
Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Georgie Grasso is the new favourite to win this year's Great British Bake Off
- Former favourite Sumayah Kazi was the latest baker to be eliminated
- Five bakers remain on this year's Bake Off series
Georgie Grasso is the new favourite to win this year's Great British Bake Off
Betting odds have been blown wide open for the winner of this year's Great British Bake Off after former favourite Sumayah Kazi was eliminated on Tuesday night's show.
Georgie Grasso is now the leader in the latest market after impressing judges week-by-week including a Star Baker performance in Week 4 of the show.
This week's Star Baker Dylan Bachelet follows just behind Georgie in the betting odds with the 20-year-old's 'Concrete Box' Tiramisu and Spotted Dick wowing Paul Hollywood and Prue Leith.
Now the latest odds give an implied probability of 33.3% that Georgie is crowned Bake Off winner this year with Dylan given a 30.8% chance according to the latest market.
Great British Bake Off 2024 Winner | Odds* | Probability |
---|---|---|
Georgie Grasso | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Dylan Bachelet | 9/4 | 30.8% |
Gill Howard | 4/1 | 20.0% |
Christiaan de Vries | 5/1 | 16.7% |
Illiyin Morrison | 5/1 | 16.7% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
What the expert says...
Former favourite Sumayah Kazi was the latest baker to be eliminated
After starting off the show in great style with fantastic performances, including being Star Baker in Week Two, it was no surprise to see Sumayah Kazi installed as the favourite in the market to win the show.
Sumayah continued to improve week after week and her Star Baker performance last week caused many viewers to believe she would be crowned winner of Bake Off this year.
Sadly for Sumayah though she was eliminated from Bake Off this week after she failed to impress with her Technical, Signature and Showstopper bakes.

A Betting Guide To The Great British Bake Off
Five bakers remain on this year's Bake Off series
This year's cast of Great British Bake Off sees a range of ages from 19 to 71 from a whole host of locations across Britain and beyond.
19-year-old Sumayah was the youngest contestant in the show with 71-year-old Hazel Vaughan the oldest to enter this year's series.
Just five bakers remain on the show this year with the race to win now wide open after previous favourite Sumayah departed.
Baker | Age | Occupation | Hometown |
---|---|---|---|
Andy Ryan | 44 | Car mechanic | Essex |
Christiaan de Vries | 33 | Menswear designer | London (originally from the Netherlands) |
Dylan Bachelet | 20 | Retail assistant | Buckinghamshire |
Georgie Grasso | 34 | Paediatric nurse | Carmarthenshire |
Gill Howard | 53 | Senior category manager | Lancashire |
Hazel Vaughan | 71 | Retired nail technician | Kent |
Illiyin Morrison | 31 | Birth trauma specialist midwife | Norfolk |
Jeff | 67 | Retired university lecturer | West Yorkshire (originally from The Bronx) |
John Mincher | 37 | Directorate support manager | Willenhall |
Mike Wilkins | 29 | Farm manager | Wiltshire |
Nelly Ghaffar | 44 | Palliative care assistant | Dorset (originally from Slovakia) |
Sumayah Kazi | 19 | Dentistry student | Lancashire |
(Red indicates a baker that is no longer on the show)
