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- 71% Chance Republicans will win more than 50 seats in the Senate Election in November according to betting sites.
- Bookies go just 2/1 on Democratic control of the Senate following midterm elections
- How Much Noise will Donald Trump be making between now and then?
Betting on the number of seats the Republicans will gain in the 2022 Senate Elections is underway on betting sites, and the betting odds would suggest over 50 seats is relatively assured with a 71% probability represented by odds of just 2/5.
There is plenty of time for things to change, however, as the Senate Elections do not take place until November 8th, 2022, following the latest election on November 3rd, 2020.
Right now the current breakdown is Democratic [48] and Independant [2] seats with the republicans holding 50. It will be interesting how much noise Donald Trump makes throughout the year and what his political intentions might be.
2022 Senate Elections Betting Odds
How many seats will the Republicans win?
| Bet | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Over 50 | 2/5 | 71.43% |
| Exactly 50 | 10/3 | 23.08% |
| Under 50 | 5/1 | 16.67% |
2022 Senate Control
It has been a close run in terms of the betting throughout 2021 with little to choose between the Democrats and Republicans as to who will control the Senate following the 2022 midterm elections.
However, as 2020 comes to a close there has been a definite shift toward the Republicans with their price crashing from 10/11 to just 2/5 - That a probability shift of 51% in September to over 70% as we head toward 2021 according to Smarkets Exchange betting
2022 Senate Control Betting Odds
Which party will control the United States Senate following the 2022 midterm elections?
| Party | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Republican | 2/5 | 71.43% |
| Democrat | 2/1 | 33.33% |
