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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner is Announced on Friday 8th October
- World Health Organization, COVAX, GAVI or CEPI Less than 3/1 favourites at betting sites
- Greta Thurburg is 15/2 with bookies to be honoured with the Peace Prize from her own country.
- Alex Navalny would be the 4th imprisoned winner of the peace prize and is 18/1 with bookmakers
Greta Thunberg was a 3/1 shot to win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2020, but is an even bigger prize to win this year coming up against The World Health Organisation, COVAX, GAVI or CEPI
Earlier this year punters would have been offered a shorter prize, but in recent weeks, her price has gotten bigger, along with Alexei Navalny, whilst the WHO and associated bodies as a group have become the firmer favourites with bookmakers
This year betting sites have her priced at 15/2 odds in the Nobel Peace Prize Winner Betting.
Nobel Peace Prize Betting Odds
|
Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
World Health Organization, COVAX, GAVI or CEPI | 3.8 | 26% |
Greta Thunberg | 8.6 | 12% |
UN Framework Convention on Climate Change | 16.0 | 6% |
Reporters Without Borders | 16.5 | 6% |
Svitlana Tsikhanouskaya | 18.0 | 6% |
Alexei Navalny | 19.0 | 5% |
Nathan Law Kwun-chung | 20.0 | 5% |
Angela Merkel | 21.0 | 5% |
Jacinda Ardern | 21.0 | 5% |
Ilham Tohti | 23.0 | 4% |
Palestinian Centre for Human Rights | 23.0 | 4% |
Bill Gates | 27.0 | 4% |
International Fact Checking Institute | 34.0 | 3% |
Shocks are Common
Whilst there is annual betting odds offered on the prize award, it has rarely been awarded to who the bookmakers have offered favouritsm too, and in 2021, in terms of the betting odds, we could again be in for a shock.
There are, after all, nearly 400 nominated bodies for the prize, and the winner, chosen by the Nobel Committee could come from anywhere.
The list is as diverse to have Vladamir Putin, Meghan Markle, Julian Assange and RNLI in the same position in the betting.
Imprisoned Nobel Peace Prize Winners
Alexei Navalny is the leader of the Russia of the Future party and the founder of the Anti-Corruption Foundation (FBK) and is currently imprisoned in Moscow on various charges.
As recently as August he was challenging The WHO in being favourite to win the prize, but has since slipped in the betting to double figures and around 16/1
Although currently incarcerated, if he were to win, he would not be the first to do so behind bars.
There have been three previous prisoners awarded the prize in its history
- German Journalist Carl von Ossietzky
- Myanmar Politician Aung San Suu Kyi
- Liu Xiaobo Chinese renegade.