You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youāre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Preview
The Breeders' Cup Juvenile is run on the dirt over eight and a half furlongs and was first run in 1984. Being a juvenile race, it is open to runners aged two years old and only colts and geldings.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Information:
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Past Winners
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Keeneland tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Keeneland throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Juvenile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out Ā£100 for every Ā£119 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Juvenile races over the last 20 renewals:
- Midshipman (1:40.94) in 2008
- Fierceness (1:41.90) in 2023
- Texas Red (1:41.91) in 2014
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -4.15. Ahead of the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2019 renewal when Storm The Court from Peter Eurton under the guidance of Flavien Prat, won in a time of 1:44.93, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Midshipman, trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by G K Gomez set the quickest time of 1:40.94 in the 2008 renewal.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile:
- Champagne Stakes (Aqueduct)
- Breeders Futurity Stakes (Keeneland)
- American Pharoah Stakes (Santa Anita)
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Past Winners
Here are the Breeders' Cup Juvenile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:42.25 | Ted Noffey (USA) 2yo 8-10 (6 of 6) 4/5F | John R Velazquez Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2024 1:43.07 | Citizen Bull (USA) 2yo 8-10 (6 of 10) 159/10 | Martin Garcia Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2023 1:41.90 | Fierceness (USA) 2yo 8-10 (7 of 9) 165/10 | John R Velazquez Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2022 1:43.06 | Forte (USA) 2yo 8-10 (4 of 10) 5/1 | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2021 1:42.50 | Corniche (USA) 2yo 8-10 (11 of 11) 7/5F | Mike E Smith Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2020 1:42.09 | Essential Quality (USA) 2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 100/30 | Luis Saez Brad H Cox (USA) |
| 2019 1:44.93 | Storm The Court (USA) 2yo 8-10 (4 of 8) 50/1 | Flavien Prat Peter Eurton (USA) |
| 2018 1:43.67 | Game Winner (USA) 2yo 8-10 (9 of 13) 5/4F | Joel Rosario Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2017 1:43.34 | Good Magic (USA) 2yo 8-10 (6 of 12) 12/1 | Jose L Ortiz Chad C Brown (USA) |
| 2016 1:42.60 | Classic Empire (USA) 2yo 8-10 (5 of 11) 11/2 | Julien R Leparoux Mark Casse (CAN) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile have been based:
- USA: 18 winners with an additional 37 placings from 197 runners
- CAN: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Replay
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile over the last 20 renewals, with both Bob Baffert and Todd Pletcher, who have both won the race five times. Bob Baffert winners have been with Midshipman (2008), New Years Day (2013), Game Winner (2018), Corniche (2021) and Citizen Bull (2024). Todd Pletcher winners have been with Uncle Mo (2010), Shanghai Bobby (2012), Forte (2022), Fierceness (2023) and Ted Noffey (2025). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile; Dale Romans has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Juvenile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Baffert | 27-5-11 | +9.55 | +3.16 |
| Todd Pletcher | 26-5-9 | +4.80 | -2.39 |
| Doug O'Neill | 11-1-5 | -4.50 | +9.50 |
| Chad C Brown | 8-1-2 | +5.00 | +1.50 |
| Mark Casse | 8-1-2 | -1.50 | -1.69 |
| J Keith Desormeaux | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +7.90 |
| Brad H Cox | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.00 |
| Peter Eurton | 2-1-1 | +49.00 | +29.00 |
| Michael J Maker | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| Nicholas Zito | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile over the last 20 renewals is John R Velazquez, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Uncle Mo (2010), Fierceness (2023) and Ted Noffey (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile is Martin Garcia (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile; Javier Castellano has ridden 12 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Juvenile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John R Velazquez | 13-3-6 | +9.05 | +5.00 |
| Martin Garcia | 4-2-2 | +21.90 | +12.34 |
| Mike E Smith | 10-1-1 | -7.60 | -8.16 |
| Joel Rosario | 10-1-5 | -7.75 | -2.55 |
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 9-1-2 | -3.00 | -3.89 |
| Flavien Prat | 8-1-2 | +43.00 | +24.70 |
| Kent J Desormeaux | 7-1-1 | +8.00 | +2.40 |
| Jose L Ortiz | 7-1-4 | +6.00 | +6.33 |
| Mario Gutierrez | 5-1-2 | +1.50 | +3.10 |
| Julien R Leparoux | 5-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.40 |
2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2, (2, 11), 7, 2, 3, 1, 8, 4, 1, 2, 3, 9, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Placed is not G2-3/LST/Cl3
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G2-3/LST (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not on SFT/GS/GF/FM/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 197/10 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 1m - 1mĀ½f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 4Ā½f - 7f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -5Ā¾l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 19 / 20 (76%) - Break of 21 - 83 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not G2-3/Cl3
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Placed within last 1 starts
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Not on HY/SFT/GD/FM/STD (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Not in CAN/IRL/ITA/JPN/PER (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 63/5 (Career Win)
- 17 / 20 (41%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Keeneland racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over Ā£6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders' Cup Juvenile by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trend Analysis
ā The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +78.63, is when runners had 1 career place in the class.
ā The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 7 on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-34.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 6 (2) [6 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 6 (7,3) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (8,4) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (3,10) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (3,6) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile is Santa Anita; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Santa Anita last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Keeneland; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Keeneland last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile:
- Into Mischief (2 Wins)
- Street Cry (2 Wins)
- Tapit (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile despite multiple attempts:
- Giants Causeway (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Bernardini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Malibu Moon (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Speightstown (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- War Front (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Storm The Court in 2019, winning for Peter Eurton at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Flavien Prat. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Ted Noffey Keeneland - 1st of 6 (10/11) | Claiborne Breeders Futurity |
| 2024 - Citizen Bull Santa Anita - 1st of 7 (43/10) | American Pharoah Stakes presented by DK Horse |
| 2023 - Fierceness Aqueduct - 7th of 8 (31/20) | Champagne Stakes |
| 2022 - Forte Keeneland - 1st of 14 (109/20) | Claiborne Breeders Futurity |
| 2021 - Corniche Santa Anita - 1st of 7 (2/5) | American Pharoah Stakes |
| 2020 - Essential Quality Keeneland - 1st of 9 (29/10) | Claiborne Breeders Futurity |
| 2019 - Storm The Court Santa Anita - 3rd of 9 (207/10) | American Pharoah Stakes |
| 2018 - Game Winner Santa Anita - 1st of 5 (3/10) | American Pharoah Stakes |
| 2017 - Good Magic Belmont Park - 2nd of 12 (53/10) | Champagne Stakes |
| 2016 - Classic Empire Keeneland - 1st of 12 (8/5) | Claiborne Breeders Futurity Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Juvenile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Breeders' Cup Schedule
Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday
Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Cy Fair (USA) 2yo - 5/1 | George Weaver Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | Super Corredora (USA) 2yo - 44/5 | John W Sadler Hector I Berrios |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Balantina (IRE) 2yo - 14/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Oisin Murphy |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile | Ted Noffey (USA) 2yo - 4/5 | Todd Pletcher John R Velazquez |
| Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Splendora (USA) 4yo - 29/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
Breeders' Cup Championship races on Saturday
The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | Shisospicy (USA) 3yo - 53/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders' Cup Sprint | Bentornato (USA) 4yo - 17/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders' Cup Distaff | Scylla (USA) 5yo - 76/10 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| Breeders' Cup Turf | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 28/1 | W P Mullins Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Breeders' Cup Classic | Forever Young (JPN) 4yo - 7/2 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
| Breeders' Cup Mile | Notable Speech (GB) 4yo - 13/5 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | Nysos (USA) 4yo - 7/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Christophe Soumillon |
| Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Gezora (FR) 3yo - 91/10 | F-H Graffard Mickael Barzalona |
