Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Belmont Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in June of each year at the Belmont Park racetrack is the Belmont Stakes, the 2024 renewal will be the 156th running of this Grade 1 race which dates back to 1867. The race is run on the dirt over a trip of twelve furlongs which is open to 3-year-old colts & geldings who will carry 9-0 (126lbs) and 3-year-old fillies who will carry 8-9 (121lbs).
The race is the third leg of the Triple Crown with the Kentucky Derby the first leg and the Preakness Stakes being the second leg, the race is known as The Test of the Champions and also The Run for the Carnations, in recent years both American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018) won this race to complete the Triple Crown, the most famous Triple Crown winner would be Secretariat in 1973.
Belmont Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Belmont Park tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Belmont Park Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Belmont Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2019 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Belmont Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Belmont Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Belmont Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 7 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.70. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Belmont Stakes.
Over the last 10 renewals, it was Tiz The Law, trained by Barclay Tagg and ridden by Manuel Franco who set the fastest winning time in the Belmont Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:46.53 when winning the race in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Todd Pletcher and jockey Jose L Ortiz with Tapwrit who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:30.02 in the 2017 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals:
- Tiz The Law (1:46.53) in 2020
- Dornoch (2:01.64) in 2024
- American Pharoah (2:26.65) in 2015
Belmont Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Belmont Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Belmont Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: In 2020 the race distance was reduced to one and 1⁄8 miles (1m1f) due to the race being rescheduled as the opening race of the Triple Crown. Due to a renovation project at Belmont Park, the 2024 renewal was hosted at Saratoga.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:01.64 | Dornoch (USA) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 177/10 | Luis Saez Danny Gargan (USA) |
| 2023 2:29.23 | Arcangelo (USA) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 79/10 | Javier Castellano Jena M Antonucci (USA) |
| 2022 2:28.28 | Mo Donegal (USA) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 13/5F | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2021 2:27.11 | Essential Quality (USA) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 13/10F | Luis Saez Brad H Cox (USA) |
| 2020 1:46.53 | Tiz The Law (USA) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 10) 4/5F | Manuel Franco Barclay Tagg (USA) |
| 2019 2:28.30 | Sir Winston (USA) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 102/10 | Joel Rosario Mark Casse (CAN) |
| 2018 2:28.18 | Justify (USA) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 4/5F | Mike E Smith Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2017 2:30.02 | Tapwrit (USA) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 53/10 | Jose L Ortiz Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2016 2:28.51 | Creator (USA) 3yo 9-0 (13 of 13) 164/10 | Irad Ortiz Jr Steven Asmussen (USA) |
| 2015 2:26.65 | American Pharoah (USA) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 3/4F | Victor Espinoza Bob Baffert (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Belmont Stakes have been based:
- USA: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 88 runners
- CAN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Belmont Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both Todd Pletcher and Bob Baffert who have both won the race two times. Todd Pletcher winners have been with Tapwrit (2017) and Mo Donegal (2022). Bob Baffert winners have been with American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018).
Here are some of the top Belmont Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Pletcher | 22-2-9 | -12.10 | -7.11 |
| Bob Baffert | 4-2-2 | -0.45 | -1.07 |
| Steven Asmussen | 7-1-1 | +10.40 | +3.84 |
| Mark Casse | 4-1-1 | +7.20 | +3.12 |
| Brad H Cox | 4-1-1 | -1.70 | -2.22 |
| Danny Gargan | 2-1-1 | +16.70 | +9.62 |
| Jena M Antonucci | 1-1-1 | +7.90 | +4.74 |
| Barclay Tagg | 1-1-1 | +0.80 | +0.48 |
| Dale Romans | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -3.78 |
| William Mott | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -2.29 |
Belmont Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both Irad Ortiz Jr and Luis Saez who have both won the race two times. Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Creator (2016) and Mo Donegal (2022). Luis Saez winners have been with Essential Quality (2021) and Dornoch (2024).
Here are some of the top Belmont Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 9-2-6 | +12.00 | +8.43 |
| Luis Saez | 6-2-3 | +15.00 | +8.43 |
| Joel Rosario | 8-1-3 | +3.20 | +1.95 |
| Jose L Ortiz | 8-1-4 | -1.70 | +0.88 |
| Javier Castellano | 7-1-2 | +1.90 | +0.08 |
| Manuel Franco | 5-1-2 | -3.20 | -1.84 |
| Mike E Smith | 5-1-1 | -3.20 | -3.52 |
| Victor Espinoza | 2-1-1 | -0.25 | -0.55 |
| John R Velazquez | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -6.19 |
| Flavien Prat | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -2.35 |
2025 Belmont Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 11, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (71%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Career)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - No bigger than 177/10
- 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 33/2 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Ran in 3 - 6 races (Going)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - No bigger than 46/1 (Career)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (Going)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - No bigger than 27/1 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (82%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Not in a G2/LST/Cl2 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Not on GD/FM/STD (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Ran in 3 - 7 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Not BB in colour
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Break of 21 - 97 days (Last Place)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Ran over 1m1f - 1m2f (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (89%) - Carried 118 - 122lbs (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Belmont Park racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Belmont Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Belmont Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Belmont Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +35.80 is when runners wore blinkers. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 6 (10,9) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (6,2) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (4,3) [8 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 8 (9,3) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Belmont Stakes is Churchill Downs, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Churchill Downs last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 96 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Belmont Stakes, that stallion Tapit has produced 3 winners (2021,2017,2016).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Belmont Stakes, that stallion is Curlin who has failed to produce a winner from 8 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dornoch in 2024, winning for Danny Gargan at odds of 177/10 under the guidance of Luis Saez. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Belmont Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
