Euro 2020 Expected Goals (xG) Statistics - Groups A-F

Expected Goals Euro 2020 Guide

We took a look at the Euro 2020 Championship to see if we could find any early betting value based on xG statistics during the qualification stages. 

xG is a measure of chances created and chances allowed in individual games.

It ranks the quality of chances therefore a shot inside the 6-yard box has a higher xG figure than a 35-yard speculative attempt.

If you see a chance with a 0.30 rating that means the player would have been expected to score 30% of the time.

A rating of 0.50 means the chance would be expected to be scored 50% of the time.

All these chances are then accumulated to give an end-of-match xG figure. 

Match	XG Home	XG Away	Result
Switzerland v Georgia	2.27	0.67	1-0
Sweden v Spain	1.41	2.87	1-1
Bulgaria v Czech Republic	0.53	1.33	1-0

You often see the xG figures posted and or quoted on MOTD, Sky Sports, BT to show how a game panned out in relation to the actual result.

You can see that based on the quality of chances the team with the best xG does not always win the game.

Spain and the Czech Republic created better chances to win the game but did not, however, the number and quality of chances created can alert you to how they might perform in future games. 

Bookmakers

Now the bookmakers have these xG figures as well and take them into account when pricing up individual matches.

As a strategy, we need to check where they have been too generous with their odds.

xG is only a guide and will not account for a team with lots of injuries, or a team that has replaced their manager, or been thrashed in the latest friendlies, or have rested key players.

There are a myriad of circumstances where previous xG figures will point you in the wrong direction, extra form study is always needed. 

However, Xg can be a good starting point or as a double check on other football statistics. 

Euro 2020 Groups A-F

Below you can see Euro 2020 tables A-F

We ranked all teams based on xG chances created and xGA chances allowed during their qualifying games, some teams played 8 qualifying games and some 10.

We averaged their xG stats over those games to create individual group tables and an overall table. 

Group A	XG	XGA	Overall Euro 2020 Attack	Overall Euro 2020 Defence	Overall Euro 2020 Position	Table  Position
Italy	2.78	0.9	6th	11th	7th	2nd
Switzerland	2.54	0.78	8th	4th	6th	1st
Turkey	1.69	0.82	17th	10th	14th	3rd
Wales	1.34	1.04	22nd	17th	18th	4th

Group B	XG	XGA	Overall Euro 2020 Attack	Overall Euro 2020 Defence	Overall Euro 2020 Position	Table  Position
Belgium	3.02	0.6	2nd	2nd	Joint 1st	1st
Denmark	2.19	0.71	12th	5th	8th	3rd
Finland	1.66	1.44	19th	22nd	21st	4th
Russia	2.96	0.78	3rd	7th	5th	2nd

Group C	XG	XGA	Overall Euro 2020 Attack	Overall Euro 2020 Defence	Overall Euro 2020 Position	Table  Position
Austria	2.35	0.93	10th	13th	13th	2nd
Netherlands	2.27	0.85	11th	9th	12th	1st
North Macedonia	1.15	1.68	24th	24th	24th	4th
Ukraine	1.43	1.28	20th	19th	19th	3rd

Group D	XG	XGA	Overall Euro 2020 Attack	Overall Euro 2020 Defence	Overall Euro 2020 Position	Table  Position
Croatia	2.14	0.8	13th	8th	10th	2nd
Czech Republic	1.78	0.99	15th	15th	15th	3rd
England	2.73	0.92	Joint 7th	12th	9th	1st
Scotland	1.72	1.39	16th	21st	20th	4th

Group E	XG	XGA	Overall Euro 2020 Attack	Overall Euro 2020 Defence	Overall Euro 2020 Position	Table  Position
Poland	1.67	1.06	18th	16th	16th	3rd
Slovakia	1.3	1.65	21st	23rd	23rd	4th
Spain	3.37	0.73	1st	3rd	1st	1st
Sweden	2.41	1.28	14th	18th	17th	2nd

Group F	XG	XGA	Overall Euro 2020 Attack	Overall Euro 2020 Defence	Overall Euro 2020 Position	Table  Position
France	2.44	0.59	7th	1st	3rd	1st
Germany	2.73	1.12	5th	14th	11th	3rd
Hungary	1.2	1.3	23rd	20th	22nd	4th
Portugal	2.8	0.79	4th	6th	4th	2nd

The best teams based on xG in each group are highlighted. 

You can now add your tips and comments on the Euros in the OLBG football tipping competitions.  

We look forward to reading your opinions on what should be a brilliant football tournament. 

xG & xGA Euro 2020 Totals

We added the chances created and allowed to create an overall table. 

Remember chances do not mean that a game has to go to the team that created the most. 

Qualification was a while ago many things could have changed for the specific country. 

Team	xG Rating From Qualification Games
Belgium	1st
Spain	1st
France	3rd
Portugal	4th
Russia	5th
Switzerland	6th
Italy	7th
Denmark	8th
England	9th
Croatia	10th
Germany	11th
Netherlands	12th
Austria	13th
Turkey	14th
Czechoslovakia	15th
Sweden	16th
Poland	17th
Wales	18th
Ukraine	19th
Scotland	20th
Finland	21st
Hungary	22nd
Slovakia	23rd
Macedonia	24th