Horses For Courses - Part Two

In Part One we approached the statistical advantage of coursewinners at individual courses, the main point being that certainhorses are more suited to the characteristics belonging todifferent tracks.In Part Two I will further this by looking at the significance of
Horses For Courses - Part Two
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

In Part One we approached the statistical advantage of course winners at individual courses, the main point being that certain horses are more suited to the characteristics belonging to different tracks. 

Horse racing

In Part Two I will further this by looking at the significance of a horses racing style at different tracks, and therefore which tracks favour front runners or hold up horses etc.

To do this, I've accumulated a list of all winners and assigned a number either 1, 2, 3 or 4 depending on the running style of said horse as follows:

1 - Front Runners/Made All

2 - Tracked Leaders/Close Up

3 - Mid Division

4 - Held Up/Rear

Then I simply worked out an average figure for each course and an overall average figure to use as standard.

Here are the results: 

It comes as no surprise that a course like Doncaster favours horses generally held up towards the back of the pack. The mile straight on a flat galloping track like that provides ample opportunity to come off a strong pace and pick up well.

No less surprising should be the favouring towards those who race prominently at Brighton, Carlisle, Chester and Warwick where there finishing straight is very short and clearly hinders those trying to make up ground.

I'm not completely decided on part three, whether to go for a course type analysis or the targetting of courses by certain trainers. Let me know what you think guys.

Further reading on course characteristics is available on our how to find winners betting school article

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please login or register to reply to this news article
KEEP READING
Burradon Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (AWC Finals Day)

Burradon Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (AWC Finals Day)

Dive into the Burradon Stakes at Newcastle Racecourse, a Listed mile race for three-year-olds. Explore past winners, trends, and insights into top-performing trainers and jockeys in this exciting event on the all-weather racing calendar.
Continue Reading
All-Weather Sprint Championships Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (AWC Finals Day)

All-Weather Sprint Championships Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (AWC Finals Day)

Analyze the speed, tactics, and trends behind past All-Weather Sprint Championships winners. Discover which strategies have repeatedly led to victory in one of Newcastle’s fastest and most thrilling races.
Continue Reading
All-Weather Mile Championships Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (AWC Finals Day)

All-Weather Mile Championships Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (AWC Finals Day)

Take a deep dive into the key stats and historical winners of the All-Weather Mile Championships. Learn which traits consistently shine through and how trends have shaped this testing race over the years.
Continue Reading