Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Berkshire Novices Chase Preview
Registered as the Berkshire Novices Chase, this Grade 2 chase is currently run under Coral Novices Chase for sponsorship purposes. Run at Newbury in November of each year it has also been known as the Hopeful Chase, it is contested over just shy of two miles and four furlongs during which a total of sixteen fences will be faced.
The race has been won by some runners who went on to have successful chasing careers with the likes of Denman, Bobs Worth, Dynaste, Coneygree & Clan des Obeaux all winning this race early in their chasing careers.
Berkshire Novices Chase Information:
- Berkshire Novices Chase Past Winners
- Berkshire Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Berkshire Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newbury tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newbury Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Berkshire Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 115%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Berkshire Novices Chase, the over-round has been 109%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £109 which is bet.
Berkshire Novices Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Berkshire Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.18. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 4:50.60 was set by Caribean Boy in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Daryl Jacob. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Denman won in a time of 5:19.30, booked to ride was Sam Thomas on this Paul Nicholls trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Berkshire Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Caribean Boy (4:50.60) in 2020
- Clan Des Obeaux (4:51.20) in 2016
- Champ (4:57.40) in 2019
Berkshire Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Berkshire Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Berkshire Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:58.41 | Hermes Allen (FR) 6yo 11-4 13/8F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2022 4:58.20 | Sebastopol (IRE) 8yo 11-9 22/1 | Stan Sheppard Tom Lacey (GB) |
| 2021 4:59.50 | Nassalam (FR) 4yo 10-7 2/1F | Jamie Moore Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2020 4:50.60 | Caribean Boy (FR) 6yo 11-1 100/30 | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2019 4:57.40 | Champ (IRE) 7yo 11-1 4/5F | Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2018 4:57.60 | La Bague Au Roi (FR) 7yo 10-8 5/4F | Richard Johnson Warren Greatrex (GB) |
| 2017 4:57.90 | Willoughby Court (IRE) 6yo 11-1 15/8 | Nico de Boinville Ben Pauling (GB) |
| 2016 4:51.20 | Clan Des Obeaux (FR) 4yo 10-7 5/2 | Sean Bowen Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2015 5:09.60 | Three Musketeers (IRE) 5yo 11-1 7/2 | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2014 5:06.90 | Coneygree (GB) 7yo 11-1 2/1 | Nico de Boinville Mark Bradstock (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Berkshire Novices Chase have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 9 placings from 93 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
Berkshire Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Berkshire Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson who have both won the race five times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Albuhera (2005), Denman (2006), Wonderful Charm (2013), Clan Des Obeaux (2016) and Hermes Allen (2023). Nicky Henderson winners have been with The Market Man (2008), Punchestowns (2009), Bobs Worth (2011), Champ (2019) and Caribean Boy (2020).
Here are some of the top Berkshire Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 16-5-6 | -3.71 | -2.29 |
| Nicky Henderson | 11-5-6 | +1.60 | -3.85 |
| David Pipe | 4-1-2 | -2.56 | -0.72 |
| Dan Skelton | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +2.57 |
| Gary Moore | 3-1-1 | +0.00 | -2.00 |
| Tom Lacey | 2-1-1 | +21.00 | +0.00 |
| Warren Greatrex | 2-1-1 | +0.25 | -1.00 |
| Paul Webber | 1-1-1 | +10.00 | +6.25 |
| Mark Bradstock | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| Ben Pauling | 1-1-1 | +1.88 | +1.18 |
Berkshire Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Berkshire Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Daryl Jacob and Nico de Boinville who have both won the race two times. Daryl Jacob winners have been with Wonderful Charm (2013) and Caribean Boy (2020). Nico de Boinville winners have been with Coneygree (2014) and Willoughby Court (2017).
Here are some of the top Berkshire Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daryl Jacob | 4-2-2 | +2.06 | -2.00 |
| Nico de Boinville | 2-2-2 | +3.88 | +2.43 |
| Harry Cobden | 6-1-1 | -3.37 | -0.98 |
| Harry Skelton | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +2.57 |
| Stan Sheppard | 2-1-1 | +21.00 | +0.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.56 |
| Robbie Power | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -1.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
2024 Berkshire Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, F, 1, 1, 1, UR, 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Held an OR of 132+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Run is not G3/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/GF/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 20 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 4 - 18 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -17½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 22/1
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 127+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (91%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (91%) - Achieved a TS of 112+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Carried 152 - 164lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newbury racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Berkshire Novices Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Berkshire Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Berkshire Novices Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.11 is when runners had 0 career places at the track. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a furthest trip placed of 2m4f, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-12.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Berkshire Novices Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 91 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 4 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Berkshire Novices Chase:
- Karinga Bay (2 Wins)
- Poliglote (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sebastopol in 2022, winning for Tom Lacey at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of Stan Sheppard. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Berkshire Novices Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races at Newbury racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newbury racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February
Races in March
Races in April (Spring Trials)
Races in May
Races in July
Races in November
Races in December
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