Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
This monthly updated article will take you through a meticulous analysis of trainer form by month, based on historical performance data. You will discover which trainers consistently shine in specific months.
The Comprehensive Guide to Horse Racing Trainer Form
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
Horse Racing Trainers to Follow in February 2025
For February we highlight five national hunt trainers under different conditions who in previous years have produced winners.
Under these conditions, the five of them for the previous five years in February have combined for an LSP of +275.05, 60 winners, and a 25% strike rate.
Here is how the five trainers included below have combined over the past five years:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 46 | 8 | 17% | +22.74 |
2021 | 36 | 7 | 19% | +81.29 |
2022 | 55 | 15 | 27% | +55.79 |
2023 | 48 | 14 | 29% | +55.25 |
2024 | 53 | 16 | 30% | +59.98 |
Total | 238 | 60 | 25% | +275.05 |
Emma Lavelle (NH - Non-Chasers)
Here are the top three winners from Emma Lavelle from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Bricklagger (66/1)
- Fortunate George (14/1)
- Rosalys (12/1)
Emma Lavelle has shown a profit in four of the last five years for her runners in February when you exclude the chasers, the chasers are just 3-27 (-18.35) which is why they are excluded.
She has hit some decent-priced winners from her sixteen winners too with winners at 66/1, 14/1, 12/1 & 11/1.
2024 was the year she returned a loss although she had a couple of placings that could have swung it in her favour.
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 22 | 2 | 9% | +0.05 |
2021 | 12 | 3 | 25% | +61.38 |
2022 | 18 | 5 | 28% | +17.41 |
2023 | 19 | 4 | 21% | +8.75 |
2024 | 11 | 2 | 18% | -5.50 |
Total | 82 | 16 | 20% | +82.09 |
Christian Williams (NH - Chasers Only)
Here are the top three winners from Christian Williams from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Newlands Cross (25/1)
- Fortunefavorsdbold (16/1)
- Duneomeno (9/1)
Christian Williams when focusing on his chasers only in February has returned a profit in each of the last four years.
He had a bumper year in 2022 when six of his fourteen runners went on to success and returned an LSP of +25.38.
As well as a 16/1 winner in 2024 (Fortunefavorsdbold at Huntingdon) he also had a 25/1 place in Tonto Foley at Taunton.
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | -3.00 |
2021 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +18.00 |
2022 | 14 | 6 | 43% | +25.38 |
2023 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +3.25 |
2024 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.75 |
Total | 39 | 11 | 28% | +55.38 |
Kerry Lee (NH - Class 3-4 Entries Only)
Top 3 Winners:
- Ballybegg (28/1)
- Financier (25/1)
- Eaton Collina (7/1)
Kerry Lee has a decent record when sending out runners in either a Class 3 or Class 4 race in February compared to the other classes.
Whilst she shows a record of 2-15 (13%) -7.80 in other classes, her record is 11-38 (29%) +53.66 in the two classes mentioned over the past five years.
She had two winners at Wetherby last year to add to her winner there in 2021, she has also recorded a winner at Chepstow in both 2023 & 2024.
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +23.00 |
2021 | 5 | 1 | 20% | -3.09 |
2022 | 11 | 1 | 9% | -7.00 |
2023 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +29.50 |
2024 | 7 | 4 | 57% | +11.25 |
Total | 38 | 11 | 29% | +53.66 |
Henry Daly (NH - Class 3-4 Entries Only)
Here are the top three winners from Henry Daly from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Tilly Toughnut (20/1)
- Bretney (16/1)
- Guillemot (14/1)
Another one where we are only concentrating on Class 3 or Class 4 races in February is with Henry Daly.
He has a record of 14-56 (25%) +43.92 for those two classes over the past five years compared to 5-38 (13%) -13.25 for everything else.
Ludlow has been a favourite with two winners in 2020 and another double in 2024.
Last year was a bumper year with six winners including a couple at decent prices in Tilly Toughnut (20/1) and Bretney (16/1).
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 10 | 3 | 30% | -1.31 |
2021 | 6 | 0 | 0% | -6.00 |
2022 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +13.50 |
2023 | 11 | 3 | 27% | +9.00 |
2024 | 20 | 6 | 30% | +28.73 |
Total | 56 | 14 | 25% | +43.92 |
Charles Byrnes (NH - Handicaps Only)
Here are the top three winners from Charles Byrnes from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Aodhan May (16/1)
- Off You Go (10/1)
- The Big Galloper (17/2)
In February over the past five years, Charles Byrnes has a record of 2-26 (8%) -5.00 in non-handicaps which is why we are concentrating on his handicap runners.
Those runners have a record of 8-23 (35%) +40.00 and they have shown a profit in each of the last five seasons!
Only one of those eight winners was sent off favourite and two of them have been double-figure prices.
Those were Off You Go (10/1) and Aodhan May (16/1). Watch out for Navan entries he is 2-2 there with winners in 2023 & 2024.
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.00 |
2021 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +11.00 |
2022 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.50 |
2023 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +4.75 |
2024 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +13.75 |
Total | 23 | 8 | 35% | +40.00 |
Monthly Statistics
Here are the monthly figures based on runners who fall under the criteria supplied in this article.
Date | Runners | Winners | LSP |
---|---|---|---|
01/02/2025 | 2 | 0 | -2.00 |
02/02/2025 | 1 | 0 | -1.00 |
03/02/2025 | 3 | 0 | -3.00 |
04/02/2025 | - | - | - |
Total | 6 | 0 | -6.00 |
Also, here is a full list of runners who have run under these conditions for this month.
Date | Trainer | Runner | Race | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
04/02/2025 | Emma Lavelle | Two To Tango | 16:40 Taunton | To Run |
04/02/2025 | Emma Lavelle | Hardy Fella | 15:10 Market Rasen | To Run |
04/02/2025 | Henry Daly | Bridge North | 15:10 Market Rasen | To Run |
04/02/2025 | Kerry Lee | Pimlico Point | 14:25 Taunton | To Run |
04/02/2025 | Kerry Lee | Black Hawk Eagle | 13:55 Taunton | To Run |
04/02/2025 | Kerry Lee | Wasthatok | 13:55 Taunton | To Run |
04/02/2025 | Emma Lavelle | Silver Thorn | 13:40 Market Rasen | To Run |
04/02/2025 | Kerry Lee | Wistmans Prince | 13:25 Taunton | To Run |
03/02/2025 | Charles Byrnes | The Story So Far | 15:05 Punchestown | Lost (7/1) |
03/02/2025 | Christian Williams | Prince Cleni | 13:40 Southwell | Lost (6/5) |
03/02/2025 | Christian Williams | Fever Dream | 13:10 Southwell | Lost (11/2) |
02/02/2025 | Charles Byrnes | Brave Troop | 15:50 Leopardstown | Pulled Up (4/1) |
01/02/2025 | Charles Byrnes | Shoot First | 15.07 Sandown | Fell (15/2) |
01/02/2025 | Henry Daly | Blenkinsop | 14.43 Wetherby | Lost (18/1) |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Horse Racing Trainers to Follow are at hand, Darren Brett, James Banting & Andy Powell. They all work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews.
The content in this blog has been researched using the database on HorseRaceBase.