sandro

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sandro's Tips

11th May 2024
01:15 Newells v CA Platense

CA Platense

50 WIN

Platense actually look a pretty good side and they drew 0-0 in this fixture a couple of months ago whilst they're quite good at keeping games tight and they've beaten Tigre and (away) Sarmiento in their last two matches whilst Newell's have lost a couple of matches in a row, so I am backing an away win here.

CA Platense & No

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

This match ended 0-0 a couple of months ago and 6 of Platense's last 10 matches have only seen 1 goal at most, so I am backing against btts and I think based on form with them winning 1-0 at Sarmiento whilst Newells have a couple of losses coming into this then I am backing an away win to nil.

Ignacio Vazquez

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Platense are a very defensive team and they kept Newells out a couple of months ago and I'm sure will target set pieces here considering they're playing 3 big CBs. Vazquez is one of those although he has just 1 in the last two seasons, he's shown goalscoring form at previous clubs and I think it always a threat in those situations, so I am backing him first goal here.

CA Platense #1-0

50 WIN

6 of Platense's last 10 matches have seen 1 goals or less whilst they're in good form with back to back wins coming into this whilst Newells have lost their last two. This fixture ended 0-0 a couple of months ago but I think on form that Platense can win it 1-0.
10:00 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hamad Medjedovic

Hamad Medjedovic

Win Match

50 WIN

Medjedovic has just come back from injury and I think he's looking pretty strong and has a good game on clay for a talented 20 year old whilst ADF has been in a funk for a while and it having a rough year so far, so I am backing the Serb here.

Hamad Medjedovic to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

The young talented Serb returning from injury has come through qualifying and the first round in straight sets here already whilst ADF is yet to take to the court and has lost 9 of his last 12 matches excluding retirement/walkovers and 7 of those were in straight sets, so I am backing Medjedovic 2-0 here.

Hamad Medjedovic

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

Medjedovic has three matches on this court already coming through qualifying and has won them all in straight sets whilst the 20 year old coming back from injury looks in pretty good shape in terms of his game. ADF is having a tough year with only two completed wins in the last three months, so I am backing the Serb to come out stronger and win here.
12:00 Hubert Hurkacz vs Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

Hurkacz is a pretty decent competitor but in terms of a matchup on clay then he's be eaten alive by prime Nadal and although that isn't his opponent here, Nadal still had a good week in Madrid whilst Hurkacz has been pretty unimpressive in his last couple of tournaments, so I am backing the Spaniard in straight sets here.
12:00 Josh Rock vs Franz Roetzsch

Josh Rock

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

It feels at the moment as if you can almost depend on Rock to hit a 100 average minimum in these kind of events and considering Rotzsch only hit a 85 average to get to this stage then I expect Rock to win this fairly comfortably.
12:30 Celtic v Rangers

Rangers

50 WIN

Celtic should have won at Ibrox a few weeks ago and once Rangers turned it on, there wasn’t much they could do about it. Given that missed opportunity and how a Rangers win blows the title race wide open then I think this could end in an away win.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

This match is absolutely huge in terms of the title race and given Celtic always play an attacking brand of football and that nothing but a win will do for Rangers whilst it was 3-3 last time they met a few weeks ago then I am definitely backing over 2.50 goals here.

Rangers & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

I think btts is likely here because it was 3-3 a few weeks ago and Rangers need to win this match whilst Celtic always try to play on the front foot. I do however think that Rangers desperately needing the win and actually looking unstoppable at times the last time they met could see them pull off that needed win here, so I am backing a Rangers win and btts here.

John Souttar

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

I think Rangers will try and be quite physical and resolute here whilst it’s a crucial match at the top and those matches tend to be tighter and can often result in a set piece to open the scoring which is why I am backing a Rangers CB to score first here. Souttar does have 2 goals this season in the league whilst he scored against Celtic last season as well, so for these reasons then I think he’s worth backing first goal in this one.

Rangers #3-1

50 WIN

This fixture generally produces goals and I expect the same here as it was 3-3 just a few weeks ago. It’s a must win for Rangers and I think they have shown enough in this match-up this season to show they can compete for that here whilst Celtic really need to try and avoid defeat which could see them give up a late goal if they’re behind, so I am backing a 3-1 win to Rangers here.
12:30 Fulham v Man City

Man City -2.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

I think this is more of a spoiler on paper than it is in reality because the way Fulham rolled over for a struggling Liverpool side at home the other weeks makes me think they’ll struggle against a focused Man City side that just look on it now with 6 wins in a row, so I am backing the away side against this handicap.

John Stones

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Man City have had a defender scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches whilst they’re the third highest scorers from set pieces this season. Stones is often involved in clever set pieces and have scored 8 goals in 75 matches for City over the last 4 seasons which is a good amount for a CB, so I am backing Stones to score anytime here.

Kevin de Bruyne

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

I think De Bruyne tends to step up well for Man City in away matches and considering all 4 of his goals (in just 15 matches) have come in away matches then I am backing De Bruyne first goal in this one.

Joao Palhinha

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

I will be utterly shocked if Palhinha doesn’t picked up his 14th (yes, 14th) booking of the season here because he can’t help himself in the centre of the pitch and City are the best team in the country, so I am backing Palhinha to be booked here.

Timothy Castagne

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

Castagne has picked up three bookings in the league this season and they’ve all come at home whilst the last two were against Liverpool and Aston Villa. So considering they’re up against another top 4 side here and City are rammed with attacking quality then I can see him Castagne up a booking here.
15:00 Bournemouth v Brentford

Bournemouth

50 WIN

I am going to back a Bournemouth win here because ultimately Brentford have 12 points fewer this season and look a bit off-kilter whilst Bournemouth have been strong at home over the last couple of months, so I am backing a home win here.

Marcos Senesi

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

I think in terms of form that Bournemouth definitely look the stronger side coming into this and with 4 goals from the back this season then I could Senesi cracking this tough Bournemouth side in the last home match of the season for an in-form side, so I am backing Senesi to score anytime here.

Marcos Senesi

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Brentford can be a pretty tough nut to crack and we have probably seen that over the last couple of matches but Bournemouth have been a threat from set pieces this season and Senesi in particular has 4 goals from 29 matches this season, so I think he’s worth backing to score first here.

Bournemouth #2-0

50 WIN

I think Bournemouth have a lot of momentum under Iraola and with how good they’ve been this season, I expect them to sign off on a high note at home here against a Brentford side that just look a bit off colour right now, so given Brentford have failed to score in their last two matches, then I am backing a pretty straight forward 2-0 home win here.

Sergio Reguilon

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

I think Bournemouth are in much better form here and they’ll give Brentford a lot of trouble whilst Reguillon isn’t a great defender and has picked up 8 cards in just 23 matches this season for Man United and Brentford, so I am backing him to be booked in this one.
15:00 Everton v Sheff Utd

James Garner

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Garner has only scored once in the PL this season but he is someone who takes plenty of shots and I think plays better on the ball with the pressure off. Against a poor Sheffield United side at home for the final time this season then I think he could control the game and get himself on the scoresheet to boot, so I am backing him anytime here.

Jarrad Branthwaite

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

I think you pretty much always have to back an Everton CB to score first because roughly 50% of their goals do come from set pieces and Branthwaite and Tarkowski are both monsters in the air. The former has scored more this season and Tarkowski tends to be the initial winner onto somebody else, so I am backing Branthwaite first goal in this one.

Everton #3-0

50 WIN

I think at this point Sheffield United will want the season to be over and Everton are a very strong side defensively under Dyche. I think Everton are in a better place mentally and they can sign the season off in style here, so I am backing a 3-0 home win.

Ben Godfrey

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

This Sheffield United side is somewhat chaotic and do pose an attacking threat and pace despite how bad they are in general and I think Godfrey is a fullback who can engage in that a little too much and be over physical at times whilst he’s picked up 2 card in 15 matches this season, so I could see him picking up another here.

Oliver Arblaster

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

I imagine that Sheffield United will feel like they want the season over at this point and I am expecting a pretty feisty match in the centre of the pitch as they’re all quite combative players in there for both teams. Arblaster has played 10 matches lately and picked up a booking but I think he does have the aggression in him and could see him picking up another booking here.
15:00 Newcastle v Brighton

Draw

50 WIN

I think a lot will naturally expect Newcastle to win here but Brighton stopped the rot with a good performance and win over Villa last week whilst they beat Newcastle 3-1 in the reverse fixture and Newcastle aren't exactly winning machines at home, so I could see a draw in this one.

Draw & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Newcastle have seen both teams score in 7 of their 9 home matches whilst Brighton are normally involved in goals. Newcastle have won a few home matches recently but they're not winning machines at home in 2024 and Brighton did win 3-1 earlier in the season against them, so I could see a scoring draw here.

Dan Burn

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Burn is obviously a huge specimen and Newcastle do play on the front foot at home winning plenty of free kicks and corners. He's scored 4 goals from the back this season and he's up against his former side here, so I think he's worth backing anytime in this one to score.

Lewis Dunk

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Dunk did score here a couple of season ago whilst Brighton are a threat from set pieces with him in particular showed by his 3 league goals this season and I think set pieces are always important for away sides, so I am backing him first goal here

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

Goals are just incredibly likely in this one when they look at both teams with Newcastle having both teams score in 7 of their last 9 home matches whilst Brighton are pretty much always involved in goals for better or worse. Brighton did win 3-1 in the home match this season and comfortably so, so I think they'll take something here and I am backing a 2-2 draw.
15:00 Tottenham v Burnley

Burnley

50 WIN

It did take a wonder goal from Porro to separate these sides in this fixture in the FA Cup this season and I think considering Burnley have picked up points in 4 of their last 5 away matches whilst Spurs are on a 4 match losing streak then I think it's worth backing a Burnley side who must win in order to avoid relegation.

Burnley & No

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Burnley laid down the gameplan for this match losing 1-0 in the FA Cup here but keeping Spurs out for 80 minutes and I can see a similar game here but the difference this time is Burnley have picked up points in 4 of their last 5 away matches whilst Spurs have lost 4 in a row and look rocky, so I going to back an away win to nil here.

Dara OShea

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

O'Shea scored a consolation against Newcastle last week in what was his 4th goal of the season from CB and I think they'll try and keep this match tight and play off set pieces whilst Spurs have conceded plenty of goals lately and Burnley must win, so I am backing him to score anytime here.

Dara OShea

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Burnley actually managed to keep this fixture 0-0 until late in the second half when Porro scored from 30 yards. I think they'll look to do similar here and target set pieces to get the win they desperately need whilst O'Shea has scored 4 goals this season from the back, so I think he's worth backing first goal here.

Maxime Esteve

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

You'd imagine this will be a tough and potentially emotional game for Burnley, so considering that Esteve has 5 bookings in 14 matches and 4 of those have come away from home then I am backing a card for him here.
15:00 West Ham v Luton

Draw

50 WIN

A draw does keep Luton alive here and West Ham have failed to win 8 of their last 9 home league matches and struggle to break down lesser sides whilst Luton have won against Dyche's Everton twice away from home this season and I think West Ham play similarly. However, West Ham do have better players and I think will want to avoid defeat on Moyes' last match, so I am backing a draw here.

Elijah Adebayo

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

I am pretty convinced that Adebayor will score here because he has 10 in 25 matches this season and makes Luton a much better side whilst West Ham have been really poor at home in 2024, so I am backing him anytime here.

Elijah Adebayo

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

I think Luton look much better with Adebayo in the side and we probably saw that against Everton last week where he scored on his full return to the side, so considering West Ham have failed to win 8 of their last 9 matches and Luton need the points then I am backing him first goalscorer here.

Draw #3-3

50 WIN

West Ham can play with a bit of freedom here and they definitely have the attackers to score goals but they've still only won 1 of their last 8 home matches and they do have a couple of 2-2 draws in that. Considering Luton desperately need to probably win (but a draw keeps them alive here) and they've scored 3 goals at Bournemouth and starred in a 4-4 draw at Newcastle then I could see something like a 3-3 draw here.

Lucas Paqueta

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

Pacqueta has picked up 10 bookings this season and 7 of those have come in home matches whilst Luton are a pretty energetic side, so I am backing him to be booked in this one.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

50 WIN

Injuries have played a part but Wolves have actually been pretty poor lately with 1 win in their last 9 matches which was against Luton whilst they lost to Bournemouth at home a few weeks ago and Palace look great under Glasner with big results and 13 points from their last 5, so I am backing an away win here.

Crystal Palace & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

I think with Cunha and Hwang back in the side that Wolves probably will find a goal in this one but they form of these sides couldn't be much different and Palace are flying at the moment with a few forward players in top form, so I am backing an away win and btts here.

Michael Olise

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Mateta, Olise and Eze seem the obvious options here but I think in terms of consistent top performances then the latter two provide that more whilst I consider Olise, of the back to 2 against Man United on Monday, more of a goalscorer and because of that I am backing him first goal.

Joao Gomes

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

Gomes is always worth backing to be booked with 11 bookings this season in 32 matches whilst Palace look brilliant with Olise/Eze so dangerous in the area of the pitch that he needs to cover, so I am backing him to be booked here.

Mario Lemina

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

Lemina has 12 bookings in 33 matches this season and Palace are huge threats in that area behind the opposition central midfield with Eze and Olise finding pockets of space and that's where Lemina is likely to be positioned to stop, so I am backing him to be booked here for sure.
17:30 Nottm Forest v Chelsea

Chelsea

50 WIN

I think Chelsea's home form shows there is a good team developing with 9 wins from their last 11 league home matches and although this is away from home, they did go to Villa Park and arguably should have won coming away with a 2-2 draw whilst Forest haven't been as strong at home this season and for those reasons I can see an away win here.

Trevoh Chalobah

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Forest have been abysmal on set pieces all season and Chelsea recently have been involved in that method of scoring goals as Chalobah got his goal against Spurs and Madueke turned in a Thiago Silva header last weekend, so the CBs are clearly an aerial threat and I think that makes Chalobah worth backing at these odds to score anytime.

Nicolas Jackson

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

I think Palmer has 21 goals this season and 16 of them have come at home, so I am backing another Chelsea player here because I do believe they're playing well and Forest concede goals every match. Jackson has really found form lately with goals in 5 of his last 10 league matches, so I am backing him first goal at the longer odds.

Chelsea #4-0

50 WIN

I think Chelsea are playing really well at the moment and albeit at home, they did beat West Ham 5-0 and before that Everton 6-0. There's lots of pressure on Forest still and I don't think they're playing well and are conceding too many goals whilst their form at home hasn't been great, so I am backing a big 4-0 Chelsea win.

Ryan Yates

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

I think it says a lot about Yates that he's been booked 6 times this season and it's suprisingly it's that low, he's a tough tackling midfielder and Forest will definitely be battling here whilst he did get booked against Chelsea earlier in the season, so I think he's worth backing to be booked again here.

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