Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Belmont Stakes Preview
The 2024 renewal will be the 156th running of the Belmont Stakes, this Grade 1 race dates back to 1867. The race is run on the dirt over a trip of one and a half miles (12f) which is open to 3yo colts & geldings who will carry 126 pounds (57kgs) and 3yo fillies who will carry 121 pounds (55kg).
The race is the third leg of the Triple Crown with the Kentucky Derby the first leg and the Preakness Stakes being the second leg, the race is known as The Test of the Champions and also The Run for the Carnations, in recent years both American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018) won this race to complete the Triple Crown, the most famous Triple Crown winner would be Secretariat in 1973.
**Due to the current renovation project at Belmont Park, the race is currently being hosted at Saratoga.
Belmont Stakes Picks
We also have a dedicated Saratoga Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG handicappers are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Belmont Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert handicappers on the racing predictions page.
Belmont Stakes Content
- Belmont Stakes Past Winners
- Belmont Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Belmont Stakes Jockey Statistics
- 2024 Belmont Stakes Trends
- Belmont Stakes Trend Analysis
- Belmont Stakes Trend Shortlist
- Other Graded races at Saratoga Racetrack
Quickest Run Belmont Stakes Renewals
When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:46.53 was set by Tiz The Law in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Barclay Tagg and ridden by Manuel Franco. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Tapwrit won in a time of 2:30.02, booked to ride was Jose L Ortiz by the trainer Todd Pletcher. Below are the top three quickest-run Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals.
- Tiz The Law (1:46.53) in 2020
- American Pharoah (2:26.65) in 2015
- Essential Quality (2:27.11) in 2021
Belmont Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Belmont Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse that won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Belmont Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: In 2020 the race distance was reduced to one and 1⁄8 miles (1m1f) due to the race being rescheduled as the opening race of the Triple Crown.
| Year | Horse (Info) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 2:29.23 | (3) Arcangelo (USA) 3/C 126lbs 79/10 (3 of 9) | Javier Castellano Jena M Antonucci (USA) |
| 2022 2:28.28 | (6) Mo Donegal (USA) 3/C 126lbs 13/5F (6 of 8) | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2021 2:27.11 | (2) Essential Quality (USA) 3/C 126lbs 13/10F (2 of 8) | Luis Saez Brad H Cox (USA) |
| 2020 1:46.53 | (8) Tiz The Law (USA) 3/C 126lbs 4/5F (8 of 10) | Manuel Franco Barclay Tagg (USA) |
| 2019 2:28.30 | (7) Sir Winston (USA) 3/C 126lbs 102/10 (7 of 10) | Joel Rosario Mark Casse (CAN) |
| 2018 2:28.18 | (1) Justify (USA) 3/C 126lbs 4/5F (1 of 10) | Mike E Smith Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2017 2:30.02 | (2) Tapwrit (USA) 3/C 126lbs 53/10 (2 of 11) | Jose L Ortiz Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2016 2:28.51 | (13) Creator (USA) 3/C 126lbs 164/10 (13 of 13) | Irad Ortiz Jr Steven Asmussen (USA) |
| 2015 2:26.65 | (5) American Pharoah (USA) 3/C 126lbs 3/4F (5 of 8) | Victor Espinoza Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2014 2:28.52 | (11) Tonalist (USA) 3/C 126lbs 92/10 (11 of 11) | Joel Rosario Christophe Clement (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Belmont Stakes have been based:
- USA: 9 winners with an additional 19 placings from 89 runners
- CAN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Belmont Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Todd Pletcher who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Tapwrit (2017) & Mo Donegal (2022).
Here are the Belmont Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner.
| Trainer | Starts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Pletcher | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -11.10 |
| William Mott | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.00 |
| Chad C Brown | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.00 |
| Kenneth McPeek | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.00 |
| D Wayne Lukas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 |
| Michael J Maker | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 |
| Danny Gargan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 |
Belmont Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Belmont Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Irad Ortiz Jr who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Creator (2016) & Mo Donegal (2022).
Here are the Belmont Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner.
| Jockey | Starts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | LSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +13.00 |
| Luis Saez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.70 |
| Manuel Franco | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.20 |
| John R Velazquez | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.00 |
| Flavien Prat | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.00 |
| Florent Geroux | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.00 |
| Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 |
| Tyler Gaffalione | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 |
| Junior Alvarado | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.00 |
2024 Belmont Stakes Trends
Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 11, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (55%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Career)
- 10 / 10 (66%) - No bigger than 82/5
- 10 / 10 (71%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 33/2 (Career Place)
- 10 / 10 (79%) - Ran on FS (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - No bigger than 46/1 (Career)
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (Going)
- 10 / 10 (82%) - No bigger than 27/1 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Not BB in color
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Break of 21 - 90 days (Last Place)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (Going)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Ran over 1m1f - 1m2f (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Ran in 3 - 7 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (87%) - Not in a LST/Cl2 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (87%) - Carried 118 - 122lbs (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Saratoga racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Belmont Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Belmont Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?
Belmont Stakes Trend Analysis
How competitive is the Belmont Stakes market?
When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2019 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Belmont Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $121 which is bet.
Post Positions of the Belmont Stakes Winners, Places & Shows
Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:
| Year | Win | Place | Show |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 2022 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| 2021 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 2020 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 2019 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
Best Course for a Belmont Stakes Prep Run?
The course which has produced the most winners of the Belmont Stakes is Churchill Downs, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Churchill Downs last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.
Sex of Horse winners of the Belmont Stakes
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 97 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Top Performing Stallions in the Belmont Stakes
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Belmont Stakes, that stallion Tapit has produced 4 winners (2021,2017,2016,2014).
Worst Performing Stallions in the Belmont Stakes
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Belmont Stakes, that stallion is Curlin who has failed to produce a winner from 9 runners.
Biggest Priced Winners of the Belmont Stakes & Performance of Favorites
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Creator in 2016, winning for Steven Asmussen at odds of 164/10 under the guidance of Irad Ortiz Jr. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favorites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing handicappers page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing handicappers. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Belmont Stakes Trend Shortlist
Saratoga will host the 2024 renewal of the Belmont Stakes which will be run on Saturday 8th June 2024, below is the field in order of the number of trends passed. The Odds, Trends, and Passed/Failed figures were correct at the time of posting at 8:15 am Tuesday 4th June 2024 (ET), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds were used.
| 8 | Honor Marie (12/1) Passes 15 out of 15 |
| 9 | Sierra Leone (9/5) Passes 14 out of 15 |
| 2 | Resilience (10/1) Passes 13 out of 15 |
| 4 | The Wine Steward (15/1) Passes 13 out of 15 |
| 5 | Antiquarian (12/1) Passes 12 out of 15 |
| 3 | Mystik Dan (5/1) Passes 11 out of 15 |
| 6 | Dornoch (15/1) Passes 10 out of 15 |
| 7 | Protective (20/1) Passes 10 out of 15 |
| 1 | Seize The Grey (8/1) Passes 9 out of 15 |
| 10 | Mindframe (7/2) Passes 8 out of 15 |
Other Graded races at Saratoga Racetrack
Here are some other notable races at the Saratoga racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in June (Belmont Stakes Racing Festival)
- Acorn Stakes
- Jaipur Stakes
- Just a Game Stakes
- Manhattan Stakes
- Metropolitan Handicap
- New York Stakes
- Ogden Phipps Stakes
- Woody Stephens Stakes
Races in July
- A P Smithwick Memorial Steeplechase Stakes
- Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap
- Coaching Club American Oaks
- Diana Stakes
Races in August
- Alabama Stakes
- Ballerina Handicap
- Forego Stakes
- Fourstardave Handicap
- H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes
- Jonathan Sheppard Hurdle
- Personal Ensign Stakes
- Saratoga Derby
- Sword Dancer Stakes
- Test Stakes
- Travers Stakes
- Whitney Stakes
Races in September
Belmont Stakes FAQs
Where is the Belmont Stakes run?
The Belmont Stakes is run at the Saratoga racetrack each year, you can get Saratoga racing predictions all season long as well as for Belmont Stakes.
When is the Belmont Stakes?
The 2024 renewal of the Belmont Stakes will take place at Saratoga on Saturday 8th June 2024.
Who won the Belmont Stakes?
The 2023 renewal of the Belmont Stakes was won by the Jena M Antonucci trained Arcangelo who was ridden by Javier Castellano in a time of 2:29.23, owned by Blue Rose Farm Llc it was sent off at an SP of 79/10. You can view all the recent winners in the Belmont Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.
Who will win the Belmont Stakes?
On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the Belmont Stakes, you can do this on the Saratoga Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Saratoga throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.
Who is the top trainer in the Belmont Stakes?
With a total of two winners over the last ten renewals, it is Todd Pletcher who holds the claim as the leading trainer in the Belmont Stakes. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the Belmont Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.
Who is the top jockey in the Belmont Stakes?
With a total of two winners over the last ten renewals, it is Irad Ortiz Jr who holds the claim as the leading jockey in the Belmont Stakes. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the Belmont Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.
Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the Belmont Stakes?
The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of fifteen trends for the Belmont Stakes which can be found under the Belmont Stakes Trends section.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Belmont Stakes Betting Guide is Andy. He works on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International Horse Racing.
Andy Powell
Content Editor
