
Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
- Labour's odds now 1/14 to win the most seats at the next General Election
- Conservatives are now as big as 11/2 with bookies to get the most seats
- Kemi Badenoch remains favourite to replace Sunak as Conservative Party Leader
Labour's odds now 1/14 to win the most seats at the next General Election
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak made more hints around when the next General Election will be earlier this week, saying that his "working assumption" is that the election will take place in the second half of the year.
There had been rumours in recent weeks that we would see a May General Election with several local elections set to take place then but now it looks less likely that'll be the case.
Labour Leader Keir Sir Keir Starmer and Liberal Democrat Leader Sir Ed Davey have both accused Sunak of being a 'squatter' inside 10 Downing Street suggesting he is outstaying his time in charge.
Legally though no General Election needs to take place this year with the latest date for the election on 28th January 2025.
Paddy Power's latest betting odds say there's a 1/14 chance of Labour having the most seats at the General Election with a big win expected for Starmer's party.
Next UK General Election - Most Seats | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Labour | 1/14 | 93.3% |
Conservatives | 11/2 | 15.4% |
Reform UK | 66/1 | 1.5% |
Liberal Democrats | 150/1 | 0.7% |
Green Party | 150/1 | 0.7% |
What the expert says...
Conservatives are now as big as 11/2 with bookies to get the most seats
Sunak's Conservative Party have now drifted right out to 11/2 to win the most seats at the next General Election with those odds putting them at the longest they've been in months.
Labour have shortened further and further every month with the election looking like it'll only be going one way if the bookmakers have it right.
The latest betting odds now suggest there's just a 15% chance that the Conservatives win the most seats at the next election therefore staying in power and likely seeing Sunak stay in charge of the party.

UK General Election Betting Odds
Kemi Badenoch remains favourite to replace Sunak as Conservative Party Leader
Kemi Badenoch is still the betting favourite to be the next leader of the Conservative Party with Sunak expected to step down if he loses the election.
Business Secretary Badenoch shortened into favourite towards the back end of last year after her performance in the Tory Party Conference.
Badenoch's odds now sit at 11/4 to become the next leader of the Conservatives with Penny Mordaunt second favourite suggesting it'll be a female leader of the party we see next.