Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Turners Novices Chase Preview
The Turners Novices Chase (registered as the Golden Miller) is a championship race for novices over a distance of two and a half miles on the new course.
Established in 2011, the most successful trainer in the short history is Willie Mullins with four winners and Ireland has won nine of the thirteen renewals to date.
Below we have taken a look at the Turners Novices Chase trends and statistics. Remember to bookmark the main daily racing tips page for predictions the whole year round and also give the best bookie for Cheltenham a look too.
Turners Novices Chase Information:
- Turners Novices Chase Past Winners
- Turners Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Turners Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Cheltenham tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? We cover every race at the Cheltenham Festival and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday & Friday.
How competitive is the Turners Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 14 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 14 renewals of the Turners Novices Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Turners Novices Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 14 if you had followed the winner of the Turners Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 13 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.93. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 14 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when Shattered Love from Gordon Elliott under the guidance of Jack Kennedy, won in a time of 5:11.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Vautour, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh set the quickest time of 4:46.30 in the 2015 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Turners Novices Chase over the last 14 renewals:
- Vautour (4:46.30) in 2015
- Noble Prince (4:49.82) in 2011
- Sir Des Champs (4:52.77) in 2012
What the expert says...
Just fourteen previous renewals of this race and you ideally are looking for a runner who has a bit of proven speed at this level. There have been 132 runners in the race, 35 of those came into the Turners Novices Chase having not achieved a TS of 95+ in a previous G1 race and those have only filled 5 of the 39 placings, although that does include the 2024 winner. You probably want to set the bar a bit higher too as 11 of the 14 renewals have been won by a runner who achieved a TS of 112+ which covers 64% of the previous runners.| Turners Novices Chase 17 Apr @ 15:19 - AntePost | ||
|---|---|---|
| Ballyburn | 4.50 | |
| Sir Gino | 8.00 | |
| Slade Steel | 9.00 | |
| Impaire Et Passe | 12.00 | |
| Majborough | 13.00 | |
Turners Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Turners Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Turners Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 5:04.64 | Grey Dawning (IRE) 7yo 11-7 5/2F | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2023 5:01.94 | Stage Star (IRE) 7yo 11-7 15/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2022 5:07.65 | Bob Olinger (IRE) 7yo 11-4 6/5 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2021 5:01.75 | Chantry House (IRE) 7yo 11-4 9/1 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2020 5:07.32 | Samcro (IRE) 8yo 11-4 4/1 | Davy Russell Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2019 4:59.53 | Defi Du Seuil (FR) 6yo 11-4 3/1F | Barry Geraghty Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2018 5:11.80 | Shattered Love (IRE) 7yo 10-11 4/1 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2017 5:00.20 | Yorkhill (IRE) 7yo 11-4 6/4F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2016 4:55.20 | Black Hercules (IRE) 7yo 11-4 4/1F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2015 4:46.30 | Vautour (FR) 6yo 11-4 6/4F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Turners Novices Chase have been based:
- IRE: 9 winners with an additional 8 placings from 53 runners
- GB: 5 winners with an additional 17 placings from 79 runners
Turners Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Turners Novices Chase over the last 14 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Sir Des Champs (2012), Vautour (2015), Black Hercules (2016) and Yorkhill (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Turners Novices Chase is Gordon Elliott (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Turners Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 29-4-8 | -15.00 | -11.45 |
| Gordon Elliott | 5-2-3 | +5.00 | +3.20 |
| Nicky Henderson | 14-1-5 | -4.00 | -2.75 |
| Paul Nicholls | 13-1-2 | -4.50 | -6.26 |
| Philip Hobbs | 5-1-2 | -1.00 | -1.35 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 5-1-2 | -2.80 | -2.95 |
| Dan Skelton | 4-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.50 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.20 |
| A J Martin | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.00 |
| Paul Nolan | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.40 |
Turners Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Turners Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico de Boinville | 4-1-2 | +6.00 | +3.70 |
| Harry Cobden | 4-1-2 | +4.50 | +2.74 |
| Jack Kennedy | 4-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.80 |
| Harry Skelton | 4-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.50 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 2-1-1 | +0.20 | -1.00 |
| Paul Townend | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -5.30 |
| Daryl Jacob | 8-0-4 | -8.00 | -3.55 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | +7.10 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -0.10 |
| Robbie Power | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.10 |
2025 Turners Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 8, 2, 4, 1, (1, 2, F), 1, 2, 1, 3, F, F, 3, (1, 7)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 14 / 14 (57%) - Had 4 - 10 wins (Non-Hcps)
- 14 / 14 (58%) - Break of 29 - 77 days (Last Place)
- 14 / 14 (60%) - Achieved an RPR of 150+ (LTO)
- 14 / 14 (70%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl3/Cl6 (Debut)
- 14 / 14 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 151+ (Last 3)
- 14 / 14 (70%) - Had 1 - 2 placings (90 Days)
- 14 / 14 (70%) - Beaten no more -4l (Debut)
- 14 / 14 (73%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 14 / 14 (73%) - Made 1 - 6 starts (Course)
- 14 / 14 (74%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 14 / 14 (75%) - Off a break of 29 - 77 days
- 14 / 14 (75%) - Made 1 - 2 starts (90 Days)
- 14 / 14 (78%) - Made 1 - 7 starts (Class)
- 14 / 14 (79%) - Not on GS/GF (Last Win)
- 14 / 14 (80%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2-4
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Turners Novices Chase. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Turners Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Turners Novices Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 7+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +28.50 is when runners ran in a Class 5 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career starts at the track, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Turners Novices Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 13 winners from a total of 127 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 5 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Turners Novices Chase:
- Robin Des Champs (2 Wins)
- Voix Du Nord (2 Wins)
- Yeats (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Turners Novices Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Martaline (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 14 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Benefficient in 2013, winning for A J Martin at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of B J Cooper. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 14 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Turners Novices Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Schedule for Tuesday at the Cheltenham Festival
Prepare for the ROAR of the Cheltenham Festival on the opening day when the tape goes up for the Supreme Novices Hurdle, the feature on Tuesday is the Champion Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:30 Cheltenham Supreme Novices Hurdle | Slade Steel (IRE) 6yo - 7/2 | Henry De Bromhead Rachael Blackmore |
| 14:10 Cheltenham Arkle Challenge Trophy | Gaelic Warrior (GER) 6yo - 2/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:50 Cheltenham Ultima Handicap Chase | Chianti Classico (IRE) 7yo - 6/1 | Kim Bailey David Bass |
| 15:30 Cheltenham Champion Hurdle | State Man (FR) 7yo - 2/5 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:10 Cheltenham Close Brothers Mares Hurdle | Lossiemouth (FR) 5yo - 8/13 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:50 Cheltenham Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle | Lark In The Mornin (GER) 4yo - 9/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 17:30 Cheltenham National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup | Corbetts Cross (IRE) 7yo - 15/8 | Emmet Mullins Mr Derek O'Connor |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Cheltenham Festival
The dust has settled on the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival and now on to day two. The feature on the second day is the Queen Mother Champion Chase. We also have the cross country scheduled on Wednesday, a race like Marmite, some love it and some don't!
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:30 Cheltenham Baring Bingham Novices Hurdle | Ballyburn (IRE) 6yo - 1/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:10 Cheltenham Brown Advisory Novices Chase | Fact To File (FR) 7yo - 8/13 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 14:50 Cheltenham Coral Cup | Langer Dan (IRE) 8yo - 13/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 15:30 Cheltenham Queen Mother Champion Chase | Captain Guinness (IRE) 9yo - 17/2 | Henry De Bromhead Rachael Blackmore |
| 16:10 Cheltenham Cross Country Chase | Delta Work (FR) 10yo - 11/10 | Gordon Elliott Keith Donoghue |
| 16:50 Cheltenham Johnny Henderson Grand Annual | Unexpected Party (FR) 9yo - 12/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 17:30 Cheltenham Champion Bumper | Jasmin De Vaux (FR) 5yo - 9/2 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
Schedule for Thursday at the Cheltenham Festival
Halfway through the festival and onto day three where the Stayers Hurdle is the feature race. A hurdle race to test the stamina and see how can last best up the Cheltenham hill.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:30 Cheltenham Turners Novices Chase | Grey Dawning (IRE) 7yo - 5/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:10 Cheltenham Pertemps Network Final | Monmiral (FR) 7yo - 25/1 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
| 14:50 Cheltenham Ryanair Chase | Protektorat (FR) 9yo - 17/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 15:30 Cheltenham Stayers Hurdle | Teahupoo (FR) 7yo - 5/4 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 16:10 Cheltenham Festival Plate | Shakem UpArry (IRE) 10yo - 8/1 | Ben Pauling Ben Jones |
| 16:50 Cheltenham Mares Novices Hurdle | Golden Ace (GB) 6yo - 10/1 | Jeremy Scott Lorcan Williams |
| 17:30 Cheltenham Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo - 13/8 | Gavin Cromwell Mr Derek O'Connor |
Schedule for Friday at the Cheltenham Festival
The final day of the festival and feature race that we have all been waiting for, the Cheltenham Gold Cup in which the Irish have been fairly dominant in recent years.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:30 Cheltenham Triumph Hurdle | Majborough (FR) 4yo - 6/1 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 14:10 Cheltenham County Handicap Hurdle | Absurde (FR) 6yo - 12/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:50 Cheltenham Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle | Stellar Story (IRE) 7yo - 33/1 | Gordon Elliott Sam Ewing |
| 15:30 Cheltenham Cheltenham Gold Cup | Galopin Des Champs (FR) 8yo - 10/11 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:10 Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup | Sine Nomine (GB) 8yo - 8/1 | Fiona Needham Mr John Dawson |
| 16:50 Cheltenham Mrs Paddy Power Mares Chase | Limerick Lace (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | Gavin Cromwell Keith Donoghue |
| 17:30 Cheltenham Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle | Better Days Ahead (IRE) 6yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Danny Gilligan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Turners Novices Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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