.78) in 2012
  3. Goldikova (1:32.26) in 2009

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Mile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 15 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -1.44. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Breeders' Cup Mile, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Tourist, trained by William Mott and ridden by Joel Rosario, who set the fastest winning time in the Breeders' Cup Mile. That runner won the race in a time of 1:31.71 in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Frankie Dettori with Expert Eye who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:39.80 in the 2018 renewal.

What the expert says...
The runner-up in the Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes has come here to win the race for the past two years: Master Of The Seas in 2023 and then More Than Looks last year. Program Trading was runner-up this year.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Breeders' Cup Mile Challenge Series

Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Mile:

Breeders' Cup Mile Past Winners

Here are the Breeders' Cup Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:32.65
More Than Looks (USA)
4yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 69/10
Jose L Ortiz
Cherie DeVaux (USA)
2023
1:32.45
Master Of The Seas (IRE)
5yo 9-0 (13 of 13) 33/10F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
1:33.96
Modern Games (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (4 of 14) 11/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
1:34.01
Space Blues (IRE)
5yo 9-0 (2 of 13) 21/10F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:33.73
Order Of Australia (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (14 of 14) 40/1
Pierre-Charles Boudot
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
1:32.45
Uni (GB)
5yo 8-11 (9 of 13) 9/2
Joel Rosario
Chad C Brown (USA)
2018
1:39.80
Expert Eye (GB)
3yo 8-11 (6 of 14) 9/2F
Frankie Dettori
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
1:34.55
World Approval (USA)
5yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 11/4F
John R Velazquez
Mark Casse (CAN)
2016
1:31.71
Tourist (USA)
5yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 33/1
Joel Rosario
William Mott (USA)
2015
1:36.69
Tepin (USA)
4yo 8-11 (7 of 12) 7/1
Julien R Leparoux
Mark Casse (CAN)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Mile have been based:

  • USA: 9 winners with an additional 25 placings from 137 runners
  • GB: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 40 runners
  • FR: 4 winners with an additional 2 placings from 19 runners
  • CAN: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 17 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 30 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 Breeders' Cup Mile Replay


Breeders' Cup Mile Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Breeders' Cup Mile over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Space Blues (2021), Modern Games (2022) and Master Of The Seas (2023).

Here are the Breeders' Cup Mile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Charlie Appleby4-3-4+5.78+3.80
A P O'Brien24-1-5+17.00+6.60
Chad C Brown14-1-3-8.50-7.50
H Graham Motion5-0-1-5.00-3.10
Michael McCarthy2-0-1-2.00-0.48
F-H Graffard2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Ralph Beckett1-0-1-1.00+0.44
Tim Yakteen1-0-1-1.00-0.06
Andrew Balding1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Breeders' Cup Mile Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Mile over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Space Blues (2021), Modern Games (2022) and Master Of The Seas (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Mile is John R Velazquez (2 wins).

Here are the Breeders' Cup Mile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick
(Notable Speech)
6-3-4+3.78+1.80
John R Velazquez
(Formidable Man)
13-2-3-6.00-7.33
Frankie Dettori
(Argine)
11-1-3-5.50-4.16
Jose L Ortiz
(Gas Me Up)
5-1-1+2.90+0.14
Irad Ortiz Jr
(Rhetorical)
6-0-2-6.00-3.20
Flavien Prat
(Program Trading)
5-0-0-5.00-5.00
Christophe Soumillon
(The Lion In Winter)
3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Umberto Rispoli
(Johannes)
2-0-2-2.00+0.46
Colin Keane
(Jonquil)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Breeders' Cup Mile Trend Shortlist

Del Mar will host the 2025 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Mile, which will be run at 11:05 pm on Saturday, 1st November 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Jonquil (14/1)
    • Andrew Balding (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
    • Colin Keane (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)

Others: Johannes (14/15), Program Trading (13/15), Formidable Man (13/15), Gas Me Up (13/15), Notable Speech (13/15), Rhetorical (12/15), One Stripe (11/15), The Lion In Winter (11/15), Argine (11/15), Gran Oriente (11/15), Sahlan (11/15) and Qirat (9/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:53 pm Tuesday 28th October 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Breeders' Cup Mile Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +88.80, is when runners had 6 starts in the past year.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career places over the trip, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-43.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 6 (7,4) [10 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 13 (6,3) [13 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (2,12) [14 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (1,12) [13 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 14 (1,3) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Mile is Keeneland; there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Keeneland last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Longchamp; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Longchamp last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 206 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 43 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Mile:

  • Anabaa (3 Wins)
  • Dubawi (3 Wins)
  • Bernstein (2 Wins)
  • More Than Ready (2 Wins)
  • Wisemans Ferry (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Mile despite multiple attempts:

  • Dansili (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Galileo (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • War Front (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Choisir (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Court Vision in 2011, winning for Dale Romans at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Robby Albarado. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.

Route to the Breeders' Cup Mile

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Breeders' Cup Mile. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - More Than Looks
Keeneland - 2nd of 9 (24/5)
Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes
2023 - Master Of The Seas
Keeneland - 2nd of 9 (5/4)
Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes
2022 - Modern Games
Ascot - 2nd of 9 (4/1)
Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
2021 - Space Blues
Longchamp - 1st of 15 (23/5)
Prix de la Foret
2020 - Order Of Australia
Curragh - 9th of 9 (5/1)
Novi IT Services International Stakes
2019 - Uni
Keeneland - 1st of 13 (3/1)
First Lady Stakes
2018 - Expert Eye
Longchamp - 3rd of 11 (63/10)
Prix du Moulin de Longchamp
2017 - World Approval
Woodbine - 1st of 12 (67/20)
Ricoh Woodbine Mile Stakes
2016 - Tourist
Keeneland - 3rd of 11 (31/5)
Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes
2015 - Tepin
Keeneland - 1st of 11 (27/10)
First Lady Stakes

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Mile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing analyst with over 15 years of experience, delves into the intricacies of international horse racing, meticulously analyzing complex statistical data to uncover hidden trends. He spearheads the creation and management of OLBG's international horse racing trend blogs, providing valuable insights for bettors worldwide.

Breeders' Cup Schedule

Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday

Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
21:45 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Magnum Force (IRE)
2yo - 125/10
G M Lyons
Colin Keane
22:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies
Immersive (USA)
2yo - 2/1
Brad H Cox
Manuel Franco
23:05 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Lake Victoria (IRE)
2yo - 7/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
23:45 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile
Citizen Bull (USA)
2yo - 159/10
Bob Baffert
Martin Garcia
00:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf
Henri Matisse (IRE)
2yo - 39/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Breeders' Cup Championship races on Saturday

The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
19:00 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
Soul Of An Angel (USA)
5yo - 198/10
Saffie A Joseph Jr
Drayden Van Dyke
19:41 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint
Starlust (GB)
3yo - 34/1
Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan
20:21 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Sprint
Straight No Chaser (USA)
5yo - 61/10
Dan Blacker
John R Velazquez
21:01 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Distaff
Thorpedo Anna (USA)
3yo - 2/5
Kenneth McPeek
Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr
21:41 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Turf
Rebels Romance (IRE)
6yo - 19/10
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
22:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Classic
Sierra Leone (USA)
3yo - 69/10
Chad C Brown
Flavien Prat
23:05 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Mile
More Than Looks (USA)
4yo - 69/10
Cherie DeVaux
Jose L Ortiz
23:45 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile
Full Serrano (ARG)
5yo - 134/10
John W Sadler
Joel Rosario
00:25 Del Mar
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf
Moira (CAN)
5yo - 58/10
Kevin Attard
Flavien Prat

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