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+131 profit on Football yesterday
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I don't think there's much in it between these two with Leicester at home. They have beaten West Ham and drew with Brighton recently. Palace, away, lost to Arsenal before struggling to threaten Bournemouth in a 0-0 stalemate. The draw is the call here.
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Surely this looks like a draw. Everton are struggling for goals, scoring just 1 goal in their last 5 Premiership games, drawing 3 and losing 2. But the fact they held Arsenal, Man City, and Chelsea to draws says they can get another point against a Villa side that aren't nearly as good away as they are at home.
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Newcastle are without a doubt the most in-form side in the league. Since they beat Leicester 4-0, something has just clicked, going on a winning run of 7 league games straight and scoring a massive 20 goals in those 7. Wolves have done a bit better, but Forest exposed their flaws, taking them apart 3-0 when Wolves were home. Newcastle will win this.
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It is starting to become well known that Arsenal are struggling to put the ball in the net. They are still creating chances but not converting them, hence they are trying to sign Zubimendi from Real Sociedad. Unfortunately for them, he won't be here for this game. I know Spurs have had their troubles, but they showed how good they can be by beating Liverpool 1-0 in the cup midweek. A win for them was a surprise at 6-1, but I still feel that is unlikely. I don't think the draw is with Arsenal's struggles and cup loss to Newcastle in the week to get over.
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Birmingham are looking like the league winners. They sit top of the table now and also have 2 games in hand. They are unbeaten now in their last 13 matches, winning 11 of those. As Exeter have lost 4 of their last 6 away games, Birmingham look highly likely to rack up another win here.
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Bolton aren't their usual consistent selves this season, as their recent LWLWLW in their last 6 matches tells you. But they have won 7 of their last 9 home games, with the other 2 being losses. Cambridge are by far the worst home side in the league, taking just 5 points all season, scoring just 8 goals in 12 matches, and conceding 24. So Bolton look too good to get another win here.
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It's a surprise not to see AFC Wimbledon shorter here. On points, they are the 4th best home side in the league, but on stats, they are the 2nd, scoring 22 goals, which is the 2nd most, and conceding just 9. Only Notts County have conceded less. Tranmere are the worst away side, scoring just 8 goals all season yet conceding 26. That's almost 2.5 goals conceded per game, and it's all about AFC for me.
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