AI Predicts the Winner of the 6 Nations Rugby

Explore how AI predicts the outcomes of the 2025 Six Nations rugby tournament, from match results to final standings. Learn about the key players, team strategies, and potential surprises.
AI Predicts the Winner of the 6 Nations Rugby

Antoine Dupont of France with Garibaldi trophy // DPPI Media / Alamy Stock Photo

Dan Tracey
Dan Tracey Data Scientist and Football Editor

Writer, analyst, podcaster, Spurs fan. Three out of four is not bad. If there is a data angle, I will find it.

AI Predicts The Six Nations

As the Six Nations 2025 kicks off, anticipation brews for Europe's premier rugby contest, featuring the top teams from England, Scotland, Ireland, Wales, France, and Italy. Over five weeks, 15 thrilling matches unfold, testing the skill and endurance of each nation. Following Ireland's consecutive victories in 2023 and 2024, Simon Easterby steps up as coach, aiming for a triumphant three-peat.

🔮 AI Predicts the Six Nations 2025! 🏉
Our AI-powered insights on the 6 Nations championship. 🇮🇪 Will Ireland secure the Grand Slam or face surprises? 📊

In this edition, we harness AI technology to predict the outcomes of each electrifying encounter and reveal the projected final standings. Explore our AI-driven insights to discover potential champions and visit top Betting sites and Best Rugby betting sites for placing bets on this intense rugby showdown.

The Predicted Results

Who will be kicking conversions? Who will be trying their best, it is time to see what our Six Nations OLBG predictive AI tool has created for us:

Round 1

France 30-16 Wales – A dominant start for France with a bonus point, while Wales grab a losing bonus-point.

Scotland 27-20 Italy – Scotland secure their first win, but Italy fight hard to claim a losing bonus point.

Ireland 31-18 England – Ireland overpower England with a bonus-point win.

Round 2

Italy 19-24 Wales – Wales edge out Italy in a scrappy contest, Italy earn another losing bonus-point.

England 22-26 France – France win a tight battle at Twickenham; England pick up a losing bonus-point.

Scotland 17-29 Ireland – Ireland’s relentless attack earns them another bonus-point win.

Round 3

Wales 15-28 Ireland – Ireland continue their Grand Slam charge with a solid win in Cardiff.

England 24-15 Scotland – England grind out a crucial win over their rivals.

Italy 16-34 France – France run riot in Rome, securing a comfortable bonus-point victory.

Round 4

Ireland 33-20 France – A crucial top-of-the-table clash sees Ireland maintain their 100% record.

Scotland 22-17 Wales – Scotland edge a close encounter; Wales pick up a losing BP.

England 32-10 Italy – England dominate at Twickenham, denying Italy any points.

Round 5

Italy 13-38 Ireland – Ireland seal the Grand Slam in style with a dominant display in Rome.

Wales 18-24 England – England hold off a late Wales comeback to claim third place.

France 26-19 Scotland – France secure second place with a composed win in Paris.

The Debrief

bundee aki ireland six nationsSix Nations International Rugby, Wales versus Ireland; Bundee Aki of Ireland celebrates // Action Plus Sports Images / Alamy Stock Photo

Ireland’s win in Italy means that not only is it a third-successive Six Nations title but they have done so in style by securing the 2025 Grand Slam.

While the final table is as follows:

RankNationPLDWDLBPPTSNotes
1Ireland5500427Grand Slam (+3 pts), consistent bonus points from try-scoring dominance.
2France5401319Only loss to Ireland, bonus points for tries in wins.
3England5302214Wins over Wales, Scotland, and Italy, plus some bonus points.
4Scotland5203311Wins over Wales and Italy, bonus points in narrow losses.
5Wales510426A win over Italy and some losing bonus points.
6Italy500522Competitive in a few games, earning losing bonus points.

Ireland: A Team on a Mission

Ireland’s dominance in 2025 is built on consistency and squad depth as key figures such as Caelan Dorris and Dan Sheehan stand out from the pack. Our AI model highlighted their superior try-scoring rate and tactical intelligence, predicting the Grand Slam with bonus points in every match.

The Battle for Second: France and England

France, bolstered by the leadership of Antoine Dupont and Romain Ntamack finished second and they can pinpoint the 33-20 defeat to Ireland in Round 4 as the pivotal moment when the title slipped through their hands.

While England under the guidance of coach Steve Borthwick had to make do with third. A lack of quality against the pair of Ireland and France ahead but enough on show to mop up three wins out of five overall.

Competitive Edge from Scotland

Scotland’s attacking prowess, led by Finn Russell made them a dangerous opponent but not dangerous enough to turn that into wins. A lack of victories can be offset against the collection of crucial bonus points before finishing fourth.

Rebuilding for Wales and Italy

Wales finds itself in a transitional phase – especially as they sacked coach Warren Gatland during the tournament itself and that transition has been mirrored by the efforts of our predictive ‘Supercomputer’

While collecting this year’s Wooden Spoon is Italy. Although they continue their steady improvement, AI only forecasts nothing more than picking up bonus points while avoiding any overwhelming defeats.

Can AI Be Beaten?

ai sport predictor

While AI predictions are rooted in data, the beauty of rugby lies in its unpredictability. Momentum swings, injuries, and tactical surprises could challenge the forecast and now we can see how it is currently faring:

Round 1

France 43-0 Wales – An emphatic win for France and far greater than AI’s prediction.

Scotland 31-19 Italy – Scotland get the job done but Italy make them sweat.

Ireland 27-22 England – A tight affair that sees the holders just come out on top.

Round 2

Italy 22-15 Wales – The first incorrect prediction from AI as Italy stun Wales and this defeat leads to Warren Gatland’s departure

England 26-25 France – While it is two for two in terms of shocks as England edge past France at Twickenham

Scotland 18-32 Ireland – No clean sweep in terms of Round 2 upsets as Ireland earn a routine win at Murrayfield.

Round 3

Wales 18-27 Ireland – Ireland come out on top but Wales certainly made them work for the win

England 16-15 Scotland – High drama at Twickenham as England win by a single point for the second time in two rounds.

Italy 24-73 France – Italy score well but their French counterparts are nothing short of emphatic in terms of their performance.

Round 4

Ireland 27-42 France – Ireland's reign as Six Nations champions looks under threat after suffering a home defeat to rivals France - going against AI's prediction.

Scotland 35-29 Wales – Wales edge closer to earning this year's Wooden Spoon after suffering a narrow defeat at Murrayfield.

England 47-24 Italy – England keep their slim title hopes alive with a win over Italy at Twickenham.

Round 5

Italy 17-22 Ireland – Ireland squeeze part the Italians but it is all for nothing in terms of Six Nations' honours

Wales 14-68 England – A miserable tournament for the Welsh as they collect the wooden spoon and English secure second.

France 35-16 Scotland – France secure Six Nations success in 2025 with a relatively comfortable home win over the Scots.

Final Table

antoine dupont france six nationsAntoine Dupont, France, during the 2025 Six Nations Championship // Independent Photo Agency / Alamy Stock Photo

PosTeamPldWDLBPPts
1France5401521
2England5401420
3Ireland5401319
4Scotland5203311
5Italy510415
6Wales500533

France scoop the glory at the expense of the Grand Slam and with them securing five Bonus Points in comparison to England's four, it is Fabien Galthié's men who have come out on top.

The top two on either side of the English Channel, not something that AI predicted as it suggested France and England would finish second and third respectively.

This also means that the prediction of Ireland winning another Six Nations title did not come to the fore and instead, the holders going into the 2025 tournament had to make do with finishing third overall.

While the only position that AI correctly predicted is the fourth place finish for Scotland. No change there but change at the bottom as Wales' miserable tournament comes to an end after losing all five of their games and also finishing behind the fifth place Italians.

Methodology

AI models analysed a wide range of factors, including recent form, player performance metrics, team dynamics, and historical trends. By processing thousands of data points, the AI model generated a comprehensive and unbiased projection of the tournament’s likely outcomes.

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