Kazeka1886

Amorebieta is in 19th place with 38 points sitting 1 point below safety zone while Valladolid is in 4th place with 55 points sitting outside direct promotion zone only on goal difference while being 4 points above first team out of promotion play-off zone. Amorebieta won 4 of their last 5 games, and they are fantastic 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with lone loss coming by minimal score against leading Leganes while Valladolid is mediocre road team with poor record of 5-3-9 away from home which has been awful 1-3-5 on their last 9 road trips. Amorebieta won their only previous hth meeting in which they hosted Valladolid so got to feel like red-hot hosts will get something out of this match making them plus small head start a side to be on.

Luton is in 18th place with 25 points sitting just 1 point below safety while Brentford has 7 more points in 15th place, so this should be a tight game. Luton is 4-3-9 at home, and they have only 1 win in their last 12 games with 3 draws while Brentford is poor 3-2-11 on the road, but they have been decent lately with 1-4-2 record in their last 7 games. They are very evenly matched so got to expect for this game to hang in the balance which makes draw very option to try with.

These two teams sit on the bottom of the league with Sheff Utd having only 16 points as they are massive 10 points below safety while Burnley is just 1 spot ahead of them with 4 more points having played a game more. Both have been really poor and similarly bad lately as Sheff Utd is 1-3-6 in their last 10 games while Burnley is just marginally better with 1-4-5 record over same span of time, so this should be a tight game. However, both teams simply must go for the win which should see an interesting game and Sheff Utd has strong hth record against Burnley on Bramall Lane being 10-2-1 in their 13 previous games including 2 wins in last 2 meetings in PL so got to feel like home ground advantage could be enough to see hosts edge out this one.

Both of these two teams are averaging above this margin as Sheff Utd is on 3.6 goals per game average having 22 overs and 10 unders while Burnley is on 3.1 goals per game average having 19 overs and 14 unders on the season. Sheff Utd has 13 overs in 16 home games including 7 in a row which all saw at least 4 goals while Burnley has 10 overs on 16 road games including 6 overs on last 7 games away from home. Their first hth match of the season saw 5 total goals, and they went over this total in 6 of last 8 hth meetings played on Bramall Lane of which last one saw total of 7 goals so combined with the fact that both need to go for win only simply got to expect an open game with a lot of goals that should bring in the over.

Cantlay isn't having that good of a 2024, but he always comes alive on some of the courses that suit him very well of which Harbour Town definitely is one as Pete Dye's design on which Patrick usually plays some of his best stuff with 3 top 9 finishes at The American Express, 6 top 15 finishes at Travelers Championship and fantastic record here. He is 5 for 6 here at Harbour Town with all 5 of those finishes being inside top 7 of which 4 were inside top 3 without a win. He was decent T22 at Masters last week with finish of 4 over on last 3 holes, but Majors were never where he excelled and this event surely has been so got to see decent value backing Cantlay to be in the mix for the victory once again come Sunday afternoon.

Svensson has been starting really well lately as he carded strong opening rounds of 66 at Valspar Championship and Houston Open before solid 68 to start at Valero Texas Open which was good for results of T3-T6 and T8 after day 1 of play on his last 3 starts. He fired round of 66 to sit at T3 here at Harbour Town just 2 years ago, so he has some solid history here as well and how well he is starting at the moment simply got to like him in first round for a low score.

Cameroon Young has been playing some excellent stuff this year with 5 top 10 finishes in 10 events he played in of which last 2 saw him finish as runner-up at Valspar Championship and T9 at The Masters last week. Also, he has been getting off to quick starts as he was first round leader at Dubai Desert Classic with round of 67 and T3 at Cognizant Classic with round of 65 while he led here at Harbour Town after day 1 of play in 2022 following a brilliant starting round of 63, so he can go very low here and how well he is playing right now simply got to fancy him for a strong first round.

Martin has strong course history here at Corales being 4 for 4 with last 3 of those finishes reading 9-2-8 as he usually fares well in subtropical climes. He is coming to Dominica in fine form having made his last 4 cuts highlighted by T31 at The Players Championship and T7 last time out at Valero Texas Open, so he is playing well and a bit weaker field this week should serve him well and quite possibly see be right in the mix on Sunday.

Highsmith has been having solid rookie season on PGA Tour with results like T34 and T33 at The American Express and Farmers Insurance Open before his best to date T6 at Puerto Rico where he led midway through before solid T21 at Houston Open. Most noticeable of those finishes was T6 at Puerto Rico where he fired back to back rounds of 65 to lead into the weekend as he showed he can putt very well on similar paspalum greens like Corales GC uses while he also took great advantage of par 5s playing 4 par 5 holes at 10 under for the tournament so combined with him ranking inside top 60 for sand saves on a course that has almost 100 bunkers simply go to expect Joe to have a solid weekend and possibly even fight for the win come Sunday afternoon.

Duncan tends to be well suited for weaker events like one this week in Dominica as some of his best results came in slightly weaker fields like T16 at Sanderson Farms Championship, T18 at Shriners Children's Open and T3 at RSM Classic which played at Sea Island saw him also win it in 2019. His best finish on the year came at Puerto Rico Open being T23 as only weaker final round of 72 stopped him from finishing way higher while he also opened The Players Championship with round of 67 and was T18 heading into weekend at Valero Texas Open last time out so if he can avoid that one bad round on a course on which he had solid previous history with two 3rd place finishes in 2017 and last year simply got to see great value backing him to be in the mix once again.

Perez is playing decently on his first year on the PGA Tour being 5 for his last 6 with some nice finishes like T16 at Cognizant Classic followed up by T3 at Puerto Rico Open next week and T17 at Houston Open on his penultimate start. Perez won 3 times on DP World Tour and these weaker field events like one in Puerto Rico should show his quality so got to expect him to be at it again this week in Dominica and quite possibly fight for the win.

Martin has strong course history here at Corales GC being 4 for 4 with last 3 finishes all being inside top 9 and some of those were after quite fast starts as Martin solo led after first round in 2022 after round of 66 while same round of 66 saw him share the lead with one more player last year. He has been opening tournament solid lately with sub par starting rounds in his last 2 starts so got to expect him to be again at his best on a course he clearly likes which could easily see him fast out of the gate on Thursday.

Highsmith had a few of really strong first rounds recently as he fired 65 at Houston Open to sit at T3 after first round while he led Puerto Rico Open with a round of 65 which he followed on Friday with another same round of 65 which is very interesting as that course uses similar paspalum greens like Corales here and correlates with it a lot so got to feel like this could be another fast start for Joe and strong opening round.

Dahmen has very solid record here at Corales GC with a win in 2021 and 3 more top 13 finishes in 6 total appearances with a couple of fast starts as he was T2 with a round of 67 when he won in 2021, and he co-led back in 2019 with an opening round of 66 showing he is capable of going very low on this course. He hasn't been that great this year so a weaker field in Dominica and return to the place where he had previous success should come in handy which could see Joel off to fast start again.

Straka had really nice last week finishing in very solid T16 at The Masters which was his best finish at Augusta and backed up nicely his last Major finish when he was runner-up at The Open Championship. Now he arrives to familiar bermuda grasses of Harbour Town and his record on bermuda grass courses last 2 years is exceptional with 1 win that came at PGA National alongside 5 more top 6 finishes including 3 of them being runner-up finishes. He is 3 for 4 here at Harbour Town highlighted by T3 in 2022 so combined with how well is he playing at the moment simply got to like Austrian for a strong showing.

Zalatoris has been really solid this year with T2 finish at The Genesis Invitational, T4 at Arnold Palmer Invitational and T9 last week at The Masters where he shot weekend rounds of 72-69 which was only beat by top 2 in Scheffler and Aberg. He played this event only once before in 2021 when he finished in 42nd, but he got off to solid start heading into weekend as T11 after rounds of 68-67 before a drop-off which seemed inevitable taken to concern he had a draining week before finishing as runner-up at The Masters. This time around he arrives after positive weekend in which he played some excellent stuff on very hard course so no doubt Harbour Town should suit him well and then got to see solid upside backing Will for a strong showing.

Eckroat had quite a few quick starts on bermuda grass courses in last half of a year or so highlighted by first round lead at RSM Classic with a round of 65 and top 4 results after first day with same round of 65 at Sony Open in Hawaii, Cognizant Classic which he went on to win and fortnight ago he opened with 68 at Valero Texas Open. This is his debut at Harbour Town but his 2 previous starts in South Carolina when he played on Korn Ferry Tour saw him get out with starts of 66 and 67 so got to see very good value backing him for a strong start here as well.

Straka is in solid shape at the moment with 2 of his last 3 tournaments seeing him finish in same T16 spot in very strong fields at The Players Championship and last week at The Masters which was his best up to date showing in Augusta. He has tremendous record on bermuda grass with 1 win and 5 more top 6 finishes over last 2 years and adding T3 finish here in 2022 clearly shows his likeness for bermuda grass which should see him have another strong week at Harbour Town and quite possibly be among the best players from Europe.