Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
- Republicans are 4/5 to win in the state of Nevada at the upcoming US Presidential Election
- Trump given an average margin of +0.9 in most recent polls
- Kamala Harris and Trump now joint favourites in next US President odds
Republicans are 4/5 to win in the state of Nevada at the upcoming US Presidential Election
Nevada is one of several battleground states that will be fought over at the 2024 US Presidential Election in November and betting sites are now offering odds on which party will be voted as the winner.
Republicans lead the betting market at 4/5 to win in Nevada with Donald Trump's party currently just about favourites ahead of the Democrats according to Bet365's latest market.
The odds give a 55.6% probability that the Republican party will win at the polls during November's election with the 2020 election seeing Nevada as one of the closest there was.
Joe Biden won in Nevada with just a 2.39% margin with just two of the county's voting for the Democrats in the 2020 election but the popular vote seeing Biden winning.
| 2024 Presidential Election - Nevada | Fractional Odds | Moneyline | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans | 4/5 | -125 | 55.6% |
| Democrats | 10/11 | -110 | 52.4% |
What the expert says...
Trump given an average margin of +0.9 in most recent polls
Recent polling aggregation figures from both RealClearPolitics and 270ToWin see Trump lead the latest polls with both sites putting the former President clear to be voted in once again.
RealClearPolitics give a +1.4 winning margin to Trump with 270ToWin sitting at +0.4 with an average of +0.9 given to Trump but such a small figure can be easily overturned in the polls in November.
Focaldata stats from 6-16 August had Harris clear with an 8% lead so it shows that these polling figures are to be taken with a pinch of salt and can always change around.
Michigan Presidential Election Betting Odds: Democrats move into 4/9 to win in Michigan with latest polling figures giving Kamala Harris a ‘+2.1 MARGIN’
Kamala Harris and Trump now joint favourites in next US President odds
Betting on the US Presidential Election also sees the straight forward winner market with Kamala Harris and Donald Trump now joint favourites in the betting odds.
Harris had shortened into favourite in recent weeks but bookmakers now put the pair equal in the market at 10/11 with the traders unable to split the pair in the betting.
With campaigns now ramping up and debates expected to take place throughout September it's clear that we will once again see chances to the betting market before the election happens.
| US Presidential Election 2024 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 10/11 | 52.4% |
| Donald Trump | 10/11 | 52.4% |
