Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 December Gold Cup Preview
Established in 1963, the December Gold Cup was originally called the Massey Ferguson Gold Cup, it is run during the Christmas Meeting at the Cheltenham Racecourse.
The race is a Premier Handicap in which runners have to jump seventeen fences, it is open to runners aged 4yo+ and is run over two miles and four & half furlongs around this left-handed track.
For sponsorship purposes, the race in 2024 renewal of the December Gold Cup will hold the title of 'Nyetimber December Gold Cup Handicap Chase'.
Crack the December Gold Cup code using our detailed breakdown of historical race data and trainer records, and amplify your betting power with the Cheltenham betting offers.
December Gold Cup Information:
- December Gold Cup Past Winners
- December Gold Cup Trainer Statistics
- December Gold Cup Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Cheltenham tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Cheltenham Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2024
How competitive is the December Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2002 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the December Gold Cup, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2024 December Gold Cup Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the December Gold Cup Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the December Gold Cup Trend Shortlist which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run December Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:
- Quantitativeeasing (5:09.77) in 2011
- Poquelin (5:10.26) in 2010
- Coole Cody (5:10.46) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the December Gold Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +10.93. Whilst we wait for the 2024 December Gold Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:09.77 was set by Quantitativeeasing in 2011, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Barry Geraghty. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Unioniste won in a time of 5:47.09, booked to ride was Harry Derham by the trainer Paul Nicholls.
December Gold Cup Past Winners
Here are the December Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the December Gold Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The race was abandoned in 2001 because of frost and again in 2008 due to waterlogging. The 2003 renewal was run on the Old Course at Cheltenham instead of the New Course. Abandoned in 2022 due to frozen ground.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 5:11.19 | Fugitif (FR) 8yo 11-3 13/2 | Gavin Sheehan Richard Hobson (GB) |
| 2021 5:10.46 | Coole Cody (IRE) 10yo 10-12 12/1 | Adam Wedge Evan Williams (GB) |
| 2020 5:21.68 | Chatham Street Lad (IRE) 8yo 10-10 16/1 | Darragh O'Keeffe Michael Winters (IRE) |
| 2019 5:34.30 | Warthog (FR) 7yo 10-3 7/1 | David Noonan David Pipe (GB) |
| 2018 5:11.70 | Frodon (FR) 6yo 11-12 7/1 | Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2017 5:16.90 | Guitar Pete (IRE) 7yo 10-2 9/1 | Ryan Day (3lbs) Nicky Richards (GB) |
| 2016 5:18.00 | Frodon (FR) 4yo 10-10 14/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2015 5:20.10 | Village Vic (IRE) 8yo 10-0 8/1 | Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2014 5:17.90 | Niceonefrankie (GB) 8yo 11-5 16/1 | Aidan Coleman Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2013 5:13.39 | Double Ross (IRE) 7yo 10-8 7/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the December Gold Cup have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 44 placings from 249 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 3 placings from 24 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
December Gold Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the December Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Poquelin (2009 & 2010), Unioniste (2012) and Frodon (2016 & 2018). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the December Gold Cup, Alan King has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are the December Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 39-5-13 | +14.00 | +12.75 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 23-1-5 | -15.00 | -10.12 |
| Venetia Williams | 14-1-5 | +3.00 | +3.69 |
| Richard Hobson | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +4.06 |
| Alan King | 10-0-2 | -10.00 | -7.18 |
| Dan Skelton | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -1.50 |
| Olly Murphy | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Harry Fry | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
December Gold Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the December Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Sam Twiston-Davies who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Double Ross (2013) and Frodon (2016).
Here are the December Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 11-2-2 | +12.00 | +4.13 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 3-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.06 |
| Harry Skelton | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 6-0-3 | -6.00 | -1.06 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -4.20 |
| Sean Bowen | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Brendan Powell | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
2024 December Gold Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, BD, F, PU, 3, PU, 1, 12, PU, 2, 3, (2, PU), 6, (3, 8), 2, 5, 4, 9, 4, PU
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Break of 20 - 392 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 22/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Within the first 11 of the market
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 124+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 2m½f - 3m (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 9 - 188 days
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 3 - 11 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No more than 2 falls (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 3 - 17 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 6 races (Trip)
- 19 / 20 (76%) - No older than a 8yo
- 19 / 20 (83%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 17 / 20 (72%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 16 / 20 (79%) - No more than +18lbs (Vs Min Weight)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the December Gold Cup. If you are looking to place a bet on this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the December Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
December Gold Cup Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +38.50 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 4yo+ when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career places on the going, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-49.
The course which has produced the most winners of the December Gold Cup is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 274 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 4 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the December Gold Cup:
- Lahint (2 Wins)
- Nickname (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the December Gold Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Saint Des Saints (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Midnight Legend (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Tamarinbleu in 2007, winning for David Pipe at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of Denis O'Regan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 December Gold Cup head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
December Gold Cup Trend Shortlist
Cheltenham will host the 2024 renewal of the December Gold Cup which will be run at 1:50 pm on Saturday 14th December 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Gemirande (9/1)
- Venetia Williams (14-1-5 +3.00 / +3.69)
- Charlie Deutsch (6-0-3 -6.00 / -1.06)
- 15/15 Grandeur dAme (9/1)
- Alan King (10-0-2 -10.00 / -7.18)
- Brendan Powell (3-0-0 -3.00 / -3.00)
Others: Ga Law (14/15), Guard Your Dreams (14/15), Madara (14/15), Il Ridoto (14/15), Le Patron (14/15), Sure Touch (14/15), Stage Star (13/15), Fugitif (12/15) and In Excelsis Deo (12/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (11:22 am Thursday 12th December 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.
Il Ridoto won the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out and a total of 2 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -8.80.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this December Gold Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
