James has worked for the jockey club and has 20 years sports betting experience he utilises his skills in our tipster competitions and writes sports betting content.
What Is Win To Nil Football Betting?
A lot of the football markets that I am interested in these days revolve around low scores or one team not scoring.
One of my favourite types of football bets, and one that always seems to surprise me with how much value it offers, is the win to nil market.
Types of Football Bet
In the win to nil betting markets, you predict that one team will win the game without the other team scoring.
All the best betting sites offer win to nil markets on the major football leagues.
Below are the number and percentage in the EPL of WIN TO NIL matches over the last four seasons.
| EPL Season | WTN Matches | Total Matches | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | 134 | 380 | 35.30% |
| 2022/23 | 161 | 380 | 42.30% |
| 2021/22 | 168 | 380 | 44.21% |
| 2020/21 | 164 | 380 | 43.16% |
2024/25 Season
There are plenty of teams that I don't think are value to win their matches at the odds, but then when you look at the win to nil odds the price boost for keeping that clean sheet often looks a bit too generous to me.
Below are the opening games of a previous EPL season, you can immediately see the pre-match generous win to nil odds in comparison to the standard home price.
| Match | Home Win | Home Win To Nil |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford v Arsenal | 4.2 | 8 |
| Man Ud v Leeds | 1.5 | 3.15 |
| Burnley v Brighton | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| Chelsea v Crystal Palace | 1.25 | 1.93 |
| Everton v Southampton | 1.91 | 3.5 |
| Leicester v Wolves | 1.63 | 2.63 |
| Watford v Aston Villa | 3.6 | 6 |
| Norwich v Liverpool | 10 | 22 |
| Newcastle v West Ham | 3.3 | 6.25 |
| Tottenham v Man City | 5.5 | 11 |
Win To Nil Football Odds
I know it's obvious but betting on teams to win to nil is most profitable when a team that is likely to win and has a good defensive record is playing a team that has a poor offensive record.
These stats are readily available so it doesn't take a lot of research to pick the best win to nil bets and as we've established above, the extra returns from backing win to nil look well worth the extra risk.
Win To Nil - Best & Worst
WTN V Correct Score
The alternative to win to nil when you feel strongly that one team will stop the other from scoring is the correct score option.
This involves predicting the exact final score of a match.
As you can see by the example odds below, when you hit a correct score, the payout is decent, but we all know how hard it is to get those correct scores right.
West Ham United v Chelsea
| Match | WTN | WTN | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham United vs Chelsea | Home | Away | West Ham 1-0 | West Ham 2-0 | West Ham 3-0 | Chelsea 0-1 | Chelsea 0-2 | Chelsea 0-3 |
| Betting Odds | 7.5 | 4.75 | 17 | 23 | 41 | 13 | 15 | 23 |
Leicester City v Everton
| Match | WTN | WTN | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score | Correct Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City vs Everton | Home | Away | Leicester 1-0 | Leicester 2-0 | Leicester 3-0 | Everton 0-1 | Everton 0-2 | Everton 0-3 |
| Betting Odds | 5 | 5.25 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 11 | 17 | 36 |
To checkout all the upcoming fixtures and betting odds from matches around the world please visit the OLBG football tips pages.
