Kazeka1886
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
Kazeka1886's Tips History
25 April 2024
20:10 Zurich Classic of New Orleans
Moore/NeSmith
25 EW
@41.00
Open
0
Moore and NeSmith have been excellent in this tournament finishing in T4 in back to back years of 2022 and 2023 with scores of 23 under and 26 under last year when they led for 3 rounds before getting caught in the final round. Moore is really good around the greens and his driver has been great this year while NeSmith is fantastic on approach shots as he can find pins very well from those middling ranges so with how they both bring out the best from each other simply got to expect them to once again run hot in this tournament and fight for the win.
N Taylor/Hadwin
25 EW
@26.00
Open
0
This Canadian pair finished as runner-ups here a year ago with score of 28 under as their games are great combination for pairing up and producing low scores. Hadwin sits in top 10 for Birdies and Taylor ranks inside top 10 for Approach as he also won twice in last year and with Hadwin makes for great Canadian combination that has great chemistry together and should fare well again in this tournament and quite possibly go one better than last year.
Subtotal0
24 April 2024
20:00 Ajax v Excelsior
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Both of these two teams have been scoring a lot of goals and also conceding a lot of goals on defensive end as Ajax scored and conceded in 23 of their 30 games while Excelsior scored and conceded in 21 of their 30 games. They both scored in their last 9 hth meetings which averaged whopping 5.1 total goals per game so got to expect another open game that should have a lot of great scoring chances and see both of them score.
20:00 Crystal Palace v Newcastle
Daniel Munoz
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Munoz earned 3 yellow cards in 11 appearances for Crystal Palace, and he will have hard task guarding likes of speedy Barnes and Gordon which should result in some fouls and could easily see Colombian get a card.
Sean Longstaff
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
Longstaff has earned 6 yellow cards on the season, and he will have to help Murphy on the right side who will play his first game as right back and going against fast and skilled Eze will require some help which Longstaff will have to give him and then got to expect some fouls from him and quite possibly a booking.
Will Hughes
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@4.75
Lose
-50
Hughes earned 5 yellow cards in 26 appearances this season including 2 yellow cards in last 4 starts. He will need to make some fouls and stop some Newcastle counters which could easily result in another booking.
20:00 Everton v Liverpool
Curtis Jones
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Jones earned yellow cards in each of 2 games since coming from injury, and he will get the start here in big derby match that will be nervy and full of tensions so got to see huge value backing him to get booked here.
James Tarkowski
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Tarkowski earned 9 yellow cards in 33 games this season, and he earned 4 yellow cards in last 5 games. He avoided that threshold of 10 cards in 32 games for 2 games suspension so got to expect him to play more freely, and he makes a lot of fouls like that which could easily see him get booked again in this big derby match.
Jordan Pickford
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Pickford earned 4 yellow cards on the season which is rather high for a goalkeeper. He earned 6 last season, and he got booked in 2 of last 3 hth matches against Liverpool so got to expect him to be in the middle of the things and tensions like he is always which could easily see him get booked again in this big city derby.
20:00 Man Utd v Sheff Utd
Casemiro
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Casemiro earned 5 yellow cards in only 19 appearances this season in PL, and he will get the start tonight but in the defensive role not midfield like his usual position so got to expect him to need some period to adjust to different role and quite possibly get caught out of position which could easily see him get booked then.
Jayden Bogle
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Bogle earned 9 yellow cards on the season as he often makes a lot of fouls or some just over the edge type of fouls so got to expect him to be under the pressure in this game which could easily see him get booked again.
Mason Holgate
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
138
Holgate played in only 7 games for Sheff Utd this season, and he picked up 2 yellow cards and 1 red card in those appearances. He often makes fouls and going against Garnacho on his side should see him make some fouls tonight and quite possibly get booked again.
19:45 Coventry v Hull
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.55
Win
28
Both of these two teams have been scoring and conceding a lot of goals lately as Coventry scored and conceded in 11 of their last 15 games while Hull also scored and conceded in 9 of their last 13 games including on 8 of last 11 road trips. They both scored in their last 3 hth meetings and with two of them sitting in 7th and 8th place chasing play-off for promotion and needing a win only here simply got to expect an open game with goals that should see both of them score.
19:45 Wolverhampton v Bournemouth
Adam Smith
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Smith earned 5 yellow cards in last 11 games he played in as he often gets caught out of position and commits fouls to get out of trouble that often sees him get booked so got to see decent value backing him to earn a card in this one as well.
Marcos Senesi
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
Senesi earned already 10 yellow cards in 26 appearances for Bournemouth this season including bookings in 6 of his last 7 starts so going on the road in hostile environment of Molineaux simply got to see great value backing Argentinian to get booked once again.
Mario Lemina
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Lemina earned 11 yellow cards and 1 red card this season as he often makes a lot of fouls during the course of the game. Some of those fouls just accumulate while some are just over the board and get him in the referee's small notebook so got to see solid price backing him to get booked in this one as well.
Over 4.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.82
Win
41
Wolverhampton averages 2.69 cards per game while Bournemouth averages 2.12 cards per game. Referee will be Atwell who averages 4.93 total cards dealt per game so got to expect a scrappy game with a lot of cards that should bring in the over on bookings.
Subtotal-62
23 April 2024
20:00 Arsenal v Chelsea
Arsenal & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
Arsenal leads the league with 74 points being in front of Liverpool only on goal difference and in front of Man City by just 1 point with Citizens having a game in hand on Gunners who need to keep winning to put pressure on other title contenders. On other side Chelsea is lower in 9th place with 47 points as they have been playing better as of late, but Blue still dropped points against Burnley and Sheff Utd in their last 4 league games while they are coming off a loss in a cup over the weekend to Man City, and they will miss their best goalscorer in Palmer in this one. Arsenal should have the edge in this one, but it should be that straightforward as Chelsea has been scoring well lately as they scored in last 15 games for total of 35 goals and they both scored in 9 of last 12 hth meetings played on Emirate so got to fancy both of them to score here and Arsenal to win in the end.
Declan Rice
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Rice scored 6 goals for Arsenal this season of which 2 were first goals on the games. He has been much more involved offensively and that could again show here and see him open the scoring for Gunners.
Alfie Gilchrist
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
Gilchrist played total of only 125 points in 8 short appearances of the bench for Chelsea this season, and he will get the start tonight. He also played in 8 games for Chelsea under 21 side this season and earned 3 yellow cards so going from start here simply got to expect him to make some fouls providing great value in him earning a booking.
Marc Cucurella
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.10
Win
105
Cucurella earned 7 yellow cards in only 14 appearances this season, and he will get the start in this one. He will have to guard Saka which will be tough without making fouls which should see him get booked.
Mykhailo Mudryk
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@4.75
Lose
-50
Mudryk hasn't been playing that well this season, and he earned 4 yellow cards. Tonight he will have to do a lot of defending which he hasn't got accustomed to so got to expect him to make some fouls and possibly earn new booking.
20:00 Leicester v Southampton
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.40
Lose
-50
Both of these two teams have been scoring a lot of goals and conceding on similar rate lately as Leicester scored and conceded in 9 of their last 11 home games while Southampton scored and conceded in 11 of their last 14 games. They both scored in 5 of their last 6 hth meetings including first match of this season which saw 5 total goals so with both sides badly needing points in fight for promotion simply got to expect goals on both ends here and take both teams to score.
19:45 Cheltenham v Peterborough
Over 2.50
Total Goals
Cheltenham has 6 overs in their last 7 games while Peterborough has 9 overs in their last 11 games. They went over this total in 4 of their last 5 hth meetings and with Cheltenham needing win only to avoid relegation and Peterborough needing win only to have a chance of direct promotion in last round simply got to expect an open game where both teams will go for it which should see some goals and bring in the over.
19:45 Rhein Neckar Lowen vs Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
These two teams enter this game in rather different mood and form as Rhein Neckar Lowen lost 4 of their last 6 games and had luck of playing Nexe in last round of this competition with Nexe going through a lot of turmoil at the moment. On other side Sporting is riding fantastic 25 game win streak in all competitions which included domestic wins over their big rivals in Porto and Benfica while they are coming into this one after 2 wins over Fuchse Berlin who is co-leader in German Bundesliga where Rhein Neckar Lowen sits in only 10th place with 26 fewer points. Hosts have numerous players wanting to leave the club at the end of the season while Sporting is playing some excellent stuff at the moment so got to feel like visitors should have the upper hand in this one and win in the end.
19:30 FC Blau Weiss Linz v SCR Altach
Draw
Blau Weiss Linz sits in 11th place with 13 points sitting 5 points above drop zone while Altach is 2 spots ahead of them in 9th place with 3 more points, so this should be a close game. Blau Weiss Linz has 4 draws in 5 games in this relegation group while Altach also has 4 draws in 5 games in this relegation group and 6 draws in their last 7 games. They drew 5 of their last 7 hth meetings and with draw again playing a great result for both of them simply got to expect a calm game that could easily finish in new split of points.
19:30 Standard Liege v KV Mechelen
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
Both of these two teams are scoring and conceding a lot of goals lately as Standard Liege had at least 6 goals in 3 of their 4 games played in this group while Mechelen had at least 4 goals in all 4 of their games played in this group. Their last hth match went over this total and with both defences being very leaky as Standard conceded at least 3 goals in 3 of their last 4 games and Mechelen conceding at least 2 goals in their last 4 games simply got to expect another higher scoring contest and take the over.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
Both of these two teams have been scoring well lately and conceding on even higher rate lately. Standard scored and conceded in 3 of their 4 games in this group including last 2 of their games seeing them both score and concede at least 3 times while Mechelen scored and conceded in all 4 of their games with 3 of those 4 games seeing them both score and concede at least twice. They both scored in 9 of their last 12 hth meetings played in Liege so got to expect another open game with plenty of goals which should see both sides get on the scoresheet.
Subtotal-145
22 April 2024
21:45 RBC Heritage
Sepp Straka
25 EW
@71.00
Win
150
Straka had really nice last week finishing in very solid T16 at The Masters which was his best finish at Augusta and backed up nicely his last Major finish when he was runner-up at The Open Championship. Now he arrives to familiar bermuda grasses of Harbour Town and his record on bermuda grass courses last 2 years is exceptional with 1 win that came at PGA National alongside 5 more top 6 finishes including 3 of them being runner-up finishes. He is 3 for 4 here at Harbour Town highlighted by T3 in 2022 so combined with how well is he playing at the moment simply got to like Austrian for a strong showing.
Will Zalatoris
25 EW
@31.00
Lose
-50
Zalatoris has been really solid this year with T2 finish at The Genesis Invitational, T4 at Arnold Palmer Invitational and T9 last week at The Masters where he shot weekend rounds of 72-69 which was only beat by top 2 in Scheffler and Aberg. He played this event only once before in 2021 when he finished in 42nd, but he got off to solid start heading into weekend as T11 after rounds of 68-67 before a drop-off which seemed inevitable taken to concern he had a draining week before finishing as runner-up at The Masters. This time around he arrives after positive weekend in which he played some excellent stuff on very hard course so no doubt Harbour Town should suit him well and then got to see solid upside backing Will for a strong showing.
Austin Eckroat
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@81.00
Win
142
Eckroat had quite a few quick starts on bermuda grass courses in last half of a year or so highlighted by first round lead at RSM Classic with a round of 65 and top 4 results after first day with same round of 65 at Sony Open in Hawaii, Cognizant Classic which he went on to win and fortnight ago he opened with 68 at Valero Texas Open. This is his debut at Harbour Town but his 2 previous starts in South Carolina when he played on Korn Ferry Tour saw him get out with starts of 66 and 67 so got to see very good value backing him for a strong start here as well.
Sepp Straka
Top European
25 EW
@15.00
Win
438
Straka is in solid shape at the moment with 2 of his last 3 tournaments seeing him finish in same T16 spot in very strong fields at The Players Championship and last week at The Masters which was his best up to date showing in Augusta. He has tremendous record on bermuda grass with 1 win and 5 more top 6 finishes over last 2 years and adding T3 finish here in 2022 clearly shows his likeness for bermuda grass which should see him have another strong week at Harbour Town and quite possibly be among the best players from Europe.
19:30 FC Cartagena v Oviedo
FC Cartagena (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Cartagena is in 19th place with 39 points sitting below safety zone only on goal difference while Oviedo is in 7th place with 55 points sitting outside places that lead to play-off for promotion also on goal difference, so both need points from this one. Cartagena has been excellent at home lately winning 5 of last 7 games in front of their fans while Oviedo is just 3-5-4 on their last 12 road games. Cartagena is undefeated in their last 3 hth meetings with 2 wins while they also won 2 of previous 3 hth matches against Oviedo at home so got to fancy hosts plus small head start here.
19:10 RBC Heritage
Patrick Cantlay
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
Cantlay isn't having that good of a 2024, but he always comes alive on some of the courses that suit him very well of which Harbour Town definitely is one as Pete Dye's design on which Patrick usually plays some of his best stuff with 3 top 9 finishes at The American Express, 6 top 15 finishes at Travelers Championship and fantastic record here. He is 5 for 6 here at Harbour Town with all 5 of those finishes being inside top 7 of which 4 were inside top 3 without a win. He was decent T22 at Masters last week with finish of 4 over on last 3 holes, but Majors were never where he excelled and this event surely has been so got to see decent value backing Cantlay to be in the mix for the victory once again come Sunday afternoon.
Adam Svensson
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@81.00
Lose
-50
Svensson has been starting really well lately as he carded strong opening rounds of 66 at Valspar Championship and Houston Open before solid 68 to start at Valero Texas Open which was good for results of T3-T6 and T8 after day 1 of play on his last 3 starts. He fired round of 66 to sit at T3 here at Harbour Town just 2 years ago, so he has some solid history here as well and how well he is starting at the moment simply got to like him in first round for a low score.
Cameron Young
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@31.00
Lose
-50
Cameroon Young has been playing some excellent stuff this year with 5 top 10 finishes in 10 events he played in of which last 2 saw him finish as runner-up at Valspar Championship and T9 at The Masters last week. Also, he has been getting off to quick starts as he was first round leader at Dubai Desert Classic with round of 67 and T3 at Cognizant Classic with round of 65 while he led here at Harbour Town after day 1 of play in 2022 following a brilliant starting round of 63, so he can go very low here and how well he is playing right now simply got to fancy him for a strong first round.
19:00 AZ Reserves v VVV
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Both of these two teams are averaging above this margin as AZ Reserves are on 3.2 goals per game average having 24 overs and 10 unders while VVV is on 2.9 goals per game average having 22 overs and 12 unders on the season. AZ Reserves have 11 overs in 17 home games while VVV has 10 overs on 17 road games so combined with their last 5 hth meetings all going over this total simply got to expect higher scoring contest and take the over.
19:00 PSV Reserves v FC Utrecht Reserves
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.40
Lose
-50
PSV Reserves have 28 overs and only 6 unders on the season while Utrecht Reserves have 12 overs and 5 unders on the road. Neither has anything to play for in this one, so this should be an open game with a lot of chances which should produce the over.
18:00 Nacional v Benfica B
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Nacional has 6 overs in last 8 home games while Benfica B has 7 overs in last 8 road games. They went over this total in 5 of their last 6 hth meetings so got to expect higher scoring contest here and take the over.
Nacional & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.60
Win
130
Nacional is 3rd with 56 points while Benfica B is 12th with 37 points, so hosts should be winning this one. Nacional scored and conceded in 10 of their last 12 games while Benfica B scored and conceded in 7 of their last 10 games. Nacional conceded in 5 of their last 6 home games while Benfica B scored in 4 of their last 6 losses so combined with both of them scoring in last 2 hth matches and Nacional being way better side and at home here simply got to like Nacional to win but not without conceding.
Nacional (AH) -0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Nacional is in 3rd place with 56 points while Benfica B is lower in 12th with 37 points. Nacional has league's best home record with 10-3-1 while Benfica B lost 3 of their last 5 games and has 5-3-6 road record as they also lost 3 of last 5 games away from home. Nacional won 3 of their previous 4 hth meetings which they hosted with all 3 of those wins coming by 2 goals difference or more so got to like hosts in this one as well.
18:00 Sivasspor v Fenerbahce
Sivasspor (AH) 1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Fenerbahce is 2nd with 85 points sitting 5 points below leading Galatasaray with today's game in hand on them and upcoming derby match versus them for the title, so they need to keep winning. On other side Sivasspor is solid 10th with 44 points sitting 7 points below final spot that leads to European competitions with today's game in hand on teams above them, so they also need the points. Sivasspor is firm 5-7-3 at home this season and 5-4-1 in last 10 games in front of their fans with 2 of those 3 losses coming by narrow 1 goal margins. Fenerbahce is better side that should have the upper hand in this one, but all the teams hate them and look to stop them so combined with Sivasspor having solid 1-4-1 hth record in last 6 games in which they hosted Fenerbahce and visitors coming off heavy 120 minutes battle in midweek simply got to like hosts plus this big head start.
Subtotal923
21 April 2024
21:45 Corales Puntacana Championship
Ben Martin
25 EW
@36.00
Lose
-50
Martin has strong course history here at Corales being 4 for 4 with last 3 of those finishes reading 9-2-8 as he usually fares well in subtropical climes. He is coming to Dominica in fine form having made his last 4 cuts highlighted by T31 at The Players Championship and T7 last time out at Valero Texas Open, so he is playing well and a bit weaker field this week should serve him well and quite possibly see be right in the mix on Sunday.
Joe Highsmith
25 EW
@76.00
Lose
-50
Highsmith has been having solid rookie season on PGA Tour with results like T34 and T33 at The American Express and Farmers Insurance Open before his best to date T6 at Puerto Rico where he led midway through before solid T21 at Houston Open. Most noticeable of those finishes was T6 at Puerto Rico where he fired back to back rounds of 65 to lead into the weekend as he showed he can putt very well on similar paspalum greens like Corales GC uses while he also took great advantage of par 5s playing 4 par 5 holes at 10 under for the tournament so combined with him ranking inside top 60 for sand saves on a course that has almost 100 bunkers simply go to expect Joe to have a solid weekend and possibly even fight for the win come Sunday afternoon.
Tyler Duncan
25 EW
@71.00
Lose
-50
Duncan tends to be well suited for weaker events like one this week in Dominica as some of his best results came in slightly weaker fields like T16 at Sanderson Farms Championship, T18 at Shriners Children's Open and T3 at RSM Classic which played at Sea Island saw him also win it in 2019. His best finish on the year came at Puerto Rico Open being T23 as only weaker final round of 72 stopped him from finishing way higher while he also opened The Players Championship with round of 67 and was T18 heading into weekend at Valero Texas Open last time out so if he can avoid that one bad round on a course on which he had solid previous history with two 3rd place finishes in 2017 and last year simply got to see great value backing him to be in the mix once again.
Victor Perez
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Perez is playing decently on his first year on the PGA Tour being 5 for his last 6 with some nice finishes like T16 at Cognizant Classic followed up by T3 at Puerto Rico Open next week and T17 at Houston Open on his penultimate start. Perez won 3 times on DP World Tour and these weaker field events like one in Puerto Rico should show his quality so got to expect him to be at it again this week in Dominica and quite possibly fight for the win.
Ben Martin
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Martin has strong course history here at Corales GC being 4 for 4 with last 3 finishes all being inside top 9 and some of those were after quite fast starts as Martin solo led after first round in 2022 after round of 66 while same round of 66 saw him share the lead with one more player last year. He has been opening tournament solid lately with sub par starting rounds in his last 2 starts so got to expect him to be again at his best on a course he clearly likes which could easily see him fast out of the gate on Thursday.
Joe Highsmith
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Highsmith had a few of really strong first rounds recently as he fired 65 at Houston Open to sit at T3 after first round while he led Puerto Rico Open with a round of 65 which he followed on Friday with another same round of 65 which is very interesting as that course uses similar paspalum greens like Corales here and correlates with it a lot so got to feel like this could be another fast start for Joe and strong opening round.
Joel Dahmen
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Dahmen has very solid record here at Corales GC with a win in 2021 and 3 more top 13 finishes in 6 total appearances with a couple of fast starts as he was T2 with a round of 67 when he won in 2021, and he co-led back in 2019 with an opening round of 66 showing he is capable of going very low on this course. He hasn't been that great this year so a weaker field in Dominica and return to the place where he had previous success should come in handy which could see Joel off to fast start again.
18:15 Bodo/Glimt v Molde
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
These two teams sit in 2nd and 3rd place heading into this game with Bodo/Glimt scoring 8 goals in their first 3 games while Molde scored 8 goals in their first 4 games. They both scored in 6 of their last 7 hth meetings including one just a month ago here in a preseason friendly which finished in 3-5 win for visitors so got to expect an open game here and back both teams to score.
Molde (AH) 0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.98
Win
49
Both of these two teams have 9 points a piece heading into this big derby game. Molde has strong hth record against Bodo/Glimt recently with 2 wins and 1 draw in last 3 league visits to Bodo while they also won in preseason friendly here a month ago and in a cup tie at the end of last season so got to expect a tight game where visitors plus head start seems like better side to be on.
Kristian Eriksen
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Eriksen scored 3 goals in first 4 games for Molde including one first goal on the games while he also scored 2 goals in preseason friendly here against Bodo/Glimt a month ago so got to see very solid value backing him to score first in this one.
09:10 Liege Bastogne Liege 2024
Tadej Pogacar
Win Outright
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
This is 4th monument race of the season being very long at 254.1 km with 4438 m of total climbing to be done, so it's going to be a hard one for the best of riders. The best one is definitely Pogacar who has been picking his races this season with double at Giro and Tour de France upcoming on his schedule, so this will be only his 10th race day of the season, but with 6 wins how dominant he has been. UAE brings solid team to support him deep into the race, but with his trademark move being an early attack simply got to expect them ride to put the hurt in pelotons legs and see superb Slovenian attack on some hard climb and ride away solo towards new victory.
Subtotal-294
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