Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- It's now 4/7 that Liz Truss is not the Conservative Leader by the time of the next General Election
- Truss is expected to leave her role as PM in 2023 according to the betting odds
- Betting odds are available for the term that Truss serves compared to previous Prime Minister's
It's now 4/7 that Liz Truss is not the Conservative Leader by the time of the next General Election
After another disastrous week as Prime Minister, bookies now go just 4/7 that Liz Truss is not the Conservative Leader at the next General Election.
Truss has repeatedly defended the proposed tax cuts that were outlined by Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng last month, but this caused financial panic straight away.
The Bank of England had to intervene almost instantly to protect pension funds and a potential U-turn could well be on the cards.
There's now a 63% chance that Truss is not the leader of the Conservative Party at the next election, with Betway going 5/4 that she will be.
It's now 4/7 that Liz Truss will not be leader of the Conservative Party by the time of the next General Election with bookies giving a 63% chance that Truss will be gone by the time it happens.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Truss is expected to leave her role as PM in 2023 according to the betting odds
Truss is expected to leave her role as Prime Minister in 2023 according to the latest odds from bookies.
Bookmakers make 2023 the 1/2 favourite to be the exit date in her role as Prime Minister, with this year just behind in the market at 5/2.
The next General Election isn't due until January 2025 but it may well be that we get one sooner with Truss hinting at a 2024 election last month.
| When will Liz Truss be replaced as PM? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| 2023 | 1/2 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| 2025 or Later | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Betting odds are available for the term that Truss serves compared to previous Prime Minister's
Liz Truss has been Prime Minister for 38 days and will be looking to stay there for many years to come.
Betting odds are available on her outlasting former Prime Ministers in her length in the role.
Betway make it 1/20 that she at least outlasts George Canning, whose 119 day spell remains the shortest in history.
| Liz Truss To Serve Longer than which former PM? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| George Canning (119 days) | 1/20 | 95.2% |
| Gordon Brown (2 years 318 days) | 2/5 | 71.4% |
| Theresa May (3 years 11 days) | 13/8 | 38.1% |
| Boris Johnson (3 years 44 days) | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Ted Heath (3 years 259 days) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| David Cameron (6 years 63 days) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| John Major (6 years 155 days) | 11/2 | 15.4% |
Liz Truss has been Prime Minister for 38 days now and it's already been a rollercoaster in her reign.
Just two days after The Queen requested Truss to form a new administration as PM, Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully.
Bookies are giving odds on Liz Truss outlasting former PM's with the odds giving a 36% chance of her lasting longer than Boris Johnson at Number 10.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com
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