Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Sumayah Kazi is now the favourite to win this year's Great British Bake Off
- Two bakers left the show this week with one withdrawing
- We look at the full cast of Bake Off 2024
Sumayah Kazi is now the favourite to win this year's Great British Bake Off
The 15th series of the Great British Bake Off is now well underway with two shows under our belts and there's now a clear contender above the rest to win the show.
19-year-old Dentistry student Sumayah Kazi is now evens to win this year's Bake Off after back-to-back impressive performances in the first two shows resulted in her winning Star Baker in Week 2.
Sumayah impressed both Paul Hollywood and Prue Leith with her opening bakes and that has instantly made her the favourite to win the show ahead of Christiaan de Vries, who turned his fortunes around this week going from the least favourite to one of the highest favourite bakers.
OLBG look at the latest odds on who will win the show with Kazi given a 50% chance of being crowned the winner at the end of the season followed by Christiaan's 25% implied probability based on the odds.
| Great British Bake Off 2024 Winner | Odds* | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sumayah Kazi | 1/1 | 50.0% |
| Christiaan de Vries | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Gill Howard | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Georgie Grasso | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Mike Wilkins | 5/1 | 16.7% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
What the expert says...
Two bakers left the show this week with one withdrawing
Dramatic scenes were shown in Week Two of this year's Bake Off with not one but TWO bakers leaving the show after 67-year-old Retired university lecturer Jeff withdrew.
Jeff came back this week after he was absent with illness in the first episode and Jeff eventually felt ill again before declaring "I've had enough. I'm done" and walking out.
Retired nail technician Hazel Vaughan was the first contestant to be eliminated by Paul and Prue after they were unimpressed with her 'Punch & Judy' Biscuit Puppet Theatre showstopper.
Viewers may also have Bake-Off fatigue with early viewing figures on Channel 4 declining from recent years, including the opening episode of the series which had 3.6m viewers compared to 4.3m last year.
A Betting Guide To The Great British Bake Off
We look at the full cast of Bake Off 2024
The 2024 cast of the Great British Bake Off sees a range of ages from 19 to 71 from a whole host of locations across Britain and even originally elsewhere.
19-year-old Sumayah is the youngest contestant in the show and she's looking to prove her early favouritism is right.
Hazel was the oldest contestant but was voted out by Paul and Prue on Week Two.
| Baker | Age | Occupation | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Ryan | 44 | Car mechanic | Essex |
| Christiaan de Vries | 33 | Menswear designer | London (originally from the Netherlands) |
| Dylan Bachelet | 20 | Retail assistant | Buckinghamshire |
| Georgie Grasso | 34 | Paediatric nurse | Carmarthenshire |
| Gill Howard | 53 | Senior category manager | Lancashire |
| Hazel Vaughan | 71 | Retired nail technician | Kent |
| Illiyin Morrison | 31 | Birth trauma specialist midwife | Norfolk |
| Jeff | 67 | Retired university lecturer | West Yorkshire (originally from The Bronx) |
| John Mincher | 37 | Directorate support manager | Willenhall |
| Mike Wilkins | 29 | Farm manager | Wiltshire |
| Nelly Ghaffar | 44 | Palliative care assistant | Dorset (originally from Slovakia) |
| Sumayah Kazi | 19 | Dentistry student | Lancashire |
(Red indicates a baker that is no longer on the show)
