Qipco 2000 Guineas Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Qipco 2000 Guineas Preview

The 2000 Guineas is held at the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket each year in early May. The race is a Group 1 open to three-year-old colts and fillies and is run over a straight mile.

Colts all run off a weight of 9-0 whilst fillies get a 3lb allowance and run over 8-11. Only runners rated 80+ can enter unless the runner does not hold a handicap mark and the handicapper deems the runner worthy of the mark.

The current purse for the race is £500k with just over £280k going to the winner. The race serves as the opening of five British Classics with the 1000 Guineas run the next day.

The other three are the Epson Oaks & Derby and finally the St. Leger. It is also the first race of the Triple Crown series with the Oaks and Derby making up the three races.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season, you can find links to those here.

How competitive is the Qipco 2000 Guineas market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Qipco 2000 Guineas, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Qipco 2000 Guineas Trends:

2025 Qipco 2000 Guineas Trends
Qipco 2000 Guineas Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Qipco 2000 Guineas next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.83. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Qipco 2000 Guineas see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Kameko, trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by Oisin Murphy who set the fastest winning time in the Qipco 2000 Guineas, the runner won the race in a time of 1:34.72 when winning the race in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Joseph O'Brien with Camelot who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:42.46 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Qipco 2000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals:

Kameko (1:34.72) in 2020
Cockney Rebel (1:35.28) in 2007
Poetic Flare (1:35.69) in 2021

What the expert says...

There is not a standout prep race for the 2,000 Guineas, ten different courses have provided the last twenty winners with the last six winners all coming from different tracks, Kempton, Newbury, Newmarket, Leopardstown, Newcastle and Doncaster, however, seven of the last eight winners did win their prep race before coming here.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Qipco 2000 Guineas Past Winners

Here are the Qipco 2000 Guineas past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Qipco 2000 Guineas as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2024 1:37.21	Notable Speech (GB) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 11) 16/1	William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB)
2023 1:41.64	Chaldean (GB) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 14) 7/2	Frankie Dettori Andrew Balding (GB)
2022 1:36.27	Coroebus (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 15) 5/1	James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021 1:35.69	Poetic Flare (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 14) 16/1	Kevin Manning J S Bolger (IRE)
2020 1:34.72	Kameko (USA) 3yo 9-0 (15 of 15) 10/1	Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB)
2019 1:36.84	Magna Grecia (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (17 of 19) 11/2	Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018 1:36.55	Saxon Warrior (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 14) 3/1	Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017 1:36.61	Churchill (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 6/4F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016 1:35.91	Galileo Gold (GB) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 13) 14/1	Frankie Dettori Hugo Palmer (GB)
2015 1:37.55	Gleneagles (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (16 of 18) 4/1F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Qipco 2000 Guineas have been based:

IRE: 11 winners with an additional 6 placings from 64 runners
GB: 8 winners with an additional 29 placings from 229 runners
FR: 1 winner with an additional 5 placings from 12 runners
SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Qipco 2000 Guineas Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Qipco 2000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Footstepsinthesand (2005), George Washington (2006), Henrythenavigator (2008), Camelot (2012), Gleneagles (2015), Churchill (2017), Saxon Warrior (2018) and Magna Grecia (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Qipco 2000 Guineas are Charlie Appleby (2 wins), J S Bolger (2 wins) and Andrew Balding (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Qipco 2000 Guineas, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Qipco 2000 Guineas trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A P O'Brien	47-8-11	-4.12	-16.91
Charlie Appleby	13-2-6	+10.00	+4.65
J S Bolger	8-2-4	+11.38	+6.32
Andrew Balding	8-2-2	+7.50	+2.10
Richard Hannon	17-1-6	+24.00	+13.20
Hugo Palmer	4-1-1	+11.00	+5.40
M Delzangles	3-1-2	+31.00	+15.00
Saeed bin Suroor	12-0-0	-12.00	-12.00
Kevin Ryan	8-0-2	-8.00	+20.50
John Gosden	7-0-1	-7.00	-6.35

Qipco 2000 Guineas Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Qipco 2000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals with both Frankie Dettori and Ryan Moore who have both won the race two times. Frankie Dettori's winners have been with Galileo Gold (2016) and Chaldean (2023). Ryan Moore winners have been with Gleneagles (2015) and Churchill (2017). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Qipco 2000 Guineas, Jim Crowley has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Qipco 2000 Guineas jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Frankie Dettori	17-2-3	+2.50	-3.25
Ryan Moore	15-2-4	-7.50	-8.65
William Buick	14-1-7	+3.00	+5.95
James Doyle	12-1-5	-6.00	-3.90
Oisin Murphy	4-1-2	+7.00	+16.00
Tom Queally	4-1-1	-2.50	-2.70
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire	3-1-1	+31.00	+14.50
Jim Crowley	10-0-1	-10.00	-8.40
Jamie Spencer	9-0-3	-9.00	+11.10
Seamie Heffernan	6-0-0	-6.00	-6.00

2025 Qipco 2000 Guineas Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 1, 12, 2, 2, 6, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 12, 1, 3, 5, 3, 13, 2, 12, 9

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Last 3)
20 / 20 (69%) - No bigger than 40/1
20 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 11 of the market
20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 7/1 (LTO)
20 / 20 (76%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl3-5
20 / 20 (76%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (Career)
20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Place)
20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Debut)
20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Career Win)
20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -3½l (Debut)
20 / 20 (83%) - In a field of 5 - 12 (LTO)
20 / 20 (83%) - Furthest Placed 7f - 1m
20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl5 (Last Win)
20 / 20 (87%) - Won within last 3 starts
20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -4½l (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Qipco 2000 Guineas. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Qipco 2000 Guineas by adding a tip on the race here.

Qipco 2000 Guineas Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +63.38 is when runners carried 127lbs when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (Listed), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2024: Winner in 6 (4,5) [11 Runners]
2023: Winner in 3 (4,11) [14 Runners]
2022: Winner in 1 (15,4) [15 Runners]
2021: Winner in 4 (2,3) [14 Runners]
2020: Winner in 15 (9,7) [15 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Qipco 2000 Guineas are Newmarket (Rowley), Newbury, Doncaster and Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Qipco 2000 Guineas:

Dubawi (4 Wins)
Galileo (3 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Qipco 2000 Guineas despite multiple attempts:

Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 8 runners)
War Front (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Dutch Art (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Johannesburg (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Night Of Thunder in 2014, winning for Richard Hannon at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Kieren Fallon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Qipco 2000 Guineas head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival

Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Qipco 2000 Guineas. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the Guineas Festival

The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

Race	Last Winner	Info
14:25 Newmarket King Charles II Stakes	Boiling Point (IRE) 3yo - 11/8	Roger Varian James Doyle
15:00 Newmarket Newmarket Stakes	Caviar Heights (IRE) 3yo - 7/1	K R Burke Clifford Lee
15:35 Newmarket Jockey Club Stakes	Outbox (GB) 9yo - 50/1	Archie Watson Hollie Doyle

Saturday at the Guineas Festival

Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.

Race	Last Winner	Info
13:45 Newmarket Rowley Handicap Stakes	Desert Cop (GB) 4yo - 22/1	Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy
14:20 Newmarket Suffolk Stakes	Liberty Lane (IRE) 4yo - 9/1	K R Burke Clifford Lee
14:55 Newmarket Palace House Stakes	Seven Questions (IRE) 3yo - 33/1	George Scott Callum Shepherd
15:35 Newmarket Qipco 2000 Guineas	Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 16/1	Charlie Appleby William Buick

Sunday at the Guineas Festival

Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.

Race	Last Winner	Info
13:50 Newmarket Pretty Polly Stakes	Friendly Soul (GB) 3yo - 10/1	John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark
14:25 Newmarket Dahlia Stakes	Stay Alert (GB) 5yo - 5/1	Hughie Morrison David Egan
15:40 Newmarket Qipco 1000 Guineas	Elmalka (GB) 3yo - 28/1	Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa

Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April (Craven Meeting)

Races in July (July Festival)

Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)

Races in October (Future Champions Festival)

Races in October

Sun Chariot Stakes

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Qipco 2000 Guineas Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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