Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Ascot Chase Preview
The Ascot Chase is a Grade One race open to runners aged 5yo or older scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Ascot racecourse. It is run over an extended two miles and five furlongs where the runners will have to face a total of seventeen fences which will consist of three open ditches.
This race was established in 1995 over two furlongs shorter, the trip was upped a furlong when the race was temporarily moved to Lingfield in 2005 & 2006. When the race returned to Ascot in 2007, the trip was once again up, this time to the current distance.
Ascot Chase Information:
Our dedicated Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Ascot Chase but will also have predictions for each meeting at Ascot throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Ascot Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Chase, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Ascot Chase Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Ascot Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Monets Garden (4:50.40) in 2007
- Cyrname (5:10.50) in 2019
- Kauto Star (5:14.50) in 2008
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.96. Ahead of the 2026 Ascot Chase why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Riders Onthe Storm from Nigel Twiston-Davies under the guidance of Sam Twiston-Davies, won in a time of 5:45.57, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Monets Garden, trained by Nicky Richards and ridden by Tony Dobbin set the quickest time of 4:50.40 in the 2007 renewal.
Ascot Chase Past Winners
Here are the Ascot Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ascot Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 5:15.22 | Pic Dorhy (FR) 10yo 11-10 9/5 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2024 5:25.30 | Pic Dorhy (FR) 9yo 11-10 13/8 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 5:16.21 | Shishkin (IRE) 9yo 11-10 2/1 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 5:44.06 | Fakir Doudairies (FR) 7yo 11-7 9/4F | Mark Walsh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 5:33.43 | Dashel Drasher (GB) 8yo 11-7 4/1 | Matt Griffiths Jeremy Scott (GB) |
| 2020 5:45.57 | Riders Onthe Storm (IRE) 7yo 11-7 7/2 | Sam Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2019 5:10.50 | Cyrname (FR) 7yo 11-7 3/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 5:25.90 | Waiting Patiently (IRE) 7yo 11-7 2/1F | Brian Hughes Ruth Jefferson (GB) |
| 2017 5:26.00 | Cue Card (GB) 11yo 11-7 4/9F | Paddy Brennan Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2016 5:29.10 | Silviniaco Conti (FR) 10yo 11-7 2/1F | Noel Fehily Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Chase have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 21 placings from 117 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 9 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Ascot Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Kauto Star (2008), Silviniaco Conti (2016), Cyrname (2019) and Pic DOrhy (2024 & 2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Chase are Nicky Henderson (3 wins), Alan King (2 wins) and Nicky Richards (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Ascot Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 23-5-9 | -9.21 | -7.84 |
| Nicky Henderson | 13-3-5 | -5.27 | -2.58 |
| Alan King | 6-2-3 | +1.20 | -0.65 |
| Nicky Richards | 3-2-3 | +5.60 | +4.23 |
| Philip Hobbs | 7-1-3 | -5.27 | -3.32 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 5-1-1 | -0.50 | -4.00 |
| Jeremy Scott | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.35 |
| Ruth Jefferson | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.92 |
| David Pipe | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.05 |
Ascot Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Cyrname (2019) and Pic DOrhy (2024 & 2025).
Here are some of the top Ascot Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 7-3-4 | +2.43 | +0.88 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 6-1-1 | -1.50 | -5.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 2-1-2 | +1.25 | +1.07 |
| Brian Hughes | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.92 |
| Matt Griffiths | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.50 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.05 |
| David Bass | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +0.00 |
| Harry Skelton | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| J J Slevin | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
2026 Ascot Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, F, 1, 1, 1, 2, F, PU, 1, 3, 2, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (46%) - No bigger than 11/2
- 20 / 20 (49%) - Within the first 3 of the market
- 20 / 20 (54%) - Achieved an RPR of 161+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Carried 158 - 168lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Off a break of 27 - 364 days
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 158 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -8¾l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 1m3½f - 2m2f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Held an OR of 150+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 99+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Won 2m3½f - 3m2½f
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 126+ (Last 5)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
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Ascot Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.69 is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a different jockey than when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-38.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Chase is Kempton, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 125 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Chase:
- Kings Theatre (5 Wins)
- Roselier (2 Wins)
- Turgeon (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Monets Garden in 2010, winning for Nicky Richards at odds of 11/2 under the guidance of Barry Geraghty. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2026 Ascot Chase.
Route to the Ascot Chase
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Ascot Chase, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Pic DOrhy Ascot - 1st of 4 (4/9) | Copybet 1965 Chase |
| 2024 - Pic DOrhy Kempton - 2nd of 5 (5/2) | Coral Silviniaco Conti Chase |
| 2023 - Shishkin Sandown - 3rd of 6 (6/5) | Tingle Creek |
| 2022 - Fakir Doudairies Thurles - 2nd of 4 (7/2) | Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase |
| 2021 - Dashel Drasher Ascot - 1st of 14 (6/1) | bet365 Handicap Chase |
| 2020 - Riders Onthe Storm Ascot - 1st of 5 (9/4) | Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase |
| 2019 - Cyrname Ascot - 1st of 10 (4/1) | bet365 Handicap Chase |
| 2018 - Waiting Patiently Kempton - 1st of 6 (13/8) | 32Red Casino Chase |
| 2017 - Cue Card Kempton - 2nd of 5 (5/4) | King George VI Chase |
| 2016 - Silviniaco Conti Kempton - PU of 9 (9/1) | King George VI Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Ascot Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
