Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- After 10 days in charge, bookmakers give odds on Liz Truss outlasting former PM's
- Truss is expected to stay in her position until 2024 at least with odds of evens 2024 is her exit date
- Truss is 11/8 to press on with privatisation of Channel Four
After 10 days in charge, bookmakers give odds on Liz Truss outlasting former PM's
Prime Minister Liz Truss has been in the position for 10 days and will be looking to stay there for many years to come.
Bookmakers have already given odds on her outlasting former Prime Ministers in her length in the role.
Betway make it 1/20 that she at least outlasts George Canning, whose 119 day spell remains the shortest in history.
| Liz Truss To Serve Longer than which former PM? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| George Canning (119 days) | 1/20 | 95.2% |
| Gordon Brown (2 years 318 days) | 2/5 | 71.4% |
| Theresa May (3 years 11 days) | 13/8 | 38.1% |
| Boris Johnson (3 years 44 days) | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Ted Heath (3 years 259 days) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| David Cameron (6 years 63 days) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| John Major (6 years 155 days) | 11/2 | 15.4% |
Liz Truss has been Prime Minister for 10 days now and it's already been a rollercoaster in her reign.
Just two days after The Queen requested Truss to form a new administration as PM, Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully.
Bookies are giving odds on Liz Truss outlasting former PM's with the odds giving a 36% chance of her lasting longer than Boris Johnson at Number 10.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Truss is expected to stay in her position until 2024 at least with odds of evens 2024 is her exit date
Liz Truss is expected to stay in the role as Prime Minister until 2024 at least according to the betting odds.
Bookies make 2024 the 11/10 favourite to be the exit date in her role as Prime Minister, with 2025 just behind in the market at 15/8.
The next General Election isn't due until January 2025 but it may well be that we get one sooner with Truss hinting at a 2024 election last week.
| When will Liz Truss be replaced as PM? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| 2023 | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| 2025 or Later | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Truss is 11/8 to press on with privatisation of Channel Four
The privatisation of Channel Four has been one of the most talked about political stories within the past year.
Despite criticisms from MPs and the industry itself, it looks like the privatisation of the channel will go ahead at some point.
Bookies though make it 11/8 that it does actually happen, with 4/7 odds that it doesn't happen according to Smarkets.
The privatisation of Channel Four is 11/8 to go ahead with Liz Truss expected to make the situation clearer towards the end of the year.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com
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