Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in July of each year at the Newmarket Racecourse during the July Festival is the Bahrain Trophy, a Group 3 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old, the race is run over a distance of one mile and five furlongs and can be used as a stepping stone to the St Leger.
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Information:
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Past Winners
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Bahrain Trophy Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +5.60. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:39.96 was set by Spanish Mission in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by David Simcock and ridden by Jamie Spencer. The slowest winning time was set in 2005 when Mr Vegas won in a time of 3:19.23, booked to ride was Alan Munro by the trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam.
These are the top three quickest-run Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Spanish Mission (2:39.96) in 2019
- Kite Wood (2:42.01) in 2009
- Tranquil Tiger (2:42.11) in 2007
What the expert says...
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Bahrain Trophy Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Bahrain Trophy Stakes and the jockey are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:49.90 | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo 9-3 (5 of 4) 6/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 2:47.35 | Castle Way (GB) 3yo 9-3 (6 of 6) 9/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 2:43.17 | Deauville Legend (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (3 of 6) 11/2 | Daniel Muscutt James Ferguson (GB) |
| 2021 2:46.77 | Yibir (GB) 3yo 9-1 (3 of 5) 6/4F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:44.92 | Al Aasy (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 6) 3/1 | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 2:39.96 | Spanish Mission (USA) 3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 13/2 | Jamie Spencer David Simcock (GB) |
| 2018 2:44.78 | Wells Farhh Go (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 8) 7/1 | David Allan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2017 2:44.74 | Raheen House (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 7/2 | Jamie Spencer Brian Meehan (GB) |
| 2016 2:44.39 | Housesofparliament (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 9/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 2:42.99 | Mr Singh (GB) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 5) 11/10F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 23 placings from 126 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 9 runners
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Masked Marvel (2011), Shantaram (2012), Feel Like Dancing (2013) and Mr Singh (2015). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes is Charlie Appleby (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Bahrain Trophy Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 11-4-4 | +1.35 | -1.85 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-3-4 | +3.50 | +0.65 |
| Andrew Balding | 10-1-2 | +7.00 | +2.60 |
| A P O'Brien | 8-1-4 | -2.50 | -1.33 |
| Brian Meehan | 7-1-2 | -2.50 | -2.52 |
| William Haggas | 7-1-2 | -3.00 | -2.31 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 5-1-2 | -2.00 | -1.49 |
| David Simcock | 4-1-1 | +3.50 | +0.90 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 4-1-2 | -2.71 | -2.40 |
| James Ferguson | 2-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.44 |
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Donegal (2008), Shantaram (2012), Feel Like Dancing (2013), Castle Way (2023) and Ancient Wisdom (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes are Frankie Dettori (3 wins) and Jamie Spencer (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Bahrain Trophy Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 11-5-6 | +21.25 | +10.52 |
| Frankie Dettori | 8-3-5 | -0.02 | +0.12 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-2-2 | +5.00 | +1.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 17-1-5 | -11.50 | -9.58 |
| James Doyle | 9-1-3 | -6.50 | -0.95 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.74 |
| Joe Fanning | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.41 |
| David Allan | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -3.00 |
2025 Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 1, (1, 2), 5, 5, (2, 3), 1, 8, 9, 5, 8, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Held an OR of 87+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 28/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Run is not Cl3-5
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Placed is not Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 7f - 1m3f (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (59%) - Within the first 4 of the market
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Bahrain Trophy Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Bahrain Trophy Stakes Trend Analysis
The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place in Non-Handicaps, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-37.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 [4 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (1) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (2) [5 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (7) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Epsom, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 121 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 14 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Bahrain Trophy Stakes:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Montjeu (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes, that stallion is Nathaniel who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Donegal in 2008, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Bahrain Trophy Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the July Festival
The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo - 6/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:25 Newmarket July Stakes | Whistlejacket (IRE) 2yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 Newmarket bet365 Sprint Handicap | Sergeant Wilko (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kevin Ryan Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 Newmarket Princess of Wales's Stakes | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
Saturday at the July Festival
Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket bet365 Handicap | Involvement (GB) 3yo - 100/30 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 Newmarket Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Arabian Dusk (GB) 2yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies |
| 15:35 Newmarket Falmouth Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Sunday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:50 Newmarket bet365 Mile Handicap | First Conquest (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:25 Newmarket Superlative Stakes | Ancient Truth (IRE) 2yo - 4/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 16:00 Newmarket Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 4yo - 15/2 | Ian Williams Rossa Ryan |
| 16:35 Newmarket July Cup | Mill Stream (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Jane Chapple-Hyam William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Bahrain Trophy Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
