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- The 2025 West of England Mayoral Election takes place Thursday, 1 May, with six candidates standing
- Mary Page (Green Party) leads the betting at 7/4, narrowly ahead of the Lib Dems’ Oli Henman and Labour’s Helen Godwin
- Betting sites now open on the result, with markets led by Star Sports
Mary Page Narrow Favourite in West of England Mayoral Race
With voters heading to the polls on Thursday 1 May, the race to become the next West of England Mayor is hotting up and the betting market amongst UK Betting Sites reflects just how close it could be.
According to Star Sports, Green Party candidate Mary Page is the slight favourite at 7/4 as she looks to become the region's first Green metro mayor.
Page, a Bristol City councillor and environmental campaigner, has focused her campaign on sustainable transport, housing, and tackling pollution.
But snapping at her heels are Oli Henman (Liberal Democrats) at 2/1 and Labour’s Helen Godwin at 9/4, with both parties hoping to capitalise on strong regional infrastructure and voter turnout in key Bristol and South Gloucestershire wards.
Next West of England Mayor | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Mary Page (Greens) | 7/4 | 36.4% |
Oli Henman (Liberal Democrats) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Helen Godwin (Labour) | 9/4 | 30.4% |
Arron Banks (Reform UK) | 11/2 | 15.4% |
Steve Smith (Conservatives) | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Ian Scott (Independant) | 66/1 | 1.5% |
What the expert says...
A Competitive Field for a Growing Region
This will be the third West of England Mayoral Election, with the winner assuming responsibility for transport, planning, housing, and regional development across Bath and North East Somerset, Bristol, and South Gloucestershire.
The current mayor, Dan Norris (Labour), is ineligble for re-election after he succesfully stood for North East Somerset and Hanham back in the July general election.
Page’s momentum has reportedly grown thanks to growing climate-conscious sentiment, while both Henman and Godwin have solid ground operations in key areas.
Arron Banks, the businessman and Brexit campaigner, is a high-profile wildcard at 11/2 representing Reform UK.
Steve Smith (Conservative) at 20/1 and independent Ian Scott at 66/1 round out the field.

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
Where to Bet on the West of England Mayoral Election
This close contest is drawing increased betting activity, with markets now open at select betting sites, including Star Sports.
Whether you're backing a frontrunner or taking a punt on a political outsider, be sure to check the latest free bets and promotions ahead of polling day.
Also check out the Top 10 Political Betting Sites in the UK for the best places to bet on the local elections this week.