MonteCarloRacing
I like to run races through Monte Carlo simulations. I simulate each race 100,000 times. Each simulation uses 72 different variables relative to each horses form and history. This validates if I think the current handicap mark is correct or not. This is basically an automated way of calculating each horses number of simulated wins for this race. The results of the simulation provides me with my own odds. I'll use my own odds to then determine the bets. i.e. VALUE. I then couple that selection with a written description based on ratings. I like to keep things generic and of a set way of writing..
3
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
MonteCarloRacing's Tips History
18 May 2024
16:10 4:10 Newbury
Significantly
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@12.00
Void
0
12 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Good ground for a £38655 prize, where SIGNIFICANTLY (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6212-86. This 6 year old last ran 14 days ago putting up a speed figure of 77 (rest of field last run avg is 72). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 73). Has a MIN speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MAX speed rating of 83 (rest of field avg is 81). Ryan Sexton in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is SIGNIFICANTLY. This looks good placement from Miss J A Camacho. (1* Strength Selection & 89.23% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal0
17 May 2024
19:50 7:50 Hamilton
Kristal Klear
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
11 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 1m 68y on Good ground for a £3664 prize, where KRISTAL KLEAR comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 46670-2. This 4 year old last ran 21 days ago putting up a speed figure of 78 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 50). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 71). J Fanning in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is KRISTAL KLEAR. This looks good placement from Mrs Stella Barclay. (5* Strength Selection & 91.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:15 7:15 Hamilton
Get Shirty
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-50
6 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 1m 4f 15y on Good ground for a £15462 prize, where GET SHIRTY (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 95075-5. This 8 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 82 (rest of field last run avg is 70). Has an AVG speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 69). Has a MIN speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 82 (rest of field avg is 78). D Nolan in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is GET SHIRTY. This looks good placement from D O'Meara. (3* Strength Selection & 100% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:20 5:20 York
Midnight Affair
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
20 runners go to post in a class 3 (3YO only) race over 5f on Good ground for a £12885 prize, where MIDNIGHT AFFAIR (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 2190-. This 3 year old last ran 217 days ago putting up a speed figure of 71 (rest of field last run avg is 56). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 72). D Tudhope in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is MIDNIGHT AFFAIR. This looks good placement from R A Fahey. (5* Strength Selection & 69.52% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:45 3:45 York
Al Qareem
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
7 runners go to post in a class 1 (4YO plus) race over 1m 5f 188y on Good ground for a £102078 prize, where AL QAREEM (C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 00112-2. This 5 year old last ran 27 days ago putting up a speed figure of 89 (rest of field last run avg is 82). Has an AVG speed rating of 84 (rest of field avg is 78). Has a MIN speed rating of 81 (rest of field avg is 72). Has a MAX speed rating of 89 (rest of field avg is 85). C Lee in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is AL QAREEM. This looks good placement from K R Burke. (1* Strength Selection & 82.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal-200
16 May 2024
20:22 8:22 Lingfield
Diamond Dreamer
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
11 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Good to Firm ground for a £3664 prize, where DIAMOND DREAMER (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 913-911. This 4 year old last ran 17 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 57). Has an AVG speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 67). Harry Davies in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is DIAMOND DREAMER. This looks good placement from P R Chamings. (3* Strength Selection & 81.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:40 7:40 Fontwell
Call Off The Dogs
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 15/05 at 17:440.25 deduction for Lone Soldier@3.50 withdrawn at 06:490.20 deduction for Blaze A Trail @4.500 withdrawn at 12:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.45) = 4.03
@4.03
Win
151
6 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 1f 165y on Good ground for a £4014 prize, where CALL OFF THE DOGS (C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 21/PP44-. This 9 year old last ran 22 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 44). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MAX speed rating of 101 (rest of field avg is 79). Caoilin Quinn in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is CALL OFF THE DOGS. This looks good placement from G & J Moore. (4* Strength Selection & 63.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:40 6:40 Fontwell
Executive Pool
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
12 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 2m 1f 162y on Good ground for a £4014 prize, where EXECUTIVE POOL comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 8P7U45-. This 5 year old last ran 27 days ago putting up a speed figure of 89 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 62 (rest of field avg is 53). Has a MAX speed rating of 89 (rest of field avg is 80). Caoilin Quinn in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is EXECUTIVE POOL. This looks good placement from G & J Moore. (1* Strength Selection & 84.62% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:10 6:10 Fontwell
Yesnosorry
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
10 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 3f 104y on Good ground for a £4014 prize, where YESNOSORRY comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6624/PP-. This 7 year old last ran 179 days ago putting up a speed figure of 79 (rest of field last run avg is 55). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MAX speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 71). James Davies in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is YESNOSORRY. This looks good placement from N J Gifford. (1* Strength Selection & 50.91% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:40 5:40 Fontwell
Earth King
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG
@5.50
Win
225
5 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 3m 1f 166y on Good ground for a £4647 prize, where EARTH KING comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of P535PP-. This 8 year old last ran 25 days ago putting up a speed figure of 70 (rest of field last run avg is 68). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 85 (rest of field avg is 79). H Cobden in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is EARTH KING. This looks good placement from N P Mulholland. (1* Strength Selection & 96% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:02 5:02 Salisbury
Aulis
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
6 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO only) race over 1m 4f 5y on Soft ground for a £4580 prize, where AULIS comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 63-73. This 3 year old last ran 15 days ago putting up a speed figure of 75 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 68 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 69). Hector Crouch in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is AULIS. This looks good placement from R M Beckett. (3* Strength Selection & 83.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:50 4:50 Perth
Sword Of Fate
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
10 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 4f 20y on Good to Soft ground for a £4753 prize, where SWORD OF FATE (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 60345-9. This 11 year old last ran 8 days ago putting up a speed figure of 67 (rest of field last run avg is 46). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 55 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 100 (rest of field avg is 74). P W Wadge in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is SWORD OF FATE. This looks good placement from L Kerr. (2* Strength Selection & 58.18% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:20 4:20 Perth
Voix Du Reve
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
13 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 2m 4f 35y on Good to Soft ground for a £5281 prize, where VOIX DU REVE (FR) (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 649P83-. This 12 year old last ran 27 days ago putting up a speed figure of 82 (rest of field last run avg is 64). Has an AVG speed rating of 77 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 93 (rest of field avg is 79). C O'Farrell in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is VOIX DU REVE (FR). This looks good placement from I Jardine. (1* Strength Selection & 82.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:05 2:05 Limerick
Ramiro
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
12 runners go to post in a class (3YO plus) race over 6f 150y on Soft to Heavy ground for a £6900 prize, where RAMIRO (C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 224-273. This 8 year old last ran 26 days ago putting up a speed figure of 92 (rest of field last run avg is 51). Has an AVG speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MIN speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 46). Has a MAX speed rating of 92 (rest of field avg is 72). J M Sheridan in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is RAMIRO. This looks good placement from Miss McLoughlin. (6* Strength Selection & 87.69% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal26
15 May 2024
18:10 6:10 Bath
Hey Big Spender
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
11 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO plus) race over 1m on Good to Soft ground for a £3942 prize, where HEY BIG SPENDER comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 0. This 3 year old last ran 28 days ago putting up a speed figure of 80 (rest of field last run avg is 48). Has an AVG speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 58). Has a MIN speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 61). A J Farragher in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is HEY BIG SPENDER. This looks good placement from W J Haggas. (1* Strength Selection & 30% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:00 5:00 Bath
Voodoo Ray
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.50
Win
125
17 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 5f 160y on Good to Soft ground for a £2983 prize, where VOODOO RAY (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1435-11. This 5 year old last ran 6 days ago putting up a speed figure of 72 (rest of field last run avg is 58). Has an AVG speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MIN speed rating of 52 (rest of field avg is 51). Has a MAX speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 68). T P Queally in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is VOODOO RAY. This looks good placement from G & J Moore. (1* Strength Selection & 92.22% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:15 2:15 York
Klondike
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
14 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 1m 3f 188y on Good to Firm ground for a £33501 prize, where KLONDIKE comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1247-. This 4 year old last ran 270 days ago putting up a speed figure of 76 (rest of field last run avg is 66). Has an AVG speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 71). Has a MIN speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MAX speed rating of 85 (rest of field avg is 77). Tom Marquand in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is KLONDIKE. This looks good placement from W J Haggas. (1* Strength Selection & 84% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal25
14 May 2024
19:50 7:50 Killarney
Caradoc
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
12 runners go to post in a class (4YO plus) race over 2m 182y on Good ground for a £9900 prize, where CARADOC comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 804/985-. This 9 year old last ran 236 days ago putting up a speed figure of 70 (rest of field last run avg is 55). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 70). L F Roche in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is CARADOC. This looks good placement from E McNamara. (2* Strength Selection & 72.31% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:40 7:40 Chepstow
King Of Scotia
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
13 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 6f 16y on Good to Soft ground for a £3716 prize, where KING OF SCOTIA comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 3469-95. This 4 year old last ran 117 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 53). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 62 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 71). Saffie Osborne in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is KING OF SCOTIA. This looks good placement from J A Osborne. (2* Strength Selection & 85.71% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:00 7:00 Ayr
Farhhfromforgotten
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
11 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 1m 2f on Good to Firm ground for a £3664 prize, where FARHHFROMFORGOTTEN comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 7257-56. This 4 year old last ran 12 days ago putting up a speed figure of 75 (rest of field last run avg is 62). Has an AVG speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MIN speed rating of 51 (rest of field avg is 51). Has a MAX speed rating of 81 (rest of field avg is 66). Billy Garritty in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is FARHHFROMFORGOTTEN. This looks good placement from L Bailey. (1* Strength Selection & 91.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:30 4:30 Southwell
Grivetana
Daily Racing
9 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 1m 7f 182y on Good ground for a £4066 prize, where GRIVETANA (FR) (D bf) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6480/6F-. This 6 year old last ran 167 days ago putting up a speed figure of 69 (rest of field last run avg is 72). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 68). Has a MIN speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 53). Has a MAX speed rating of 82 (rest of field avg is 81). Paul O'Brien in the saddle today. Only 7 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is GRIVETANA (FR). GRIVETANA (FR) is also just 1 of 1 horses which has a MIN rating above the average rating of all horses, and above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course. This looks good placement from Harry Derham. (1* Strength Selection & 93.33% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:45 3:45 Beverley
Herakles
Daily Racing
10 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 5f on Good to Firm ground for a £4527 prize, where HERAKLES (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 8-16623. This 4 year old last ran 22 days ago putting up a speed figure of 64 (rest of field last run avg is 59). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 58). Has a MAX speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 73). D Nolan in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is HERAKLES. This looks good placement from P T Midgley. (1* Strength Selection & 81.82% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:00 3:00 Southwell
James Jet
Daily Racing
13 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 3m 60y on Good ground for a £4700 prize, where JAMES JET comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 3/11PP7-. This 7 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 72 (rest of field last run avg is 59). Has an AVG speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 53). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 77). James Bowen in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is JAMES JET. JAMES JET is also just 1 of 1 horses which has a MIN rating above the average rating of all horses, and above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course. This looks good placement from W Greatrex. (2* Strength Selection & 81.43% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Southwell
Happy Du Mesnil
Daily Racing
9 runners go to post in a class 5 (5YO plus) race over 2m 4f 88y on Good ground for a £3248 prize, where HAPPY DU MESNIL (FR) (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 64/P34-1. This 7 year old last ran 7 days ago putting up a speed figure of 84 (rest of field last run avg is 35). Has an AVG speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 52). Has a MAX speed rating of 84 (rest of field avg is 71). Henry Brooke in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is HAPPY DU MESNIL (FR). This looks good placement from O Greenall & J Guerriero. (1* Strength Selection & 42.22% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal-125
13 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Fayasel
Daily Racing
12 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 7f 36y on Standard (AW - Tapeta) ground for a £2983 prize, where FAYASEL (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 54174-3. This 4 year old last ran 18 days ago putting up a speed figure of 60 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 62). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 69). Callum Shepherd in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is FAYASEL. This looks good placement from M Murphy & M Keady. (3* Strength Selection & 92.31% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:55 7:55 Wolverhampton
Jojo Rabbit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
10 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 5f 21y on Standard (AW - Tapeta) ground for a £3716 prize, where JOJO RABBIT (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 7531-10. This 6 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 61 (rest of field last run avg is 54). Has an AVG speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 61 (rest of field avg is 51). Has a MAX speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 72). L Morris in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is JOJO RABBIT. This looks good placement from Mrs R Carr. (2* Strength Selection & 81.82% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
19:45 7:45 Killarney
Jeremy Pass
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@21.00
Void
0
13 runners go to post in a class (5YO plus) race over 2m 7f on Good ground for a £6300 prize, where JEREMY PASS (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 3P2/24-P. This 9 year old last ran 8 days ago putting up a speed figure of 81 (rest of field last run avg is 59). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 51 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 90 (rest of field avg is 70). Mr P A King in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is JEREMY PASS. This looks good placement from S Curling. (1* Strength Selection & 62.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
1 member found this comment useful
19:05 7:05 Windsor
Lawn Ranger
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
10 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 1m 2f on Good to Firm ground for a £4397 prize, where LAWN RANGER (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 71385-5. This 9 year old last ran 12 days ago putting up a speed figure of 67 (rest of field last run avg is 60). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 86 (rest of field avg is 74). R Havlin in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is LAWN RANGER. This looks good placement from M J Attwater. (3* Strength Selection & 81.82% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:35 6:35 Windsor
Executive Decision
Daily Racing
10 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 6f 12y on Good to Firm ground for a £9936 prize, where EXECUTIVE DECISION (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 511507-. This 4 year old last ran 203 days ago putting up a speed figure of 65 (rest of field last run avg is 70). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 69). Has a MIN speed rating of 65 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 77). Saffie Osborne in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is EXECUTIVE DECISION. This looks good placement from J A Osborne. (1* Strength Selection & 90.91% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:47 4:47 Catterick
Quercus
Daily Racing
12 runners go to post in a class 5 (6YO plus) race over 5f 212y on Good ground for a £4187 prize, where QUERCUS (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 921109-. This 7 year old last ran 196 days ago putting up a speed figure of 63 (rest of field last run avg is 62). Has an AVG speed rating of 68 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 63 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 71). J Fanning in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is QUERCUS. This looks good placement from Mrs A Duffield. (1* Strength Selection & 92.31% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:35 4:35 Hereford
Byzantine Empire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
5 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 2m 53y on Good ground for a £4066 prize, where BYZANTINE EMPIRE (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 26/4675-. This 7 year old last ran 43 days ago putting up a speed figure of 82 (rest of field last run avg is 78). Has an AVG speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 52). Has a MAX speed rating of 97 (rest of field avg is 82). C Brace in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is BYZANTINE EMPIRE. This looks good placement from J L Flint. (2* Strength Selection & 88% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:35 3:35 Hereford
I Am Gonna Be
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
11 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 3m 1f 44y on Good ground for a £4700 prize, where I AM GONNA BE comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 4P/28P5-. This 7 year old last ran 25 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 44). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 72). Lily Pinchin in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is I AM GONNA BE. This looks good placement from C E Longsdon. (1* Strength Selection & 56.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:17 3:17 Catterick
Lady Bouquet
Daily Racing
10 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO only) race over 5f on Good ground for a £4187 prize, where LADY BOUQUET (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 31262-2. This 3 year old last ran 30 days ago putting up a speed figure of 67 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 57). Has a MIN speed rating of 62 (rest of field avg is 48). Has a MAX speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 66). Connor Beasley in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is LADY BOUQUET. This looks good placement from P A Kirby. (3* Strength Selection & 85.45% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:05 3:05 Hereford
Hall Lane
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
9 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 2m 4f 194y on Good ground for a £4700 prize, where HALL LANE comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 6P/2452-. This 6 year old last ran 20 days ago putting up a speed figure of 72 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 77 (rest of field avg is 77). Thomas Bellamy in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is HALL LANE. This looks good placement from A King. (1* Strength Selection & 82.22% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal-400
12 May 2024
19:00 7:00 Newcastle
Misty Grey
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Win
275
14 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Standard (AW - Tapeta) ground for a £38655 prize, where MISTY GREY (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 4-74223. This 7 year old last ran 24 days ago putting up a speed figure of 92 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 82 (rest of field avg is 73). Has a MIN speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MAX speed rating of 92 (rest of field avg is 80). D Tudhope in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is MISTY GREY. This looks good placement from D O'Meara. (7* Strength Selection & 86.67% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:25 4:25 Plumpton
Tronador
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@17.00
Win
800
6 runners go to post in a class 3 (4YO plus) race over 2m 4f 114y on Good to Soft ground for a £9242 prize, where TRONADOR (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 00/3P5F-. This 8 year old last ran 30 days ago putting up a speed figure of 86 (rest of field last run avg is 77). Has an AVG speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 72). Has a MIN speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MAX speed rating of 86 (rest of field avg is 89). Lewis Saunders in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is TRONADOR. This looks good placement from O Murphy. (2* Strength Selection & 100% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:15 3:15 Plumpton
Magistrato
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
8 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 2m 3f 164y on Good ground for a £5809 prize, where MAGISTRATO (FR) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 426522-. This 6 year old last ran 28 days ago putting up a speed figure of 79 (rest of field last run avg is 63). Has an AVG speed rating of 79 (rest of field avg is 70). Has a MIN speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 58). Has a MAX speed rating of 84 (rest of field avg is 86). Chris Ward in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is MAGISTRATO (FR). This looks good placement from Deborah Cole. (2* Strength Selection & 77.5% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:07 3:07 Newcastle
Tierney
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@15.00
Lose
-50
10 runners go to post in a class 4 (3YO only) race over 6f on Standard (AW - Tapeta) ground for a £10468 prize, where TIERNEY (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 615245-. This 3 year old last ran 229 days ago putting up a speed figure of 65 (rest of field last run avg is 56). Has an AVG speed rating of 68 (rest of field avg is 62). Has a MIN speed rating of 61 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 71). Jason Hart in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is TIERNEY. This looks good placement from H Palmer. (3* Strength Selection & 74.55% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:53 2:53 Ludlow
Royale Margaux
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.00
Void
0
7 runners go to post in a class 4 (5YO plus) race over 2m 4f 11y on Good ground for a £5809 prize, where ROYALE MARGAUX (FR) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 2/82543-. This 6 year old last ran 24 days ago putting up a speed figure of 74 (rest of field last run avg is 51). Has an AVG speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 49 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 76). Benjamin Poste in the saddle today. Only 2 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is ROYALE MARGAUX (FR). This looks good placement from T Symonds. (1* Strength Selection & 68.57% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal975
11 May 2024
20:25 8:25 Leicester
Macho Sun
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
15 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 1m 2f on Good to Soft ground for a £3140 prize, where MACHO SUN comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 5260-64. This 4 year old last ran 14 days ago putting up a speed figure of 66 (rest of field last run avg is 57). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MIN speed rating of 57 (rest of field avg is 51). Has a MAX speed rating of 99 (rest of field avg is 68). Dylan Hogan in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is MACHO SUN. This looks good placement from Miss J Feilden. (3* Strength Selection & 93.75% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:55 6:55 Leicester
Yoshimi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
11 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 7f on Good ground for a £3664 prize, where YOSHIMI (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 41230-0. This 7 year old last ran 41 days ago putting up a speed figure of 64 (rest of field last run avg is 61). Has an AVG speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 64 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 77 (rest of field avg is 72). T Eaves in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is YOSHIMI. This looks good placement from M Herrington. (2* Strength Selection & 100% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
18:15 6:15 Hexham
Boomslang
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
6 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 2m 7f 63y on Good ground for a £4901 prize, where BOOMSLANG comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 36/23PP-. This 7 year old last ran 148 days ago putting up a speed figure of 69 (rest of field last run avg is 48). Has an AVG speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 76). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MAX speed rating of 97 (rest of field avg is 86). Ross Chapman in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is BOOMSLANG. This looks good placement from R Menzies. (1* Strength Selection & 50% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:55 5:55 Leicester
Gatwick Kitten
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
16 runners go to post in a class 6 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Good ground for a £3140 prize, where GATWICK KITTEN (USA) (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 873555-. This 7 year old last ran 183 days ago putting up a speed figure of 73 (rest of field last run avg is 62). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MIN speed rating of 52 (rest of field avg is 50). Has a MAX speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 67). R Havlin in the saddle today. (3* Strength Selection & 100% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
17:00 5:00 Haydock
Cambria Legend
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 2.88 on 10/05 at 21:090.20 deduction for Minstrel Knight@5.00 withdrawn at 06:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.88 x (1-0.20) = 2.50
@2.50
Win
75
7 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO only) race over 1m 2f 42y on Good to Soft ground for a £6281 prize, where CAMBRIA LEGEND comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 67-52. This 3 year old last ran 18 days ago putting up a speed figure of 63 (rest of field last run avg is 59). Has an AVG speed rating of 63 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 49). Has a MAX speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 65). R Kingscote in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is CAMBRIA LEGEND. This looks good placement from J R Fanshawe. (10* Strength Selection & 82.86% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:55 4:55 Ascot
Buccabay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
27 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 6f on Good ground for a £10808 prize, where BUCCABAY (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 12483-2. This 4 year old last ran 10 days ago putting up a speed figure of 75 (rest of field last run avg is 63). Has an AVG speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 68). Has a MIN speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 61). Has a MAX speed rating of 84 (rest of field avg is 75). Charles Bishop in the saddle today. (7* Strength Selection & 92.59% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:45 4:45 Lingfield
Gogo Yubari
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
13 runners go to post in a class 5 (3YO only) race over 4f 217y on Good to Soft ground for a £10468 prize, where GOGO YUBARI (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 413111. This 3 year old last ran 10 days ago putting up a speed figure of 72 (rest of field last run avg is 66). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 62). Has a MIN speed rating of 58 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 69). Daniel Muscutt in the saddle today. (1* Strength Selection & 96.92% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
16:20 4:20 Ascot
Prenup
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
10 runners go to post in a class 4 (3YO plus) race over 1m 1f 212y on Good to Soft ground for a £10808 prize, where PRENUP comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 41335-7. This 5 year old last ran 25 days ago putting up a speed figure of 79 (rest of field last run avg is 66). Has an AVG speed rating of 75 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MIN speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 55). Has a MAX speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 74). David Egan in the saddle today. (4* Strength Selection & 88% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:30 3:30 Nottingham
Jumbeau
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
8 runners go to post in a class 4 (4YO plus) race over 5f 8y on Good to Soft ground for a £5496 prize, where JUMBEAU (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 522325-. This 4 year old last ran 247 days ago putting up a speed figure of 75 (rest of field last run avg is 65). Has an AVG speed rating of 73 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 57). Has a MAX speed rating of 77 (rest of field avg is 75). Connor Planas in the saddle today. (3* Strength Selection & 100% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Rare Middleton
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
17 runners go to post in a class 1 (4YO plus) race over 1m 7f 144y on Good to Firm ground for a £45560 prize, where RARE MIDDLETON (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 34/8152-. This 5 year old last ran 24 days ago putting up a speed figure of 88 (rest of field last run avg is 71). Has an AVG speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 74). Has a MIN speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MAX speed rating of 88 (rest of field avg is 83). H Cobden in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is RARE MIDDLETON. This looks good placement from P F Nicholls. (5* Strength Selection & 84.71% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
15:05 3:05 Naas
Midnight Fire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
15 runners go to post in a class (3YO plus) race over 5f 205y on Good to Yielding ground for a £7500 prize, where MIDNIGHT FIRE (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 30600-2. This 7 year old last ran 21 days ago putting up a speed figure of 92 (rest of field last run avg is 67). Has an AVG speed rating of 72 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MIN speed rating of 51 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 92 (rest of field avg is 77). C D Hayes in the saddle today. (1* Strength Selection & 93.75% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:55 2:55 Nottingham
Emily Post
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
9 runners go to post in a class 4 (3YO plus) race over 6f 18y on Good to Soft ground for a £5496 prize, where EMILY POST (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 299142-. This 5 year old last ran 226 days ago putting up a speed figure of 71 (rest of field last run avg is 65). Has an AVG speed rating of 69 (rest of field avg is 64). Has a MIN speed rating of 60 (rest of field avg is 56). Has a MAX speed rating of 76 (rest of field avg is 72). Sean Kirrane in the saddle today. Only 1 horse in this race has an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, and that is EMILY POST. This looks good placement from M Dods. (3* Strength Selection & 97.78% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Popmaster
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
23 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 7f on Good ground for a £51540 prize, where POPMASTER (D C) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 02212-6. This 6 year old last ran 23 days ago putting up a speed figure of 90 (rest of field last run avg is 68). Has an AVG speed rating of 85 (rest of field avg is 73). Has a MIN speed rating of 81 (rest of field avg is 66). Has a MAX speed rating of 90 (rest of field avg is 82). Brandon Wilkie in the saddle today. (10* Strength Selection & 90.43% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:10 2:10 Haydock
Bravo Zulu
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
9 runners go to post in a class 4 (3YO only) race over 7f 212y on Good to Firm ground for a £8640 prize, where BRAVO ZULU comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 45596. This 3 year old last ran 25 days ago putting up a speed figure of 74 (rest of field last run avg is 60). Has an AVG speed rating of 67 (rest of field avg is 63). Has a MIN speed rating of 52 (rest of field avg is 54). Has a MAX speed rating of 74 (rest of field avg is 69). R Kingscote in the saddle today. (2* Strength Selection & 71.11% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
14:05 2:05 Ascot
Farhh To Shy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
10 runners go to post in a class 2 (3YO plus) race over 1m (Str) on Good ground for a £23193 prize, where FARHH TO SHY (CD) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 1033-00. This 6 year old last ran 23 days ago putting up a speed figure of 83 (rest of field last run avg is 69). Has an AVG speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 67). Has a MIN speed rating of 71 (rest of field avg is 60). Has a MAX speed rating of 88 (rest of field avg is 75). T P Queally in the saddle today. (7* Strength Selection & 96% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
13:50 1:50 Lingfield
Peking Opera
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
9 runners go to post in a class 2 (4YO plus) race over 1m 3f 133y on Good ground for a £23193 prize, where PEKING OPERA comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 17473-0. This 4 year old last ran 21 days ago putting up a speed figure of 82 (rest of field last run avg is 57). Has an AVG speed rating of 80 (rest of field avg is 73). Has a MIN speed rating of 78 (rest of field avg is 65). Has a MAX speed rating of 82 (rest of field avg is 80). K Shoemark in the saddle today. (4* Strength Selection & 75.56% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
13:45 1:45 Nottingham
Russian Rumour
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG
@5.00
Win
200
7 runners go to post in a class 5 (4YO plus) race over 1m 6f on Good to Soft ground for a £4187 prize, where RUSSIAN RUMOUR (D) comes into this with (relevant recent) form figures of 352984-. This 7 year old last ran 220 days ago putting up a speed figure of 63 (rest of field last run avg is 60). Has an AVG speed rating of 66 (rest of field avg is 59). Has a MIN speed rating of 63 (rest of field avg is 46). Has a MAX speed rating of 70 (rest of field avg is 67). Olivia Tubb in the saddle today. Only 3 horses in this race have an average rating above the expected avg for this race type & class for this course, one of which is RUSSIAN RUMOUR. This looks good placement from J G Portman. (2* Strength Selection & 97.14% Quality of Data Used for 10,000 Monte Carlo Race Simulation)
Subtotal-475
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
